GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–3 · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 95% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 24 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
PORTLAND TIMBERS
13TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W L W
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-3
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
L L D D W
· 2ND · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 18' Antony Alves
GOALS
⚽ 2' Preston Judd ⚽ 12' Preston Judd ⚽ 24' Daniel Munie
Preston Judd
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Preston Judd
San Jose Earthquakes · 63 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 6% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

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Major League Soccer: Portland Timbers vs San Jose Earthquakes
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.71
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.96
66%
BALL POSSESSION %
34%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
7
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  2. 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd · assist Nick Fernandez
    SAN
  3. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Antony Alves · assist David Pereira Da Costa
    POR
  4. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Daniel Munie · assist Jack Skahan
    SAN
  5. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Reid Roberts
    SAN
  6. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Benjamin Kikanović
    SAN
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Benjamin Kikanović · assist Jack Jasinski
    SAN
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nick Fernandez · assist Ian Harkes
    SAN
  9. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kamal Miller
    POR
  10. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kamal Miller · assist Ian Smith
    POR
  11. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Preston Judd · assist Darius Johnson
    SAN
  12. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jack Skahan · assist Paul Marie
    SAN
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Brandon Bye · assist Juan Mosquera
    POR
  14. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Joao Ortíz · assist Alexander Aravena
    POR
  15. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ronaldo Vieira
    SAN
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jamar Ricketts · assist Dave Romney
    SAN
  17. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Antony Alves · assist Ariel Lassiter
    POR
  18. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Kevin Kelsy · assist Felipe Mora
    POR
  19. 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.2
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.0
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
7.0
ON TARGET
6.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
0.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
66.0%
POSSESSION %
34.0%
584.0
PASSES
293.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
6.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
14.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
PORTLAND TIMBERS 5 shots
Antony Alves
1/2
Cole Bassett
0/2
Ian Smith
1/1
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 4 shots
Preston Judd
2/2
Beau Leroux
1/1
Daniel Munie
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.71 – 0.96
1.4 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 18' 2' 12' 24' H 1.71 A 0.96 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 37%
63% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.0
41
JAMES PAN
27
JíMER FOR
4
KAMAL MIL
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 6.9
17
COLE BASS
 6.9
80
JOAO ORTí
 8.2
11
ANTONY AL
10
DAVID PER
99
KRISTOFFE
19
KEVIN KEL
 7.3
42
DANIEL
2
JAMAR RIC
18
REID ROBE
 7.7
5
DANIEL MU
28
BENJAMIN
 7.7
34
BEAU LERO
14
RONALDO V
16
JACK SKAH
 6.9
20
NICK FERN
7
OUSSENI B
 8.3
19
PRESTON J
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
9
Felipe Mora
F
88
Gage Guerra
F
28
Alexander Ar...
F
23
Ian Smith
D
16
Sawyer Jura
D
6
Alex Bonetig
D
29
Juan Mosquer...
D
25
Trey Muse
G
7
Ariel Lassit...
F
COACH: Phil Neville
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
32
Nonso Adimab...
F
6
Ian Harkes
M
79
Darius Johns...
M
40
Jonathan Gon...
M
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
4
Dave Romney
D
25
Max Floriani
D
31
Francesco Mo...
G
3
Paul Marie
D
COACH: Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
T. Ford
—
POR MANAGER
Phil Neville
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
POR WINS
1
DRAWS
4
SAN WINS
50%
10%
40%
16 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Jun 2025
Portland Timbers
1 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
D
04 May 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
4 – 1
Portland Timbers
L
20 Jun 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 2
Portland Timbers
W
16 May 2024
Portland Timbers
4 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
W
21 Sep 2023
Portland Timbers
2 – 1
San Jose Earthquakes
W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L W
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
PORTLAND TIMBERS #13
Lost · already at 14 pts
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #2
Won · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Card · Yellow Card
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Kevin Kelsy
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Antony Alves
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jamar Ricketts
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ronaldo Vieira
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Joao Ortíz
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Brandon Bye
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jack Skahan
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Preston Judd
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kamal Miller
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kamal Miller
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nick Fernandez
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Benjamin Kikanović
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 3
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Benjamin Kikanović
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Reid Roberts
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Munie
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Antony Alves
  • 12'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
2.44
41% implied
↑ best 2.55
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.10
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.57

Market favors Portland Timbers. AI projects SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 95% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.40 4.10 2.44 +54.0%
888Sport 2.38 3.75 2.50 +55.0%
Bet365 2.45 4.10 2.50 +55.0%
Betano 2.50 3.90 2.55 +55.8%
Betfair 2.40 3.90 2.55 +55.8%
BetVictor 2.40 4.00 2.50 +55.0%
Dafabet 2.50 4.00 2.55 +55.8%
Marathonbet 2.43 3.88 2.48 +54.7%
Pinnacle 2.50 4.07 2.57 +56.1%
SBO 2.40 3.79 2.45 +54.2%
Superbet 2.47 3.90 2.55 +55.8%
Unibet 2.55 3.85 2.45 +54.2%
William Hill 2.38 3.75 2.50 +55.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 7.11
2.5 O 1.34 U 3.16
3.5 O 1.87 U 1.90
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.31 10 bks
NO
3.18 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.69
Away -0.5 1.54
Away -0.75 1.41
Away -1 1.27
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.