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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · NASHVILLE SC 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 00:30 LOCAL
NASHVILLE SC
1ST · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
L W W W W
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
CF MONTREAL
L D D L D
· 13TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 68' Sam Surridge (P)
GOALS
Jeisson Palacios
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jeisson Palacios
Nashville SC · 93 mins
· 101% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.70
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.58
63%
BALL POSSESSION %
37%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
6
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
90%
PASS ACCURACY %
85%
3
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Josh Bauer · assist Andy Najar
    NAS
  2. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Edvard Sandvik Tagseth · assist Bryan Acosta
    NAS
  3. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Alex Muyl · assist Ahmed Qasem
    NAS
  4. 68'
    Goal · Penalty
    Sam Surridge
    NAS
  5. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Fabian Herbers · assist Daniel Rios
    CF
  6. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jalen Neal · assist Efraín Morales
    CF
  7. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    N. Streit · assist Olger Escobar
    CF
  8. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sam Surridge
    NAS
  9. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matthew Longstaff · assist Frankie Amaya
    CF
  10. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    S. Mohammed · assist Jack Maher
    NAS
  11. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Matthew Corcoran · assist Charles-Emile Brunet
    NAS
  12. 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
    CF
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NASHVILLE SC AVG 7.5
CF MONTREAL AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
0.6
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
1.0
ON TARGET
2.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
37.0%
640.0
PASSES
364.0
90.0%
PASS ACCURACY
85.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
2.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NASHVILLE SC 1 shots
Sam Surridge
1/1
CF MONTREAL 1 shots
Efraín Morales
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.70 – 0.58
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 68' H 1.70 A 0.58 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
4-3-3
4-3-3
7.6
99
BRIAN SCH
2
DANIEL LO
 7.3
3
MAXWELL W
 7.9
4
JEISSON P
22
JOSH BAUE
19
ALEX MUYL
16
MATTHEW C
 7.3
20
EDVARD SA
10
HANY MUKH
 7.2
9
SAM SURRI
14
S. MOHAMM
1
SEBASTIAN
13
LUCA PETR
 7.2
4
BRAYAN VE
 7.5
2
JALEN NEA
27
DAWID BUG
22
VICTOR LO
 7.0
8
MATTHEW L
21
FABIAN HE
23
NOAH STRE
9
PRINCE OW
18
HENNADII
SUBSTITUTES · NASHVILLE SC
12
Charles-Emil...
M
6
Bryan Acosta
M
37
Ahmed Qasem
F
31
Andy Najar
D
23
J. Knight
D
21
T. Williams
D
5
Jack Maher
D
1
Joe Willis
G
17
Woobens Paci...
F
COACH: Brian Callaghan
SUBSTITUTES · CF MONTREAL
29
Olger Escoba...
F
25
Frankie Amay...
M
26
Ivan Losenko
M
17
Dagur Dan Þó...
D
6
Samuel Piett...
M
5
Brandan Crai...
D
24
Efraín Moral...
D
41
Samsy Keita
G
14
Daniel Rios
F
COACH: Philippe Eullaffroy
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. De Oliveira
—
NAS MANAGER
Brian Callaghan
head coach
CF MANAGER
Philippe Eullaffroy
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NAS WINS
4
DRAWS
1
CF WINS
50%
40%
10%
16 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.30
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
04 Oct 2025
CF Montreal
1 – 1
Nashville SC
D
23 Mar 2025
Nashville SC
3 – 0
CF Montreal
W
25 May 2024
CF Montreal
0 – 0
Nashville SC
D
05 May 2024
Nashville SC
4 – 1
CF Montreal
W
21 Jun 2023
CF Montreal
1 – 0
Nashville SC
L
NASHVILLE SC LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W W
CF MONTREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
NASHVILLE SC #1
Won · already at 39 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
CF MONTREAL #13
Lost · already at 15 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Matthew Corcoran
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · S. Mohammed
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matthew Longstaff
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sam Surridge
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · N. Streit
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jalen Neal
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Fabian Herbers
  • 68'
    Goal · Penalty · Sam Surridge
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Alex Muyl
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Edvard Sandvik Tagseth
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Josh Bauer
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
NASHVILLE SC WIN
1.50
66.7% implied
↑ best 1.55
DRAW
4.40
22.7% implied
↑ best 4.60
CF MONTREAL WIN
5.96
16.8% implied
↑ best 6.25

Market favors Nashville SC. AI projects NASHVILLE SC 92%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NASHVILLE SC 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.47 4.50 6.00 +24.0%
Bet365 1.55 4.10 6.00 +27.5%
Betano 1.55 4.60 6.00 +27.5%
Betfair 1.44 4.60 6.00 +22.6%
BetVictor 1.50 4.33 5.75 +25.3%
Dafabet 1.52 4.60 6.00 +26.2%
Marathonbet 1.47 4.40 6.05 +24.0%
Pinnacle 1.53 4.56 6.10 +26.6%
SBO 1.47 4.32 5.80 +24.0%
Superbet 1.49 4.60 6.10 +24.9%
Unibet 1.52 4.00 6.25 +26.2%
William Hill 1.44 4.20 5.50 +22.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.73
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.31
3.5 O 2.48 U 1.53
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 9 bks
NO
2.07 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.16
Away -0.5 2.51
Away -0.75 2.28
Away -1 1.98
Away -1.25 1.73
Away -1.5 1.57
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.