GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–4 · PORTLAND TIMBERS 98% · Value: Over 2.5 95%
CONF 94 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · FRI, 17 JUL · 02:30 LOCAL
SEATTLE SOUNDERS
8TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L W
FT
1 – 5
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
PORTLAND TIMBERS
W D L L D
· 10TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 87' Hassani Dotson
GOALS
⚽ 19' K. Kelsy ⚽ 56' Kamal Miller ⚽ 60' Cole Bassett ⚽ 63' K. Kelsy ⚽ 90+8' Alexander Aravena
K. Kelsy
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
K. Kelsy
Portland Timbers · 87 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 22% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Seattle Sounders FC vs. Portland Timbers | Full Match Highlights | 3 Goals in 7 Minutes!
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.55
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.24
48%
BALL POSSESSION %
52%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
20
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
10
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
2
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Kelsy · assist Jímer Fory
    POR
  2. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jackson Ragen
    SEA
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jordan Morris · assist Daniel Musovski
    SEA
  4. 49'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Paul Rothrock
    SEA
  5. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kamal Miller · assist Brandon Bye
    POR
  6. 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cole Bassett · assist David Pereira Da Costa
    POR
  7. 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Kelsy
    POR
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Snyder Brunell · assist Osaze De Rosario
    SEA
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kalani Kossa-Rienzi · assist Peter Kingston
    SEA
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jesús Ferreira · assist Paul Arriola
    SEA
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ariel Lassiter · assist Alexander Aravena
    POR
  12. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Cole Bassett · assist José Caicedo
    POR
  13. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Antino Lopez · assist Stuart Hawkins
    SEA
  14. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    K. Kelsy · assist Felipe Mora
    POR
  15. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Diego Chará · assist Joao Ortíz
    POR
  16. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Hassani Dotson · assist Albert Rusnák
    SEA
  17. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Antony Alves · assist Ian Smith
    POR
  18. 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Alexander Aravena · assist David Pereira Da Costa
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SEATTLE SOUNDERS AVG 7.0
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
2.2
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
6.0
ON TARGET
10.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
48.0%
POSSESSION %
52.0%
444.0
PASSES
489.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
8.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
7.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
5.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SEATTLE SOUNDERS 4 shots
Hassani Dotson
1/1
Osaze De Rosario
0/1
Albert Rusnák
1/1
Paul Rothrock
0/1
PORTLAND TIMBERS 7 shots
K. Kelsy
2/3
Cole Bassett
1/2
Kamal Miller
1/1
Brandon Bye
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.55 – 2.24
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 87' 19' 56' 60' 63' 90' H 0.55 A 2.24 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-1-4-1
4-2-3-1
4-1-4-1
26
ANDREW TH
5
NOUHOU TO
25
JACKSON R
35
ANTINO LO
85
KALANI KO
 7.9
31
HASSANI D
37
SNYDER BR
 6.7
14
PAUL ROTH
 6.9
11
ALBERT RU
9
JESúS FER
13
JORDAN MO
 7.5
41
JAMES PAN
27
JíMER FOR
 8.5
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
 7.3
5
BRANDON B
21
DIEGO CHA
11
ANTONY AL
10
DAVID PER
 7.6
17
COLE BASS
7
ARIEL LAS
 8.6
19
K. KELSY
SUBSTITUTES · SEATTLE SOUNDERS
95
Osaze De Ros...
F
17
Paul Arriola
F
36
Yu Tsukanome
F
90
Sebastian Go...
M
45
Peter Kingst...
M
39
Stuart Hawki...
D
24
Stefan Frei
G
19
Daniel Musov...
F
COACH: Brian Schmetzer
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
9
Felipe Mora
F
80
Joao Ortíz
M
30
José Caicedo
M
6
Alex Bonetig
D
23
Ian Smith
D
15
Eric Miller
D
16
Sawyer Jura
D
25
Trey Muse
G
28
Alexander Ar...
F
COACH: Jack Cassidy
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Mendoza
—
SEA MANAGER
Brian Schmetzer
head coach
POR MANAGER
Jack Cassidy
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SEA WINS
4
DRAWS
4
POR WINS
20%
40%
40%
9 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Seattle Sounders
1 – 0
Portland Timbers
W
18 May 2025
Portland Timbers
1 – 1
Seattle Sounders
D
20 Oct 2024
Seattle Sounders
1 – 1
Portland Timbers
D
01 Sep 2024
Portland Timbers
1 – 0
Seattle Sounders
L
12 May 2024
Portland Timbers
1 – 2
Seattle Sounders
W
SEATTLE SOUNDERS LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–5 · result locked
SEATTLE SOUNDERS #8
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
PORTLAND TIMBERS #10
Won · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Goal · Normal Goal · Alexander Aravena
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Antony Alves
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Hassani Dotson
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Diego Chará
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · K. Kelsy
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Antino Lopez
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Cole Bassett
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ariel Lassiter
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jesús Ferreira
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Snyder Brunell
  • 63'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Kelsy
  • 60'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cole Bassett
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kamal Miller
  • 49'
    Card · Yellow Card · Paul Rothrock
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jordan Morris
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jackson Ragen
  • 19'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Kelsy
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
SEATTLE SOUNDERS WIN
1.46
68.5% implied
↑ best 1.50
DRAW
4.86
20.6% implied
↑ best 5.30
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
5.69
17.6% implied
↑ best 6.00

Market favors Seattle Sounders. AI projects PORTLAND TIMBERS 98% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTLAND TIMBERS 98% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.46 4.60 6.00 +81.3%
888Sport 1.44 4.60 5.50 +79.8%
Bet365 1.48 5.00 5.50 +79.8%
Betano 1.50 5.30 5.90 +81.1%
Betfair 1.44 5.00 5.50 +79.8%
BetVictor 1.44 4.80 6.00 +81.3%
Dafabet 1.49 5.20 5.80 +80.8%
Marathonbet 1.44 4.90 5.75 +80.6%
Pinnacle 1.48 5.19 5.92 +81.1%
SBO 1.43 4.35 5.03 +78.1%
Superbet 1.48 5.00 5.60 +80.1%
Unibet 1.47 4.70 6.00 +81.3%
William Hill 1.44 4.60 5.50 +79.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.57
2.5 O 1.37 U 2.99
3.5 O 1.97 U 1.81
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.49 10 bks
NO
2.45 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.28
Away -0.5 2.66
Away -0.75 2.41
Away -1 2.12
Away -1.25 1.85
Away -1.5 1.67
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.