GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · HOUSTON DYNAMO 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 02 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
15TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L L W
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
HOUSTON DYNAMO
W D D W L
· 4TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 55' Guilherme ⚽ 71' Agustín Bouzat
Guilherme
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 48% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.21
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.86
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
14
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
92%
2
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 11'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lasse Berg Johnsen
    SPO
  2. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lasse Berg Johnsen
    SPO
  3. 45'+1
    Card · Red Card
    Lasse Berg Johnsen
    SPO
  4. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guilherme · assist Jack McGlynn
    HOU
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kwaku Agyabeng · assist Manu García
    SPO
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ezequiel Ponce · assist Duncan McGuire
    HOU
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Moises Mosquera · assist Wyatt Meyer
    SPO
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jacob Davis · assist Jayden Reid
    SPO
  9. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Agustín Bouzat
    HOU
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Capita · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Felipe Andrade · assist Duane Holmes
    HOU
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Agustín Bouzat · assist Franco Negri
    HOU
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Zorhan Bassong · assist Jacob Bartlett
    SPO
  14. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Halter
    HOU
  15. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Guilherme · assist Ondrej Lingr
    HOU
  16. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Héctor Herrera · assist Diadié Samassékou
    HOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 6.7
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.2
xG
1.9
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
0.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
384.0
PASSES
694.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
92.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
6.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 1 shots
Jayden Reid
1/1
HOUSTON DYNAMO 5 shots
Héctor Herrera
1/2
Guilherme
1/1
Jack McGlynn
0/1
Lucas Halter
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.21 – 1.86
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 55' 71' H 0.21 A 1.86 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
30
STEFAN CL
18
EMIR KARI
5
OR BLORIA
3
MOISES MO
 7.0
8
JACOB DAV
 6.6
22
ZORHAN BA
4
LASSE BER
11
CALVIN HA
 6.7
20
KWAKU AGY
7
CAPITA
9
DEJAN JOV
 7.5
31
JONATHAN
36
FELIPE AN
34
AGUSTIN R
 7.5
5
LUCAS HAL
11
LAWRENCE
 7.9
16
HéCTOR HE
6
ARTUR
 8.3
20
GUILHERME
30
AGUSTíN B
 7.7
8
JACK MCGL
10
EZEQUIEL
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
6
Manu García
M
2
Ian James
D
99
Jayden Reid
D
15
Jansen Mille...
D
28
Wyatt Meyer
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
24
Ibrahim Aliy...
F
9
Ondrej Lingr
M
22
Matthew Aran...
M
14
Duane Holmes
M
18
Diadié Samas...
M
21
Franco Negri
D
28
Erik Sviatch...
D
26
Blake Gillin...
G
23
Duncan McGui...
F
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Boiko
—
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
SPO WINS
4
DRAWS
3
HOU WINS
30%
40%
30%
11 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 Oct 2025
Sporting Kansas City
0 – 0
Houston Dynamo
D
01 Jun 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 – 3
Sporting Kansas City
W
12 May 2024
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 2
Houston Dynamo
L
25 Feb 2024
Houston Dynamo
1 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
D
27 Nov 2023
Houston Dynamo
1 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L W
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Lost · already at 14 pts
HOUSTON DYNAMO #4
Won · already at 29 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Héctor Herrera
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Guilherme
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Halter
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Zorhan Bassong
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Agustín Bouzat
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Felipe Andrade
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Capita
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Agustín Bouzat
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jacob Davis
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Moises Mosquera
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ezequiel Ponce
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kwaku Agyabeng
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guilherme
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Red Card · Lasse Berg Johnsen
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Lasse Berg Johnsen
  • 11'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lasse Berg Johnsen
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
3.14
31.8% implied
↑ best 3.29
DRAW
3.56
28.1% implied
↑ best 3.75
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
2.15
46.5% implied
↑ best 2.22

Market favors Houston Dynamo. AI projects HOUSTON DYNAMO 95%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HOUSTON DYNAMO 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.55 2.14 +48.3%
888Sport 3.00 3.60 2.05 +46.2%
Bet365 3.20 3.60 2.15 +48.5%
Betano 3.20 3.75 2.12 +47.8%
Betfair 3.20 3.50 2.15 +48.5%
BetVictor 3.13 3.70 2.10 +47.4%
Dafabet 3.20 3.70 2.19 +49.3%
Marathonbet 3.28 3.40 2.11 +47.6%
Pinnacle 3.29 3.59 2.22 +50.0%
SBO 2.91 3.45 2.20 +49.5%
Superbet 3.15 3.55 2.20 +49.5%
Unibet 3.20 3.30 2.20 +49.5%
William Hill 2.90 3.60 2.10 +47.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.19 U 4.50
2.5 O 1.63 U 2.24
3.5 O 2.55 U 1.49
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.52 10 bks
NO
2.38 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.43
Away -0.5 1.35
Away -0.75 1.24
Away -1 1.12
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.