GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 58% · Value: BTTS Yes 66%
CONF 72 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 02 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
MINNESOTA UNITED FC
10TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D L L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SAN DIEGO
W L L D W
· 13TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 3' Tomás Chancalay
GOALS
⚽ 64' Anders Dreyer (P)
CJ dos Santos
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
CJ dos Santos
San Diego · 92 mins
· 20% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.92
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.47
32%
BALL POSSESSION %
68%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
13
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
7
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tomás Chancalay · assist Wil Trapp
    MIN
  2. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    K. Sargeant · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  3. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    David Vazquez · assist Alex Mighten
    SAN
  4. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alejandro Alvarado Jr · assist Gabriel Pirani
    SAN
  5. 64'
    Goal · Penalty
    Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  6. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  7. 64'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Drake Callender
    MIN
  8. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Anthony Markanich · assist Devin Padelford
    MIN
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Mamadou Dieng · assist Kelvin Yeboah
    MIN
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tomás Chancalay · assist Mauricio González
    MIN
  11. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kyle Duncan · assist Bongokuhle Hlongwane
    MIN
  12. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Onni Valakari · assist Aníbal Godoy
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MINNESOTA UNITED FC AVG 7.1
SAN DIEGO AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.9
xG
1.5
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
8.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
1.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
32.0%
POSSESSION %
68.0%
332.0
PASSES
726.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
4.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
3.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MINNESOTA UNITED FC 8 shots
Joaquín Pereyra
2/4
Tomás Chancalay
2/3
Wil Trapp
1/1
SAN DIEGO 3 shots
Anders Dreyer
2/3
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.92 – 1.47
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 3' 64' H 0.92 A 1.47 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-3-3
5-4-1
4-3-3
12
DRAKE CAL
13
ANTHONY M
 6.9
23
MORRIS DU
15
MICHAEL B
28
JEFFERSON
3
KYLE DUNC
 7.0
8
TOMáS CHA
 6.9
30
OWEN GENE
 7.3
20
WIL TRAPP
 7.3
26
JOAQUíN P
29
MAMADOU D
 8.2
1
CJ DOS SA
5
KIERAN SA
 7.2
26
MANU DUAH
 7.6
97
CHRISTOPH
3
DAGUR DAN
8
ONNI VALA
 7.6
6
JEPPE TVE
70
ALEJANDRO
19
DAVID VAZ
7
MARCUS IN
 7.0
10
ANDERS DR
SUBSTITUTES · MINNESOTA UNITED FC
7
Dominik Fitz
M
21
Bongokuhle H...
F
9
Kelvin Yeboa...
F
18
Mauricio Gon...
F
67
Carlos Harve...
M
2
Devin Padelf...
D
24
Julian Gress...
M
1
Alec Smir
G
22
Marcus Calde...
F
COACH: Cameron Knowles
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
9
Lewis Morgan
F
12
Gabriel Pira...
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
27
Luca Bombino
D
25
Ian Pilcher
D
33
Oscar Verhoe...
D
18
Duran Ferree
G
77
Alex Mighten
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
T. Ford
—
MIN MANAGER
Cameron Knowles
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
MIN WINS
0
DRAWS
2
SAN WINS
50%
50%
7 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 4 / 4
12 Apr 2026
San Diego
1 – 2
Minnesota United FC
W
25 Nov 2025
San Diego
1 – 0
Minnesota United FC
L
14 Sep 2025
San Diego
1 – 3
Minnesota United FC
W
15 Jun 2025
Minnesota United FC
2 – 4
San Diego
L
MINNESOTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L L
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
MINNESOTA UNITED FC #10
Lost · already at 24 pts
SAN DIEGO #13
Lost · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Onni Valakari
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kyle Duncan
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tomás Chancalay
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Mamadou Dieng
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Anthony Markanich
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Drake Callender
  • 64'
    Card · Yellow Card · Anders Dreyer
  • 64'
    Goal · Penalty · Anders Dreyer
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alejandro Alvarado Jr
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · David Vazquez
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · K. Sargeant
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tomás Chancalay
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
MINNESOTA UNITED WIN
2.02
49.5% implied
↑ best 2.10
DRAW
3.75
26.7% implied
↑ best 3.90
SAN DIEGO WIN
3.30
30.3% implied
↑ best 3.49

Market favors Minnesota United FC. AI projects DRAW 58% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.97 3.85 3.30 +32.0%
888Sport 2.05 3.50 3.10 +29.4%
Bet365 2.10 3.75 3.30 +31.3%
Betano 2.05 3.75 3.35 +31.3%
Betfair 1.95 3.90 3.30 +32.4%
BetVictor 2.00 3.80 3.25 +31.7%
Dafabet 2.03 3.90 3.45 +32.4%
Marathonbet 1.97 3.75 3.35 +31.3%
Pinnacle 2.05 3.85 3.49 +32.0%
SBO 2.04 3.59 3.12 +30.1%
Superbet 2.02 3.80 3.40 +31.7%
Unibet 1.98 3.80 3.35 +31.7%
William Hill 2.05 3.50 3.10 +29.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 5.10
2.5 O 1.54 U 2.41
3.5 O 2.33 U 1.58
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.48 10 bks
NO
2.51 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.06
Away -0.5 1.80
Away -0.75 1.60
Away -1 1.41
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.