GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–0 · DRAW 56%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 02 AUG · 01:30 LOCAL
COLORADO RAPIDS
11TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
AUSTIN
L W L L L
· 14TH · 17 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+4' Rafael Navarro (P)
GOALS
Brad Stuver
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Brad Stuver
Austin · Captain · 96 mins
· 18% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.98
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.25
65%
BALL POSSESSION %
35%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
75%
11
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hamzat Ojediran · assist Josh Atencio
    COL
  2. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Wayne Frederick · assist Donavan Phillip
    COL
  3. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dante Sealy · assist Darren Yapi
    COL
  4. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Facundo Torres · assist Ervin Torres
    AUS
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Owen Wolff · assist Ilie Sánchez
    AUS
  6. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ervin Torres
    AUS
  7. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joseph Rosales
    AUS
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Besard Sabović · assist Przemysław Płacheta
    AUS
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jon Gallagher · assist Jayden Nelson
    AUS
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Brandon Vázquez · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  11. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Reggie Cannon · assist Alex Harris
    COL
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Georgi Minoungou · assist Keegan Rosenberry
    COL
  13. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Myrto Uzuni
    AUS
  14. 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty
    Rafael Navarro
    COL
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rafael Navarro
    COL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLORADO RAPIDS AVG 7.5
AUSTIN AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.0
xG
1.3
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
7.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
35.0%
497.0
PASSES
282.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
75.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
0.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLORADO RAPIDS 6 shots
Georgi Minoungou
1/2
Paxten Aaronson
2/2
Miguel Navarro
0/1
Loïc Williams
0/1
AUSTIN 1 shots
Besard Sabović
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.98 – 1.25
2.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 3.0 0.0 HT 90' H 2.98 A 1.25 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
41
NICHOLAS
 7.7
29
MIGUEL NA
 7.3
5
LOïC WILL
22
L. HERRIN
 7.3
4
REGGIE CA
8
HAMZAT OJ
13
WAYNE FRE
 7.5
93
GEORGI MI
 7.5
10
PAXTEN AA
7
DANTE SEA
9
RAFAEL NA
 8.3
1
BRAD STUV
 7.7
29
GUILHERME
35
MATEJA ĐO
 7.3
4
BRENDAN H
 7.0
17
JON GALLA
 7.2
14
BESARD SA
33
OWEN WOLF
30
JOSEPH RO
10
MYRTO UZU
9
BRANDON V
11
FACUNDO T
SUBSTITUTES · COLORADO RAPIDS
16
Alex Harris
F
77
Darren Yapi
F
47
Sydney Wathu...
F
12
Josh Atencio
M
33
Kosi Thompso...
D
2
Keegan Rosen...
D
24
Noah Cobb
D
31
Adam Beaudry
G
32
Donavan Phil...
F
COACH: Matt Wells
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
21
Christian Ra...
F
24
Jorge Alastu...
M
38
Ervin Torres
M
77
Przemysław P...
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
5
Oleksandr Sv...
D
12
Damian Las
G
7
Jayden Nelso...
F
COACH: Davy Arnaud
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Villarreal
—
COL MANAGER
Matt Wells
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Davy Arnaud
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
COL WINS
2
DRAWS
3
AUS WINS
50%
20%
30%
14 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
08 Jun 2025
Colorado Rapids
0 – 2
Austin
L
09 Mar 2025
Austin
0 – 1
Colorado Rapids
W
20 Oct 2024
Austin
3 – 2
Colorado Rapids
L
16 Jun 2024
Colorado Rapids
2 – 0
Austin
W
01 Oct 2023
Colorado Rapids
1 – 0
Austin
W
COLORADO RAPIDS LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L W
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
COLORADO RAPIDS #11
Won · already at 22 pts
AUSTIN #14
Lost · already at 17 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Rafael Navarro
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Penalty · Rafael Navarro
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Myrto Uzuni
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Georgi Minoungou
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Reggie Cannon
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Brandon Vázquez
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jon Gallagher
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Besard Sabović
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joseph Rosales
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ervin Torres
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Owen Wolff
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Facundo Torres
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dante Sealy
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Wayne Frederick
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hamzat Ojediran
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
COLORADO RAPIDS WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.87
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.03
AUSTIN WIN
4.26
23.5% implied
↑ best 4.55

Market favors Colorado Rapids. AI projects DRAW 56%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 56% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.85 4.30 +30.0%
888Sport 1.73 3.80 4.00 +29.7%
Bet365 1.75 3.80 4.50 +29.7%
Betano 1.78 3.85 4.35 +30.0%
Betfair 1.73 4.00 4.20 +31.0%
BetVictor 1.73 3.90 4.20 +30.4%
Dafabet 1.78 3.95 4.40 +30.7%
Marathonbet 1.72 3.92 4.25 +30.5%
Pinnacle 1.76 4.03 4.55 +31.2%
SBO 1.77 3.66 4.04 +28.7%
Superbet 1.77 3.90 4.35 +30.4%
Unibet 1.77 3.85 4.20 +30.0%
William Hill 1.73 3.80 4.00 +29.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.36
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.18
3.5 O 2.64 U 1.46
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 10 bks
NO
2.17 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.45
Away -0.5 2.07
Away -0.75 1.84
Away -1 1.60
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.