GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · NASHVILLE SC 92% · Value: Over 2.5 85%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SUN, 24 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
NASHVILLE SC
1ST · 33 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D D W
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
NEW YORK CITY FC
D W W L L
· 8TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 17' Jeison Palacios ⚽ 49' Maxwell Woledzi
GOALS
Jeisson Palacios
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jeisson Palacios
Nashville SC · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 60% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Nashville SC vs New York City FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

91%
BALL POSSESSION %
86%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
7
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
395%
PASS ACCURACY %
426%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · 1-0
    Jeison Palacios · assist Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
  2. 23'
    Penalty · 1-1
    Nicolás Fernández Mercau
    NEW
  3. 26'
    Card
    Kai Trewin
    NEW
  4. 35'
    Var · Video review
    NEW
  5. 49'
    Goal · 2-1
    Maxwell Woledzi · assist Bryan Acosta
    NAS
  6. 66'
    Subst
    Hannes Wolf · assist Malachi Jones
    NEW
  7. 66'
    Card
    Ahmed Qasem
    NAS
  8. 66'
    Subst
    Jonathan Shore · assist Arnau Farnós
    NEW
  9. 71'
    Subst
    Sam Surridge · assist Ahmed Qasem
    NAS
  10. 78'
    Subst
    Máximo Carrizo · assist Andrés Perea
    NEW
  11. 79'
    Subst
    Charles-Emile Brunet · assist Bryan Acosta
    NAS
  12. 80'
    Subst
    Alex Muyl · assist Warren Madrigal
    NAS
  13. 85'
    Subst
    Seymour Reid · assist Nico Cavallo
    NEW
  14. 85'
    Subst
    Kevin Pierre Jr. · assist Kai Trewin
    NEW
  15. 86'
    Card
    Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
  16. 89'
    Subst
    Josh Bauer · assist Cristian Espinoza
    NAS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NASHVILLE SC AVG 7.5
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
91.0%
POSSESSION %
86.0%
448.0
PASSES
490.0
395.0%
PASS ACCURACY
426.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
11.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NASHVILLE SC 3 shots
Jeisson Palacios
1/1
Maxwell Woledzi
1/1
Matthew Corcoran
0/1
NEW YORK CITY FC 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.0
99
BRIAN SCH
2
DANIEL LO
 7.9
3
MAXWELL W
 8.3
4
JEISSON P
27
REED BAKE
37
AHMED QAS
 7.6
16
MATTHEW C
 6.9
6
BRYAN ACO
41
WARREN MA
10
HANY MUKH
7
CRISTIAN
49
MATTHEW F
2
NICO CAVA
34
RAUL GUST
13
THIAGO MA
24
TAYVON GR
8
ANDRéS PE
 6.9
5
KAI TREWI
 7.3
88
MALACHI J
87
ARNAU FA
26
AGUSTIN O
7
NICOLáS F
SUBSTITUTES · NASHVILLE SC
9
Sam Surridge
F
14
Shakur Moham...
M
12
Charles-Emil...
M
19
Alex Muyl
M
23
Jordan Knigh...
D
22
Josh Bauer
D
5
Jack Maher
D
1
Joe Willis
G
17
Woobens Paci...
F
COACH: Brian Callaghan
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
32
Jonathan Sho...
M
71
Peter Molina...
M
15
Kevin Pierre
M
17
Hannes Wolf
F
29
Máximo Carri...
M
45
Kamran Acito
D
19
Strahinja Ta...
D
30
Tomás Romero
G
99
Seymour Garf...
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Da Silva
—
NAS MANAGER
Brian Callaghan
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
NAS WINS
2
DRAWS
3
NEW WINS
37.5%
25%
37.5%
11 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.63
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
17 Aug 2025
New York City FC
2 – 1
Nashville SC
L
31 May 2025
Nashville SC
2 – 2
New York City FC
D
06 Oct 2024
New York City FC
3 – 1
Nashville SC
L
23 Jun 2024
Nashville SC
1 – 0
New York City FC
W
15 Apr 2023
New York City FC
2 – 1
Nashville SC
L
NASHVILLE SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D W
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
NASHVILLE SC #1
Won · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
NEW YORK CITY FC #8
Lost · already at 19 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Subst · Josh Bauer
    9th Substitution
  • 86'
    Card · Cristian Espinoza
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst · Kevin Pierre Jr.
    7th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · Seymour Reid
    8th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Alex Muyl
    6th Substitution
  • 79'
    Subst · Charles-Emile Brunet
    5th Substitution
  • 78'
    Subst · Máximo Carrizo
    4th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Sam Surridge
    3rd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Jonathan Shore
    1st Substitution
  • 66'
    Card · Ahmed Qasem
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 66'
    Subst · Hannes Wolf
    2nd Substitution
  • 49'
    Goal · 2-1 · Maxwell Woledzi
    2nd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 35'
    Var · Video review
    Goal Disallowed
  • 26'
    Card · Kai Trewin
    1st Yellowcard
  • 23'
    Penalty · 1-1 · Nicolás Fernández Mercau
    1st Penalty
  • 17'
    Goal · 1-0 · Jeison Palacios
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
NASHVILLE SC WIN
1.75
57.1% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.79
26.4% implied
↑ best 4.05
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
4.48
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.85

Market favors Nashville SC. AI projects NASHVILLE SC 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NASHVILLE SC 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.75 4.50 +34.2%
888Sport 1.73 3.60 4.33 +34.2%
Bet365 1.75 4.00 4.33 +34.9%
Betano 1.75 4.05 4.85 +34.9%
Betfair 1.75 3.80 4.50 +34.9%
BetVictor 1.73 3.75 4.50 +34.2%
Dafabet 1.78 3.90 4.50 +35.8%
Marathonbet 1.73 3.74 4.40 +34.2%
Pinnacle 1.78 3.89 4.62 +35.8%
SBO 1.75 3.57 4.27 +34.9%
Superbet 1.78 3.75 4.50 +35.8%
Unibet 1.71 3.85 4.60 +33.5%
William Hill 1.73 3.60 4.33 +34.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.85
2.5 O 1.80 U 2.00
3.5 O 2.98 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.72 10 bks
NO
2.02 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.48
Away -0.5 2.09
Away -0.75 1.85
Away -1 1.59
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.