GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · CHICAGO FIRE 92% · Value: Over 2.5 88%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 24 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
CHICAGO FIRE
4TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
TORONTO FC
L D D L L
· 12TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 22' Robin Lod ⚽ 65' Andrew Gutman
GOALS
⚽ 34' Josh Sargent 
Alonso Coello
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Alonso Coello
Toronto FC · 91 mins
🅰 1 assist · 44% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Chicago Fire vs Toronto FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

69%
BALL POSSESSION %
85%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
11
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
430%
PASS ACCURACY %
373%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 14'
    Card · Foul
    Malik Henry
    TOR
  2. 22'
    Goal · 1-0
    Robin Lod · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  3. 34'
    Goal · 1-1
    Josh Sargent  · assist Alonso Coello
    TOR
  4. 40'
    Card · Foul
    Hugo Cuypers
    CHI
  5. 46'
    Subst
    Zane Monlouis  · assist Nicksoen Gomis 
    TOR
  6. 60'
    Card · Foul
    Andrew Gutman
    CHI
  7. 61'
    Subst
    Emilio Aristizábal · assist Josh Sargent 
    TOR
  8. 61'
    Subst
    Djé D'Avilla · assist Mauricio Pineda
    CHI
  9. 62'
    Subst
    Joel Waterman · assist Mbekezeli Mbokazi
    CHI
  10. 65'
    Goal · 2-1
    Andrew Gutman · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  11. 74'
    Subst
    Theo Corbeanu  · assist Derrick Etienne Jr.
    TOR
  12. 74'
    Subst
    P. Dithejane · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  13. 79'
    Card · Foul
    Walker Zimmerman
    TOR
  14. 85'
    Subst
    Jules-Anthony Vilsaint · assist Malik Henry
    TOR
  15. 86'
    Subst
    Raheem Edwards · assist Jackson Gilman
    TOR
  16. 87'
    Card · Foul
    Anton Salétros
    CHI
  17. 90'+1
    Card · Foul
    Theo Corbeanu 
    TOR
  18. 90'+1
    Card · Argument
    Jonathan Osorio 
    TOR
  19. 90'+3
    Subst
    Chris Mueller · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  20. 90'+3
    Card · Time wasting
    Chris Brady
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.3
TORONTO FC AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
69.0%
POSSESSION %
85.0%
503.0
PASSES
428.0
430.0%
PASS ACCURACY
373.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
18.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
12.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHICAGO FIRE 5 shots
Philip Zinckernagel
0/3
Robin Lod
1/1
Andrew Gutman
1/1
TORONTO FC 4 shots
Josh Sargent
2/4
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
1
CHRIS BRA
 7.5
15
ANDREW GU
 6.9
4
M. MBOKAZ
3
JACK ELLI
 6.9
24
JONATHAN
7
MAREN HAI
22
MAURICIO
6
ANTON SAL
 7.3
11
PHILIP ZI
9
H. CUYPER
 7.9
17
ROBIN LOD
 6.7
1
LUKA GAVR
19
KOBE FRAN
 6.9
15
NICKSEON
 7.2
25
WALKER ZI
38
JACKSON G
21
JONATHAN
 8.3
14
ALONSO CO
11
DERRICK E
20
DáNIEL SA
78
MALIK HEN
 7.9
9
JOSH SARG
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
8
Chris Muelle...
F
12
Puso Ditheja...
F
42
Dje Tah D'Av...
M
27
Dylan Borso
F
35
Sergio Orege...
M
16
Joel Waterma...
D
14
Viktor Radoj...
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
20
Jason Shokal...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
99
Jules-Anthon...
F
7
Theo Corbean...
F
12
Zane Monloui...
D
98
Stefan Kapor
D
44
Raheem Edwar...
D
23
William Yarb...
G
77
Adisa De Ros...
G
17
Emilio Arist...
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
S. Demianchuk
—
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CHI WINS
3
DRAWS
3
TOR WINS
40%
30%
30%
16 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Chicago Fire
2 – 2
Toronto FC
D
15 Mar 2025
Toronto FC
1 – 2
Chicago Fire
W
29 Sep 2024
Chicago Fire
1 – 1
Toronto FC
D
15 Jun 2024
Toronto FC
1 – 4
Chicago Fire
W
16 Jul 2023
Chicago Fire
1 – 0
Toronto FC
W
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W L
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
CHICAGO FIRE #4
Won · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
TORONTO FC #12
Lost · already at 16 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Time wasting · Chris Brady
    8th Yellowcard
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Chris Mueller
    9th Substitution
  • 90'+1
    Card · Argument · Jonathan Osorio 
    7th Yellowcard
  • 90'+1
    Card · Foul · Theo Corbeanu 
    6th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Card · Foul · Anton Salétros
    5th Yellowcard
  • 86'
    Subst · Raheem Edwards
    8th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Jules-Anthony Vilsaint
    7th Substitution
  • 79'
    Card · Foul · Walker Zimmerman
    4th Yellowcard
  • 74'
    Subst · P. Dithejane
    6th Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Theo Corbeanu 
    5th Substitution
  • 65'
    Goal · 2-1 · Andrew Gutman
    3rd Goal
  • 62'
    Subst · Joel Waterman
    4th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Djé D'Avilla
    3rd Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Emilio Aristizábal
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Card · Foul · Andrew Gutman
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Zane Monlouis 
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 40'
    Card · Foul · Hugo Cuypers
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 34'
    Goal · 1-1 · Josh Sargent 
    2nd Goal
  • 22'
    Goal · 1-0 · Robin Lod
    1st Goal
  • 14'
    Card · Foul · Malik Henry
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
1.45
69% implied
↑ best 1.52
DRAW
4.68
21.4% implied
↑ best 5.00
TORONTO FC WIN
6.31
15.8% implied
↑ best 7.50

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.47 4.75 5.60 +24.0%
888Sport 1.44 4.40 6.00 +22.6%
Bet365 1.44 4.75 6.50 +22.6%
Betano 1.52 4.75 6.40 +26.2%
Betfair 1.40 4.75 7.50 +20.6%
BetVictor 1.40 4.80 6.50 +20.6%
Dafabet 1.47 5.00 6.20 +24.0%
Marathonbet 1.43 4.65 6.35 +22.1%
Pinnacle 1.46 4.83 6.78 +23.5%
SBO 1.46 4.48 5.70 +23.5%
Superbet 1.46 4.70 6.50 +23.5%
Unibet 1.47 4.60 6.00 +24.0%
William Hill 1.44 4.40 6.00 +22.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.62
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.63
3.5 O 2.18 U 1.67
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.59 10 bks
NO
2.23 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.33
Away -0.5 2.69
Away -0.75 2.42
Away -1 2.13
Away -1.25 1.86
Away -1.5 1.66
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.