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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · PORTLAND TIMBERS 48%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 02 AUG · 02:45 LOCAL
PORTLAND TIMBERS
8TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SEATTLE SOUNDERS
L L L L L
· 9TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' Kevin Kelsy ⚽ 82' Brandon Bye
GOALS
⚽ 27' Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
Brandon Bye
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Brandon Bye
Portland Timbers · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 44% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.71
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.22
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
16
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 7'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Paul Arriola · assist Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
    SEA
  2. 25'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Peter Kingston
    SEA
  3. 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
    SEA
  4. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kamal Miller
    POR
  5. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Kelsy · assist Kristoffer Velde
    POR
  6. 45'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Kelsy
    POR
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Peter Kingston · assist Sebastian Gomez
    SEA
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ariel Lassiter · assist Antony Alves
    POR
  9. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sebastian Gomez
    SEA
  10. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Osaze De Rosario · assist Daniel Musovski
    SEA
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kim Kee-hee · assist Alex Roldán
    SEA
  12. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Brandon Bye · assist David Pereira Da Costa
    POR
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kalani Kossa-Rienzi · assist Antino Lopez
    SEA
  14. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kevin Kelsy · assist Ian Smith
    POR
  15. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cole Bassett · assist José Caicedo
    POR
  16. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kristoffer Velde · assist Omir Fernandez
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.7
SEATTLE SOUNDERS AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.2
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
16.0
5.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
489.0
PASSES
426.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTLAND TIMBERS 4 shots
Kristoffer Velde
2/2
Brandon Bye
1/1
David Pereira Da Costa
1/1
SEATTLE SOUNDERS 7 shots
Nouhou Tolo
1/3
Albert Rusnák
1/2
Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
1/1
Stuart Hawkins
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.71 – 1.22
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 41' 82' 27' H 1.71 A 1.22 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
41
JAMES PAN
27
JíMER FOR
 7.6
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
 8.3
5
BRANDON B
 7.9
21
DIEGO CHA
 7.3
99
KRISTOFFE
 7.5
10
DAVID PER
17
COLE BASS
7
ARIEL LAS
19
KEVIN KEL
26
ANDREW TH
 7.0
5
NOUHOU TO
 6.7
39
STUART HA
20
KIM KEE-H
17
PAUL ARRI
45
PETER KIN
37
SNYDER BR
14
PAUL ROTH
 6.9
11
ALBERT RU
9
JESúS FER
95
OSAZE DE
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
15
Eric Miller
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
16
Sawyer Jura
D
25
Trey Muse
G
22
Omir Fernand...
F
30
José Caicedo
M
23
Ian Smith
D
11
Antony Alves
F
80
Joao Ortíz
M
COACH: Marti Cifuentes
SUBSTITUTES · SEATTLE SOUNDERS
40
Shane O'Neil...
M
24
Stefan Frei
G
35
Antino Lopez
D
19
Daniel Musov...
F
16
Alex Roldán
D
90
Sebastian Go...
M
85
Kalani Kossa...
M
4
Ryan Sailor
D
COACH: Brian Schmetzer
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joseph Dickerson, USA
—
POR MANAGER
Marti Cifuentes
head coach
SEA MANAGER
Brian Schmetzer
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
POR WINS
4
DRAWS
2
SEA WINS
40%
40%
20%
15 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
17 Jul 2026
Seattle Sounders
1 – 5
Portland Timbers
W
05 Oct 2025
Seattle Sounders
1 – 0
Portland Timbers
L
18 May 2025
Portland Timbers
1 – 1
Seattle Sounders
D
20 Oct 2024
Seattle Sounders
1 – 1
Portland Timbers
D
01 Sep 2024
Portland Timbers
1 – 0
Seattle Sounders
W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L L
SEATTLE SOUNDERS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
PORTLAND TIMBERS #8
Won · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
SEATTLE SOUNDERS #9
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kristoffer Velde
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cole Bassett
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kevin Kelsy
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Brandon Bye
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kim Kee-hee
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Osaze De Rosario
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sebastian Gomez
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ariel Lassiter
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Peter Kingston
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Kelsy
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Kelsy
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kamal Miller
  • 27'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
  • 25'
    Card · Yellow Card · Peter Kingston
  • 7'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Paul Arriola
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
2.06
48.5% implied
↑ best 2.12
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.13
SEATTLE SOUNDERS WIN
3.09
32.4% implied
↑ best 3.30

Market favors Portland Timbers. AI projects PORTLAND TIMBERS 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTLAND TIMBERS 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.90 2.92 +2.4%
888Sport 2.00 3.90 3.00 +2.4%
Bet365 2.00 3.90 3.30 +2.4%
Betano 2.02 4.10 3.25 +3.6%
Betfair 2.00 3.90 3.10 +2.4%
BetVictor 2.05 3.90 3.13 +2.4%
Dafabet 2.12 4.00 3.15 +3.0%
Marathonbet 2.05 3.92 3.04 +2.5%
Pinnacle 2.11 4.13 3.15 +3.8%
SBO 2.08 3.72 2.96 +1.1%
Superbet 2.07 3.90 3.20 +2.4%
Unibet 2.10 3.80 3.10 +1.7%
William Hill 2.00 3.90 2.90 +2.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.73
2.5 O 1.45 U 2.68
3.5 O 2.14 U 1.69
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 10 bks
NO
2.72 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.00
Away -0.5 1.75
Away -0.75 1.59
Away -1 1.40
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.26
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.