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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–0 · DRAW 48%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 01:30 LOCAL
COLORADO RAPIDS
11TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L L W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SAN DIEGO
D W L D W
· 13TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+5' Loïc Williams
GOALS
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
Colorado Rapids · 93 mins
· 29% pass acc
RATING
7.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.32
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.78
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
6
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
5
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Christopher McVey
    SAN
  2. 22'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Loïc Williams
    COL
  3. 28'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Reggie Cannon
    COL
  4. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    K. Sargeant · assist Ian Murphy
    SAN
  5. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Aníbal Godoy · assist Alejandro Alvarado Jr
    SAN
  6. 71'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ian Murphy
    SAN
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Georgi Minoungou · assist Darren Yapi
    COL
  8. 82'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rafael Navarro
    COL
  9. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Marcus Ingvartsen · assist Lewis Morgan
    SAN
  10. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Darren Yapi
    COL
  11. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Reggie Cannon · assist L. Herrington
    COL
  12. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rob Holding · assist Noah Cobb
    COL
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Alex Mighten · assist Bryan Zamblé
    SAN
  14. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Josh Atencio · assist Donavan Phillip
    COL
  15. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lewis Morgan
    SAN
  16. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Loïc Williams · assist Paxten Aaronson
    COL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLORADO RAPIDS AVG 7.1
SAN DIEGO AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.3
xG
0.8
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
1.0
ON TARGET
2.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
457.0
PASSES
427.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
3.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
7.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLORADO RAPIDS 2 shots
Dante Sealy
1/2
SAN DIEGO 2 shots
Onni Valakari
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.32 – 0.78
0.6 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.8 0.0 HT 90' H 0.32 A 0.78 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.7
41
NICHOLAS
33
KOSI THOM
5
LOïC WILL
 7.2
6
ROB HOLDI
 6.9
4
REGGIE CA
12
JOSH ATEN
10
PAXTEN AA
8
HAMZAT OJ
 7.0
93
GEORGI MI
9
RAFAEL NA
 6.9
7
DANTE SEA
 7.2
1
CJ DOS SA
5
KIERAN SA
 7.7
26
MANU DUAH
97
CHRISTOPH
 7.0
33
OSCAR VER
6
JEPPE TVE
 7.0
20
ANíBAL GO
77
ALEX MIGH
 7.3
8
ONNI VALA
10
ANDERS DR
7
MARCUS IN
SUBSTITUTES · COLORADO RAPIDS
16
Alex Harris
F
15
Ali Fadal
M
22
L. Herringto...
D
2
Keegan Rosen...
D
24
Noah Cobb
D
31
Adam Beaudry
G
77
Darren Yapi
F
COACH: Matt Wells
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
19
David Vazque...
M
15
Pedro Soma
M
70
Alejandro Al...
F
2
Willy Kumado
D
25
Ian Pilcher
D
32
Ian Murphy
D
18
Duran Ferree
G
9
Lewis Morgan
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
C. Penso
—
COL MANAGER
Matt Wells
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
COL WINS
0
DRAWS
1
SAN WINS
50%
50%
3 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
15 May 2025
San Diego
2 – 0
Colorado Rapids
L
13 Apr 2025
Colorado Rapids
3 – 2
San Diego
W
COLORADO RAPIDS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L W
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
COLORADO RAPIDS #11
Won · already at 22 pts
SAN DIEGO #13
Lost · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Loïc Williams
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · Lewis Morgan
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Josh Atencio
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Alex Mighten
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rob Holding
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Reggie Cannon
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Darren Yapi
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Marcus Ingvartsen
  • 82'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rafael Navarro
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Georgi Minoungou
  • 71'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ian Murphy
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Aníbal Godoy
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · K. Sargeant
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 28'
    Card · Yellow Card · Reggie Cannon
  • 22'
    Card · Yellow Card · Loïc Williams
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Christopher McVey
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
COLORADO RAPIDS WIN
1.96
51% implied
↑ best 2.12
DRAW
3.87
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.01
SAN DIEGO WIN
3.43
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.70

Market favors Colorado Rapids. AI projects DRAW 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.95 3.45 +22.7%
Bet365 1.91 3.80 3.70 +21.7%
Betano 1.98 3.85 3.55 +22.0%
Betfair 1.91 3.90 3.50 +22.4%
BetVictor 1.90 4.00 3.40 +23.0%
Dafabet 1.99 3.95 3.50 +22.7%
Marathonbet 1.92 3.86 3.42 +22.1%
Pinnacle 1.96 4.01 3.62 +23.1%
SBO 1.94 3.84 3.21 +22.0%
Superbet 2.12 3.80 3.15 +21.7%
Unibet 1.98 3.85 3.30 +22.0%
William Hill 1.95 3.60 3.30 +20.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.80
2.5 O 1.44 U 2.71
3.5 O 2.09 U 1.73
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.41 9 bks
NO
2.70 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.15
Away -0.5 1.85
Away -0.75 1.67
Away -1 1.47
Away -1.25 1.38
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.