GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–4 · ORLANDO CITY SC 98% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 92 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
4TH · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L D
FT
0 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
ORLANDO CITY SC
W L D L W
· 9TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 7' D. Brekalo ⚽ 29' I. Angulo ⚽ 48' A. Griezmann ⚽ 73' Braian Ojeda
M. Crépeau
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
M. Crépeau
Orlando City SC · 91 mins
· 21% pass acc
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.04
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.53
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
14
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
81%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    D. Brekalo · assist E. Atuesta
    ORL
  2. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    I. Angulo · assist E. Atuesta
    ORL
  3. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    E. Atuesta
    ORL
  4. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    T. Werner
    SAN
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Fernandez · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  6. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    A. Griezmann · assist Justin Ellis
    ORL
  7. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Vieira
    SAN
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tiago · assist T. Spicer
    ORL
  9. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Preston Judd
    SAN
  10. 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Braian Ojeda · assist E. Atuesta
    ORL
  11. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    J. Ricketts · assist P. Marie
    SAN
  12. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    T. Werner · assist D. Johnson
    SAN
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Gomez · assist Bernardo Rhein Goncalves
    ORL
  14. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    E. Atuesta · assist Luis Otávio
    ORL
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    I. Angulo · assist Harvey Sarajian
    ORL
  16. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Harvey Sarajian
    ORL
  17. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    R. Vieira · assist J. A. Gonzalez Mendoza
    SAN
  18. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Justin Ellis · assist Z. Taifi
    ORL
  19. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Beau Leroux · assist I. Harkes
    SAN
  20. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 6.6
ORLANDO CITY SC AVG 8.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.5
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
7.0
ON TARGET
7.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
408.0
PASSES
404.0
81.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
7.0
OFFSIDES
5.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
10.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
4.0
GK SAVES
7.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 7 shots
O. Bouda
2/4
Beau Leroux
2/3
ORLANDO CITY SC 7 shots
D. Brekalo
2/2
Braian Ojeda
1/2
A. Griezmann
1/2
E. Atuesta
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.04 – 1.53
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 7' 29' 48' 73' H 1.04 A 1.53 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
ANGUS GUN
2
J. RICKET
18
R. ROBERT
5
DANIEL MU
28
B. KIKANO
 6.3
14
R. VIEIRA
 7.2
34
BEAU LERO
11
T. WERNER
 6.3
20
N. FERNAN
 6.7
7
O. BOUDA
19
PRESTON J
 8.6
71
M. CRéPEA
3
ADRIáN MA
6
R. JANSSO
 8.3
4
D. BREKAL
24
G. DORSEY
11
TIAGO
 8.2
20
E. ATUEST
 8.3
8
BRAIAN OJ
77
I. ANGULO
22
JUSTIN EL
 7.9
7
A. GRIEZM
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
6
I. Harkes
M
40
J. A. Gonzal...
M
79
D. Johnson
F
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
25
Max Floriani
D
4
Dave Romney
D
31
Francesco Mo...
G
16
Jack Skahan
M
3
P. Marie
D
COACH: Bruce Arena
SUBSTITUTES · ORLANDO CITY SC
5
Luis Otávio
M
16
W. Cartagena
M
57
Iago
D
19
Z. Taifi
M
29
Tahir Reid-B...
D
44
Bernardo Rhe...
F
12
Javier Otero
G
14
T. Spicer
F
23
Harvey Saraj...
F
COACH: Oscar Pareja
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ORL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
E. Arreguin
—
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
ORL MANAGER
Oscar Pareja
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
SAN WINS
3
DRAWS
3
ORL WINS
14.3%
42.9%
42.9%
9 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
3.14
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
19 May 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
0 – 1
Orlando City SC
L
22 Jun 2021
Orlando City SC
5 – 0
San Jose Earthquakes
L
01 Sep 2019
San Jose Earthquakes
3 – 0
Orlando City SC
W
21 Apr 2018
Orlando City SC
3 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
L
18 May 2017
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1
Orlando City SC
D
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L D
ORLANDO CITY SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–4 · result locked
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #4
Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
ORLANDO CITY SC #9
Won · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Beau Leroux
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Justin Ellis
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · R. Vieira
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Harvey Sarajian
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · I. Angulo
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · E. Atuesta
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Gomez
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · T. Werner
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · J. Ricketts
  • 73'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Braian Ojeda
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Preston Judd
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tiago
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Vieira
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · A. Griezmann
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Fernandez
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · T. Werner
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · E. Atuesta
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · I. Angulo
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · D. Brekalo
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
1.63
61.3% implied
↑ best 1.70
DRAW
4.56
21.9% implied
↑ best 4.90
ORLANDO CITY SC WIN
4.43
22.6% implied
↑ best 5.10

Market favors San Jose Earthquakes. AI projects ORLANDO CITY SC 98% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ORLANDO CITY SC 98% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.67 4.45 4.10 +73.6%
Bet365 1.65 4.50 4.33 +74.9%
Betano 1.70 4.70 4.55 +76.0%
Betfair 1.65 4.50 4.33 +74.9%
BetVictor 1.62 4.50 4.40 +75.3%
Dafabet 1.67 4.60 4.40 +75.3%
Marathonbet 1.61 4.55 4.33 +74.9%
Pinnacle 1.68 4.71 4.38 +75.2%
SBO 1.53 4.55 4.75 +76.9%
Superbet 1.54 4.90 5.10 +78.4%
Unibet 1.60 4.50 4.50 +75.8%
William Hill 1.62 4.20 4.00 +73.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.42
2.5 O 1.31 U 3.33
3.5 O 1.82 U 1.96
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.37 9 bks
NO
2.87 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.64
Away -0.5 2.26
Away -0.75 2.04
Away -1 1.80
Away -1.25 1.64
Away -1.5 1.52
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.