GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–3 · ST. LOUIS CITY 95% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 19 · SUN, 16 AUG · 02:30 LOCAL
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
4TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L W L
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
ST. LOUIS CITY
D W W W W
· 6TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 47' B. Leroux
GOALS
⚽ 8' D. Edelman ⚽ 27' S. Becher ⚽ 55' S. Becher
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    D. Edelman · assist C. Wallem
    ST.
  2. 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    S. Becher · assist E. Lowen
    ST.
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Tsakiris · assist L. Jovanovic
    SAN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    B. Kikanovic · assist J. Jasinski
    SAN
  5. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    B. Leroux
    SAN
  6. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    S. Becher · assist T. Totland
    ST.
  7. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    E. Lowen · assist C. Holse
    ST.
  8. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    S. Jeong · assist A. Matan
    ST.
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    O. Bouda · assist J. Skahan
    SAN
  10. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    R. Vieira · assist I. Harkes
    SAN
  11. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    C. Wallem
    ST.
  12. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Roberts
    SAN
  13. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    T. Totland
    ST.
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    C. Wallem · assist J. Orozco
    ST.
  15. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    S. Becher · assist P. Ault
    ST.
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 40%
60% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
Lineups were not recorded for this fixture.
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SAN WINS
0
DRAWS
6
ST. WINS
25%
75%
9 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
3.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
26 Apr 2026
St. Louis City
2 – 3
San Jose Earthquakes
W
21 Sep 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 3
St. Louis City
L
31 May 2025
St. Louis City
2 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
L
22 Sep 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 2
St. Louis City
L
04 Jul 2024
St. Louis City
2 – 0
San Jose Earthquakes
L
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W L
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #4
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
ST. LOUIS CITY #6
Won · already at 29 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 18 11 4 3 +23 37
W D D L W
1 Nashville SC 19 13 4 2 +24 43
W D L W W
2 Houston Dynamo 19 11 2 6 +4 35
W W W W D
2 Inter Miami 19 11 5 3 +10 38
L D W W W
3 Los Angeles FC 20 10 4 6 +15 34
L D W W W
3 Chicago Fire 18 10 2 6 +10 32
W W L L W
4 New England Revolution 19 9 3 7 +4 30
L L D W D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 19 10 3 6 +11 33
L L D L W
5 FC Dallas 19 8 6 5 +8 30
W D L D W
5 Charlotte 19 8 4 7 +4 28
W L W D W
6 St. Louis City 19 8 5 6 +2 29
W D W W W
6 FC Cincinnati 19 7 6 6 +1 27
D W L W W
7 Real Salt Lake 18 8 4 6 +4 28
D D L L D
7 New York City FC 19 7 5 7 +6 26
L D W W L
8 New York Red Bulls 19 7 4 8 -11 25
L W L L W
8 Colorado Rapids 19 8 1 10 +4 25
W W L W L
9 Minnesota United FC 19 6 7 6 -5 25
D D D L D
9 DC United 19 5 9 5 -3 24
D D W D D
10 Portland Timbers 19 7 3 9 -1 24
L W W D W
10 Orlando City SC 19 6 3 10 -17 21
D L W W L
11 Seattle Sounders 18 7 3 8 -4 24
L L L L L
11 Columbus Crew 19 5 5 9 -4 20
L D W L W
12 Toronto FC 19 4 8 7 -7 20
W D L D D
12 San Diego 19 6 6 7 +4 24
W D W L L
13 Los Angeles Galaxy 20 5 7 8 -6 22
L D D L L
13 Philadelphia Union 19 5 4 10 -7 19
W W W W L
14 Austin 19 4 5 10 -15 17
L L L W L
14 CF Montreal 19 4 5 10 -11 17
D D L L D
15 Sporting Kansas City 19 4 2 13 -30 14
L L L W L
15 Atlanta United FC 19 4 3 12 -13 15
W L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · S. Becher
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · C. Wallem
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · T. Totland
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Roberts
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · C. Wallem
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · R. Vieira
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · O. Bouda
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · S. Jeong
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · E. Lowen
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · S. Becher
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · B. Leroux
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · B. Kikanovic
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Tsakiris
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal · S. Becher
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · D. Edelman
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
2.08
48.1% implied
↑ best 2.13
DRAW
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 3.97
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
3.10
32.3% implied
↑ best 3.25

Market favors San Jose Earthquakes. AI projects ST. LOUIS CITY 95% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ST. LOUIS CITY 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.02 3.85 3.20 +63.8%
888Sport 2.05 3.60 3.00 +61.7%
Bet365 2.10 3.75 3.25 +64.2%
Betano 2.12 3.95 3.10 +62.7%
Betfair 2.05 3.90 3.10 +62.7%
BetVictor 2.05 3.90 3.10 +62.7%
Dafabet 2.12 3.90 3.20 +63.8%
Marathonbet 2.07 3.78 3.08 +62.5%
Pinnacle 2.13 3.97 3.19 +63.7%
SBO 2.11 3.61 2.95 +61.1%
Unibet 2.12 3.70 3.00 +61.7%
William Hill 2.05 3.60 3.00 +61.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.59
2.5 O 1.47 U 2.59
3.5 O 2.19 U 1.66
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 9 bks
NO
2.65 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.97
Away -0.5 1.74
Away -0.75 1.56
Away -1 1.38
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.