GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · PHILADELPHIA UNION 91%
CONF 83 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SAT, 25 JUL · 23:30 LOCAL
PHILADELPHIA UNION
14TH · 13 PTS · LAST 5:
W L D L L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SEATTLE SOUNDERS
L L L L W
· 8TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 31' Milan Iloski
GOALS
Quinn Sullivan
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Quinn Sullivan
Philadelphia Union · 24 mins
· 6% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.15
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.36
44%
BALL POSSESSION %
56%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
7
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hassani Dotson
    SEA
  2. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Milan Iloski · assist Frankie Westfield
    PHI
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kalani Kossa-Rienzi · assist Peter Kingston
    SEA
  4. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Paul Arriola · assist Jesús Ferreira
    SEA
  5. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Antino Lopez · assist Gallatin Sandnes
    SEA
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Indiana Vassilev · assist Quinn Sullivan
    PHI
  7. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Bruno Damiani · assist Ezekiel Alladoh
    PHI
  8. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Osaze De Rosario · assist Daniel Musovski
    SEA
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Danley Jean Jacques · assist Jesus Bueno
    PHI
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Hassani Dotson · assist Sebastian Gomez
    SEA
  11. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Cavan Sullivan · assist Alejandro Bedoya
    PHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PHILADELPHIA UNION AVG 7.5
SEATTLE SOUNDERS AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
0.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
44.0%
POSSESSION %
56.0%
340.0
PASSES
442.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
10.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PHILADELPHIA UNION 9 shots
Milan Iloski
2/3
Cavan Sullivan
1/3
Quinn Sullivan
1/2
Kai Wagner
0/1
SEATTLE SOUNDERS 1 shots
Paul Arriola
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.15 – 0.36
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 31' H 1.15 A 0.36 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
18
ANDRE BLA
 7.5
27
KAI WAGNE
44
NEIL PIER
26
NATHAN HA
 7.2
39
FRANKIE W
19
INDIANA V
21
DANLEY JE
4
JOVAN LUK
 7.5
6
CAVAN SUL
9
BRUNO DAM
 7.7
10
MILAN ILO
 6.9
26
ANDREW TH
5
NOUHOU TO
35
ANTINO LO
 6.7
39
STUART HA
85
KALANI KO
 6.9
37
SNYDER BR
31
HASSANI D
14
PAUL ROTH
11
ALBERT RU
 7.0
17
PAUL ARRI
95
OSAZE DE
SUBSTITUTES · PHILADELPHIA UNION
11
Alejandro Be...
M
16
Ben Bender
M
28
Agustin Anel...
F
8
Jesus Bueno
M
33
Quinn Sulliv...
M
2
Geiner Martí...
D
5
Japhet Sery...
D
76
Andrew Rick
G
23
Ezekiel Alla...
F
COACH: Bradley Carnell
SUBSTITUTES · SEATTLE SOUNDERS
90
Sebastian Go...
M
9
Jesús Ferrei...
F
45
Peter Kingst...
M
53
Gallatin San...
D
28
Yeimar Gómez
D
24
Stefan Frei
G
50
Max Anchor
G
19
Daniel Musov...
F
COACH: Brian Schmetzer
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
PHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Tim Ford, USA
—
PHI MANAGER
Bradley Carnell
head coach
SEA MANAGER
Brian Schmetzer
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
PHI WINS
2
DRAWS
5
SEA WINS
30%
20%
50%
11 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 May 2024
Philadelphia Union
2 – 3
Seattle Sounders
L
18 May 2019
Philadelphia Union
0 – 0
Seattle Sounders
D
20 Sep 2018
Seattle Sounders
0 – 1
Philadelphia Union
W
01 Oct 2017
Philadelphia Union
2 – 0
Seattle Sounders
W
17 Apr 2016
Seattle Sounders
2 – 1
Philadelphia Union
L
PHILADELPHIA UNION LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L L
SEATTLE SOUNDERS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
PHILADELPHIA UNION #14
Won · already at 13 pts
SEATTLE SOUNDERS #8
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Cavan Sullivan
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Hassani Dotson
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Danley Jean Jacques
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Osaze De Rosario
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Bruno Damiani
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Indiana Vassilev
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Antino Lopez
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Paul Arriola
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Milan Iloski
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hassani Dotson
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
PHILADELPHIA UNI WIN
1.85
54.1% implied
↑ best 1.89
DRAW
3.85
26% implied
↑ best 4.00
SEATTLE SOUNDERS WIN
3.86
25.9% implied
↑ best 4.20

Market favors Philadelphia Union. AI projects PHILADELPHIA UNION 91%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PHILADELPHIA UNION 91% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.84 3.85 3.75 +36.7%
Bet365 1.80 3.90 4.20 +35.4%
Betano 1.85 3.90 3.95 +36.9%
Betfair 1.83 4.00 3.90 +36.4%
BetVictor 1.80 3.90 3.90 +35.4%
Dafabet 1.89 3.90 3.95 +38.1%
Marathonbet 1.82 3.82 3.84 +36.1%
Pinnacle 1.86 3.96 4.05 +37.2%
SBO 1.89 3.64 3.52 +38.1%
Superbet 1.88 3.85 3.85 +37.8%
Unibet 1.88 3.90 3.60 +37.8%
William Hill 1.83 3.60 3.75 +36.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.86
2.5 O 1.58 U 2.34
3.5 O 2.44 U 1.53
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.54 9 bks
NO
2.36 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.30
Away -0.5 1.95
Away -0.75 1.75
Away -1 1.53
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.