GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 24 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME
NEW YORK RED BULLS
⚽ 64' Calvin Harris
GOALS
⚽ 3' Jorge Ruvalcaba ⚽ 45+3' Jorge Ruvalcaba
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 87/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
SPO
1 – 2
NEW
most likely scoreline · 13.1% probability
AI PICKS NEW YORK RED BULLS TO WIN 80%
FT 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
SPO WIN 8%
DRAW 12%
NEW WIN 80%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
NEW YORK RED BULLS TO WIN

AI consensus across 80% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

NYRB 2-goal lead with 3 minutes remaining — Sporting comeback virtually impossible.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY SPORTING KANSAS CITY CHALLENGED
8%
87' with 2-goal deficit: <5% historical comeback probability
+25.0%
NYRB's steady defensive control in final stretches despite defensive substitutions
+20.0%
Sporting's poor home form (WDLLL) and league position (15th, 11 pts) confirm lack of late-game rally threat
+15.0%
WHY NEW YORK RED BULLS FAVORED
80%
87' with 2-goal deficit: <5% historical comeback probability
+25.0%
NYRB's steady defensive control in final stretches despite defensive substitutions
+20.0%
Sporting's poor home form (WDLLL) and league position (15th, 11 pts) confirm lack of late-game rally threat
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 87' with 2-goal deficit: <5% historical comeback probability
  • NYRB's steady defensive control in final stretches despite defensive substitutions
  • Sporting's poor home form (WDLLL) and league position (15th, 11 pts) confirm lack of late-game rally threat
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 3' JORGE RUVA ⚽ 48' JORGE RUVA ⚽ 64' CALVIN HAR
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
11.4
13.1
10.0
5.7
2.6
1.0
1
3.5
8.1
9.3
7.1
4.1
1.9
0.7
2
1.3
2.9
3.3
2.5
1.4
0.7
0.3
3
0.3
0.7
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.2
0.1
4
·
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
5
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 2 13.1%
0 — 1 11.4%
0 — 3 10.0%
1 — 2 9.3%
1 — 1 8.1%
Top 5 = 51.8% · rest 48.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.11
80.0%
1.25
+69.0%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.37
92.0%
1.09
+26.1%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
92.0%
1.09
+24.9%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
88.0%
1.14
+18.6%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.22
88.0%
1.14
+7.0%
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.00
12.0%
8.33
-52.0%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
20.0%
5.00
-65.9%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.94
8.0%
12.50
-76.5%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.