GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FC CINCINNATI 48% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SAT, 01 AUG · 23:30 LOCAL
FC CINCINNATI
6TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W D L
FT
4 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
D L W L L
· 3RD · 33 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 34' Bryan Ramirez ⚽ 80' Tom Barlow ⚽ 82' Evander
GOALS
⚽ 26' Daniel Munie ⚽ 57' Timo Werner
PREDICTIONS
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kyle Smith
    FC
  2. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Munie · assist Timo Werner
    SAN
  3. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Bryan Ramirez · assist Evander
    FC
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Nick Fernandez · assist Ian Harkes
    SAN
  5. 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Timo Werner · assist Preston Judd
    SAN
  6. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Vitor Costa · assist Jamar Ricketts
    SAN
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kenji Mboma Dem · assist Tom Barlow
    FC
  8. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Kyle Smith · assist Teenage Hadebe
    FC
  9. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ousseni Bouda · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  10. 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tom Barlow · assist Evander
    FC
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Benjamin Kikanović · assist Jack Jasinski
    SAN
  12. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Ronaldo Vieira · assist Dave Romney
    SAN
  13. 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Evander
    FC
MATCH STATS H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-1-2 vs 4-3-3
3-4-1-2
4-3-3
18
ROMAN CEL
11
SAMUEL GI
12
MILES ROB
24
KYLE SMIT
29
BRYAN RAM
5
OBINNA NW
20
PAVEL BUC
66
ENDER ECH
10
EVANDER
9
KéVIN DEN
17
KENJI MBO
1
ANGUS GUN
28
BENJAMIN
5
DANIEL MU
18
REID ROBE
87
VITOR COS
20
NICK FERN
14
RONALDO V
34
BEAU LERO
7
OUSSENI B
19
PRESTON J
11
TIMO WERN
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
16
Tom Barlow
F
99
Ayoub Jabbar...
F
27
Tah Anunga
M
2
Alvas Powell
D
15
Teenage Hade...
D
88
Andrei Chiri...
D
4
Nick Hagglun...
D
13
Evan Louro
G
14
Kristian Fle...
F
COACH: Pat Noonan
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
3
Paul Marie
D
16
Jack Skahan
M
6
Ian Harkes
M
79
Darius Johns...
F
2
Jamar Ricket...
D
4
Dave Romney
D
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
31
Francesco Mo...
G
9
Luka Jovanov...
F
COACH: Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
V. Rivas
—
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
FC WINS
1
DRAWS
1
SAN WINS
50%
25%
25%
10 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
3.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 4
16 Jun 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
2 – 4
FC Cincinnati
W
10 Sep 2022
FC Cincinnati
6 – 0
San Jose Earthquakes
W
05 May 2019
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 0
FC Cincinnati
L
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D L
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–2 · result locked
FC CINCINNATI #6
Won · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #3
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 18 9 3 6 +5 30
L D W D L
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 18 10 2 6 +3 32
W W W D D
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 82'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Evander
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Ronaldo Vieira
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Benjamin Kikanović
  • 80'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tom Barlow
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ousseni Bouda
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Kyle Smith
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kenji Mboma Dem
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Vitor Costa
  • 57'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Timo Werner
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Nick Fernandez
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Bryan Ramirez
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Munie
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kyle Smith
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC CINCINNATI WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.93
DRAW
4.21
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.33
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
3.48
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.80

Market favors FC Cincinnati. AI projects FC CINCINNATI 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC CINCINNATI 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.87 4.10 3.45 +2.6%
888Sport 1.80 4.33 3.30 +3.9%
Bet365 1.85 4.00 3.80 +2.0%
Betano 1.87 4.10 3.65 +2.6%
Betfair 1.87 4.20 3.60 +3.2%
BetVictor 1.87 4.33 3.30 +3.9%
Dafabet 1.91 4.30 3.55 +3.7%
Marathonbet 1.83 4.20 3.50 +3.2%
Pinnacle 1.93 4.27 3.56 +3.6%
SBO 1.87 4.09 3.23 +2.6%
Superbet 1.90 4.20 3.50 +3.2%
Unibet 1.85 4.25 3.45 +3.5%
William Hill 1.80 4.33 3.30 +3.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.07 U 8.10
2.5 O 1.27 U 3.61
3.5 O 1.70 U 2.13
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.29 10 bks
NO
3.37 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.22
Away -0.5 1.92
Away -0.75 1.75
Away -1 1.55
Away -1.25 1.45
Away -1.5 1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.