GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · CHICAGO FIRE 92%
CONF 83 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · SUN, 16 AUG · 22:00 LOCAL
CHICAGO FIRE
3RD · 36 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
PORTLAND TIMBERS
D W W W D
· 9TH · 28 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' R. Lod ⚽ 14' Dje Tah D'Avilla
GOALS
⚽ 85' Finn Surman
Dje Tah D'Avilla
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Dje Tah D'Avilla
Chicago Fire · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 37% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.48
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.99
39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
0
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    R. Lod · assist Andrew Gutman
    CHI
  2. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dje Tah D'Avilla · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  3. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brandon Bye
    POR
  4. 57'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Lod
    CHI
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Lewandowski · assist Jonathan Bamba
    CHI
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist P. Dithejane
    CHI
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Antony · assist A. Lassiter
    POR
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    C. Bassett · assist J. Ortiz
    POR
  9. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    L. Barroso · assist Jonathan Dean
    CHI
  10. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    D. Da Costa · assist V. Janssen
    POR
  11. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Diego Chara · assist José Caicedo
    POR
  12. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Saletros
    CHI
  13. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    A. Saletros · assist Mauricio Pineda
    CHI
  14. 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Finn Surman · assist Brandon Bye
    POR
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kamal Miller · assist O. Fernandez
    POR
  16. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    V. Janssen
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.5
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
1.0
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
354.0
PASSES
553.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
0.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
5.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHICAGO FIRE 3 shots
R. Lod
2/2
Dje Tah D'Avilla
1/1
PORTLAND TIMBERS 4 shots
K. Kelsy
0/2
Finn Surman
1/1
D. Da Costa
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.48 – 0.99
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 9' 14' 85' H 1.48 A 0.99 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
CHRIS BRA
15
ANDREW GU
 6.9
3
JACK ELLI
5
SAMUEL RO
 7.5
2
L. BARROS
 8.3
42
DJE TAH D
6
A. SALETR
7
MAREN HAI
 7.9
17
R. LOD
11
PHILIP ZI
9
R. LEWAND
41
JAMES PAN
27
J. FORY
 7.2
4
KAMAL MIL
 7.3
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 7.3
10
D. DA COS
 7.2
21
DIEGO CHA
11
ANTONY
17
C. BASSET
99
K. VELDE
 6.9
19
K. KELSY
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
29
David Poreba
M
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
38
Christopher...
D
24
Jonathan Dea...
D
14
V. Radojevic
D
16
Joel Waterma...
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
19
Jonathan Bam...
F
12
P. Dithejane
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
22
O. Fernandez
F
88
Gage Guerra
F
7
A. Lassiter
F
80
J. Ortiz
M
30
José Caicedo
M
15
Eric Miller
D
18
Zac McGraw
D
25
Trey Muse
G
14
V. Janssen
F
COACH: Jack Cassidy
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Chris Penso, USA
—
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
POR MANAGER
Jack Cassidy
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
CHI WINS
5
DRAWS
3
POR WINS
20%
50%
30%
15 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
22 Jun 2023
Portland Timbers
1 – 2
Chicago Fire
W
15 Aug 2019
Portland Timbers
3 – 2
Chicago Fire
L
31 Mar 2018
Chicago Fire
2 – 2
Portland Timbers
D
06 Jul 2017
Portland Timbers
2 – 2
Chicago Fire
D
29 May 2016
Chicago Fire
1 – 1
Portland Timbers
D
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
CHICAGO FIRE #3
Won · already at 36 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
PORTLAND TIMBERS #9
Lost · already at 28 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · V. Janssen
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kamal Miller
  • 85'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Finn Surman
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · A. Saletros
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Saletros
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Diego Chara
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · D. Da Costa
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · L. Barroso
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · C. Bassett
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Antony
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Lewandowski
  • 57'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Lod
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brandon Bye
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dje Tah D'Avilla
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · R. Lod
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
1.53
65.4% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.71
21.2% implied
↑ best 4.90
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
5.08
19.7% implied
↑ best 5.32

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 92%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.50 4.60 5.30 +25.3%
888Sport 1.50 4.75 4.80 +25.3%
Bet365 1.55 4.50 5.25 +27.5%
Betano 1.60 4.90 5.10 +29.5%
Betfair 1.50 4.75 5.00 +25.3%
BetVictor 1.50 4.75 5.00 +25.3%
Dafabet 1.55 4.90 5.20 +27.5%
Marathonbet 1.52 4.60 5.10 +26.2%
Pinnacle 1.56 4.82 5.32 +27.9%
SBO 1.51 4.58 4.84 +25.8%
Unibet 1.52 4.60 5.20 +26.2%
William Hill 1.50 4.75 4.80 +25.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.13
2.5 O 1.32 U 3.23
3.5 O 1.85 U 1.93
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.40 9 bks
NO
2.72 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.97
Away -0.5 2.44
Away -0.75 2.21
Away -1 1.98
Away -1.25 1.74
Away -1.5 1.59
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.