GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · PORTLAND TIMBERS 88% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 83 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SUN, 26 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
PORTLAND TIMBERS
10TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L D
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
REAL SALT LAKE
L D W W L
· 4TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 56' Felipe Mora ⚽ 67' Felipe Mora
GOALS
⚽ 18' Juan Sanabria
Kristoffer Velde
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Kristoffer Velde
Portland Timbers · 96 mins
🅰 1 assist · 28% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Portland Timbers vs. Real Salt Lake | Full Match Highlights | Felipe Mora FAREWELL BRACE!!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.58
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.15
61%
BALL POSSESSION %
39%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
6
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
13
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Cole Bassett
    POR
  2. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Juan Sanabria · assist Morgan Guilavogui
    REA
  3. 34'
    Card · Red Card
    Morgan Guilavogui
    REA
  4. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Diego Chará
    POR
  5. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sergi Solans
    REA
  6. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Felipe Mora · assist Ariel Lassiter
    POR
  7. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ariel Lassiter · assist Antony Alves
    POR
  8. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    DeAndre Yedlin · assist Sam Junqua
    REA
  9. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Felipe Mora · assist Kristoffer Velde
    POR
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diego Chará · assist José Caicedo
    POR
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Felipe Mora · assist Alexander Aravena
    POR
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diego Luna · assist Saba Lobzhanidze
    REA
  13. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sergi Solans · assist Victor Olatunji
    REA
  14. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Lukas Engel · assist Juan Jose Arias
    REA
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Juan Sanabria · assist Alexandros Katranis
    REA
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cole Bassett · assist Joao Ortíz
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.7
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.6
xG
0.2
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
8.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
39.0%
518.0
PASSES
338.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
13.0
CORNERS
5.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTLAND TIMBERS 7 shots
Kristoffer Velde
2/4
Felipe Mora
2/3
REAL SALT LAKE 2 shots
Juan Sanabria
1/1
Noel Caliskan
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.58 – 0.15
2.1 1.5 1 0.5 2.6 0.0 HT 56' 67' 18' H 2.58 A 0.15 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-1-4-1 vs 3-4-3
4-1-4-1
3-4-3
41
JAMES PAN
27
JíMER FOR
 7.7
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 7.2
21
DIEGO CHA
 8.3
99
KRISTOFFE
10
DAVID PER
17
COLE BASS
 7.3
7
ARIEL LAS
 8.2
9
FELIPE MO
 7.6
1
RAFAEL CA
4
LUKAS ENG
 7.2
26
PHILIP QU
 7.0
2
DEANDRE Y
 7.9
8
JUAN SANA
 7.2
92
NOEL CALI
6
STIJN SPI
72
ZAVIER GO
9
MORGAN GU
22
SERGI SOL
10
DIEGO LUN
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
15
Eric Miller
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
23
Ian Smith
D
25
Trey Muse
G
80
Joao Ortíz
M
28
Alexander Ar...
F
30
José Caicedo
M
11
Antony Alves
F
53
Sawyer Jura
D
COACH: Jack Cassidy
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
27
Griffin Dill...
M
23
Zach Booth
M
31
Mason Stajdu...
G
98
Alexandros K...
D
17
Victor Olatu...
F
12
Saba Lobzhan...
M
21
Juan Jose Ar...
D
29
Sam Junqua
D
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
E. Arreguin
—
POR MANAGER
Jack Cassidy
head coach
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
POR WINS
4
DRAWS
3
REA WINS
30%
40%
30%
15 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
02 May 2026
Real Salt Lake
2 – 0
Portland Timbers
L
23 Oct 2025
Portland Timbers
3 – 1
Real Salt Lake
W
17 Jul 2025
Portland Timbers
0 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
15 May 2025
Real Salt Lake
0 – 0
Portland Timbers
D
22 Sep 2024
Real Salt Lake
3 – 3
Portland Timbers
D
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L D
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
PORTLAND TIMBERS #10
Won · already at 21 pts
REAL SALT LAKE #4
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cole Bassett
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Juan Sanabria
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Lukas Engel
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sergi Solans
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diego Luna
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Felipe Mora
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diego Chará
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Felipe Mora
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · DeAndre Yedlin
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ariel Lassiter
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Felipe Mora
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sergi Solans
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Diego Chará
  • 34'
    Card · Red Card · Morgan Guilavogui
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Juan Sanabria
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · Cole Bassett
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
2.46
40.7% implied
↑ best 2.55
DRAW
3.89
25.7% implied
↑ best 4.04
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.63

Market favors Portland Timbers. AI projects PORTLAND TIMBERS 88% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTLAND TIMBERS 88% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 3.95 2.50 +46.3%
Bet365 2.50 3.90 2.50 +48.0%
Betano 2.55 3.95 2.47 +48.8%
Betfair 2.50 3.90 2.45 +48.0%
BetVictor 2.45 4.00 2.45 +47.2%
Dafabet 2.49 3.90 2.60 +47.8%
Marathonbet 2.51 3.86 2.41 +48.2%
Pinnacle 2.47 4.04 2.63 +47.5%
SBO 2.39 3.76 2.47 +46.2%
Superbet 2.50 3.90 2.55 +48.0%
Unibet 2.38 3.90 2.55 +46.0%
William Hill 2.38 3.60 2.50 +46.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.94
2.5 O 1.34 U 3.12
3.5 O 1.89 U 1.88
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.32 9 bks
NO
3.11 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.69
Away -0.5 1.55
Away -0.75 1.40
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.19
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.