GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · THU, 23 JUL · 00:15 LOCAL
← Match Page
CHARLOTTE
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME
ATLANTA UNITED FC
⚽ 16' Kerwin Calderón Vargas ⚽ 45' Liel Abada
GOALS
⚽ 57' Elías Báez ⚽ 76' Miguel Almirón
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CHA
2 – 2
ATL
most likely scoreline · 7.7% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
CHA WIN 38%
DRAW 48%
ATL WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
BTTS YES

AI projects 95% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 95% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

90' tied 2-2 with minimal time left; draw is clear favourite. Both sides fatigued and defensive.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CHARLOTTE CHALLENGED
38%
Atlanta's late substitutions (89', 90') suggest defensive shoring; Charlotte also deep in bench
+20.0%
H2H shows Charlotte stronger (3W-1D-1L vs ATU over 5) but current scoreline reflects parity
+15.0%
WHY ATLANTA UNITED FC CHALLENGED
14%
2-2 at 90' with <1 minute of normal time remaining — statistically >90% of ties resolve as draws
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 2-2 at 90' with <1 minute of normal time remaining — statistically >90% of ties resolve as draws
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 16' KERWIN CAL ⚽ 45' LIEL ABADA ⚽ 57' ELíAS Bá ⚽ 76' MIGUEL ALM
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
1.8
3.5
3.3
2.1
1.0
0.4
0.1
1
3.9
7.3
6.9
4.4
2.1
0.8
0.3
2
4.0
7.7
7.3
4.6
2.2
0.8
0.3
3
2.8
5.4
5.1
3.2
1.5
0.6
0.2
4
1.5
2.8
2.7
1.7
0.8
0.3
0.1
5
0.6
1.2
1.1
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
6+
0.2
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.1
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 1 7.7%
1 — 1 7.3%
2 — 2 7.3%
1 — 2 6.9%
3 — 1 5.4%
Top 5 = 34.6% · rest 65.4%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.51
48.0%
2.08
+68.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
95.0%
1.05
+49.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.68
72.0%
1.39
+20.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
86.0%
1.16
+10.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
62.0%
1.61
+8.5%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.07
38.0%
2.63
-21.2%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
52.0%
1.92
-34.0%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.40
14.0%
7.14
-52.4%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.