GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 01:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
AUSTIN
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME
SEATTLE SOUNDERS
⚽ 11' Ilie Sánchez ⚽ 86' Myrto Uzuni ⚽ 90+1' Christian Ramirez
GOALS
⚽ 26' Paul Rothrock
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 52/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AUS
2 – 1
SEA
most likely scoreline · 10.5% probability
AI PICKS AUSTIN TO WIN 38%
FT 3 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
AUS WIN 38%
DRAW 36%
SEA WIN 26%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.56% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Tied at HT with both teams scoring; expect open second half, slight home edge from comeback mentality but draw remains live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY AUSTIN FAVORED
38%
Austin home form (LWWDL) mixed; Seattle away form (LDWWL) poor — marginal edge to home
+20.0%
Seattle defensive concern: 31 GA this season vs Austin 19 GF — high BTTS probability (78%)
+15.0%
WHY SEATTLE SOUNDERS CHALLENGED
26%
1-1 at HT favours draw (36%) — both sides showed attacking intent; only 45 min remain
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-1 at HT favours draw (36%) — both sides showed attacking intent; only 45 min remain
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 11' ILIE SáNC ⚽ 26' PAUL ROTHR ⚽ 86' MYRTO UZUN ⚽ 91' CHRISTIAN
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.7
2.3
0.7
0.2
·
·
1
10.2
9.7
4.6
1.5
0.4
0.1
·
2
10.5
9.9
4.7
1.5
0.4
0.1
·
3
7.2
6.8
3.2
1.0
0.2
·
·
4
3.7
3.5
1.7
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.5
1.4
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 10.5%
1 — 0 10.2%
2 — 1 9.9%
1 — 1 9.7%
3 — 0 7.2%
Top 5 = 47.5% · rest 52.5%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.50
36.0%
2.78
+26.1%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
78.0%
1.28
+22.8%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.63
74.0%
1.35
+20.5%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.01
38.0%
2.63
+14.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.72
62.0%
1.61
+6.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
62.0%
1.61
-15.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
64.0%
1.56
-18.7%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.25
26.0%
3.85
-41.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.