GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · CHICAGO FIRE 92% · Value: Over 2.5 85%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 02 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
CHICAGO FIRE
4TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CHARLOTTE
W D W W L
· 7TH · 25 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' Robert Lewandowski ⚽ 68' Robert Lewandowski
GOALS
⚽ 18' Pep Biel
Robert Lewandowski
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Robert Lewandowski
Chicago Fire · 96 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 13% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte
Watch on Other ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.83
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
14
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
8
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Anton Salétros
    CHI
  2. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pep Biel · assist Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  3. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Robert Lewandowski · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  4. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joel Waterman
    CHI
  5. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Robert Lewandowski · assist Robin Lod
    CHI
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Harry Toffolo · assist David Schnegg
    CHA
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jonathan Bamba · assist Puso Dithejane
    CHI
  8. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Liel Abada · assist Rodolfo Aloko
    CHA
  9. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Luca De La Torre · assist Brandt Bronico
    CHA
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Idan Toklomati · assist Archie Goodwin
    CHA
  11. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Robin Lod · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dje Tah D'Avilla · assist Mauricio Pineda
    CHI
  13. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Robert Lewandowski
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.8
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.8
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
9.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
462.0
PASSES
532.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
6.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
7.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHICAGO FIRE 6 shots
Robert Lewandowski
2/3
Robin Lod
1/2
Philip Zinckernagel
1/1
CHARLOTTE 4 shots
Pep Biel
1/4
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.59 – 0.83
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 20' 68' 18' H 1.59 A 0.83 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
1
CHRIS BRA
 7.2
17
ROBIN LOD
 9.6
9
ROBERT LE
19
JONATHAN
6
ANTON SAL
42
DJE TAH D
 7.6
11
PHILIP ZI
15
ANDREW GU
 7.5
3
JACK ELLI
 7.2
16
JOEL WATE
2
LEONARDO
1
KRISTIJAN
11
LIEL ABAD
 6.9
9
IDAN TOKL
 7.5
16
PEP BIEL
28
DJIBRIL D
 7.2
8
ASHLEY WE
 6.9
17
LUCA DE L
15
HARRY TOF
22
HENRY KES
44
MORRISON
 6.9
14
NATHAN BY
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
35
Sergio Orege...
M
5
Samuel Roger...
D
14
Viktor Radoj...
D
24
Jonathan Dea...
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
7
Maren Haile-...
M
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
12
Puso Ditheja...
F
20
Jason Shokal...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
20
Baye Couliba...
M
35
Will Cleary
D
4
Andrew Prive...
D
21
Tyler Miller
G
7
Archie Goodw...
F
13
Brandt Broni...
M
37
Rodolfo Alok...
F
23
David Schneg...
D
25
Tyger Smalls
F
COACH: Dean Smith
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Freemon
—
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CHI WINS
1
DRAWS
5
CHA WINS
33.3%
11.1%
55.6%
16 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
29 Jun 2025
Chicago Fire
3 – 2
Charlotte
W
17 May 2025
Charlotte
1 – 4
Chicago Fire
W
02 Oct 2024
Charlotte
4 – 3
Chicago Fire
L
16 May 2024
Chicago Fire
0 – 1
Charlotte
L
08 Oct 2023
Chicago Fire
0 – 2
Charlotte
L
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
CHICAGO FIRE #4
Won · already at 29 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
CHARLOTTE #7
Lost · already at 25 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Robert Lewandowski
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dje Tah D'Avilla
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Robin Lod
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Idan Toklomati
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Luca De La Torre
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Liel Abada
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jonathan Bamba
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Harry Toffolo
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Robert Lewandowski
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joel Waterman
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Robert Lewandowski
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pep Biel
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Anton Salétros
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
1.52
65.8% implied
↑ best 1.55
DRAW
4.61
21.7% implied
↑ best 4.85
CHARLOTTE WIN
5.41
18.5% implied
↑ best 5.80

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.51 4.40 5.50 +25.8%
888Sport 1.50 4.60 5.00 +25.3%
Bet365 1.53 4.50 5.75 +26.6%
Betano 1.55 4.75 5.80 +27.5%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.50 +25.3%
BetVictor 1.50 4.60 5.50 +25.3%
Dafabet 1.54 4.80 5.40 +27.1%
Marathonbet 1.49 4.65 5.40 +24.9%
Pinnacle 1.52 4.85 5.69 +26.2%
SBO 1.50 4.45 5.13 +25.3%
Superbet 1.53 4.70 5.30 +26.6%
Unibet 1.53 4.50 5.30 +26.6%
William Hill 1.50 4.60 5.00 +25.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.06
2.5 O 1.42 U 2.78
3.5 O 2.06 U 1.74
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 10 bks
NO
2.39 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.07
Away -0.5 2.50
Away -0.75 2.27
Away -1 1.99
Away -1.25 1.74
Away -1.5 1.58
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.