GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 5–2 · FC CINCINNATI 98% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 94 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 16 · SAT, 23 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
FC CINCINNATI
7TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D W W
FT
6 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
ORLANDO CITY SC
D W L W L
· 12TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 42' Kenji Mboma Dem ⚽ 45+3' Evander ⚽ 52' Kenji Mboma Dem ⚽ 58' Evander ⚽ 77' Kévin Denkey ⚽ 90+1' Tom Barlow
GOALS
⚽ 48' Martín Ojeda
Evander
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Evander
FC Cincinnati · Captain · 94 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 3 assists · 40% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: FC Cincinnati vs Orlando City
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

104%
BALL POSSESSION %
80%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
19
11
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
455%
PASS ACCURACY %
330%
6
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 10'
    Card
    Adrián Marín
    ORL
  2. 16'
    Penalty · 0-1
    Martín Ojeda
    ORL
  3. 32'
    Card
    Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  4. 41'
    Card
    Tiago
    ORL
  5. 42'
    Goal · 1-1
    Kenji Mboma Dem · assist Evander
    FC
  6. 45'+3
    Goal · 2-1
    Evander · assist Pavel Bucha
    FC
  7. 47'
    Card
    Matt Miazga
    FC
  8. 48'
    Goal · 2-2
    Martín Ojeda
    ORL
  9. 52'
    Goal · 3-2
    Kenji Mboma Dem · assist Evander
    FC
  10. 57'
    Subst
    Marco Pašalić · assist Justin Ellis
    ORL
  11. 58'
    Goal · 4-2
    Evander · assist Matt Miazga
    FC
  12. 70'
    Card
    David Brekalo
    ORL
  13. 72'
    Subst
    Wilder Cartagena  · assist Griffin Dorsey
    ORL
  14. 72'
    Subst
    Duncan McGuire · assist Adrián Marín
    ORL
  15. 74'
    Subst
    Tah Anunga · assist Obinna Nwobodo
    FC
  16. 77'
    Goal · 5-2
    Kévin Denkey · assist Evander
    FC
  17. 83'
    Subst
    Tom Barlow · assist Kenji Mboma Dem
    FC
  18. 83'
    Subst
    Ender Echenique · assist Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  19. 85'
    Subst
    Luis Otávio · assist Braian Ojeda
    ORL
  20. 90'+1
    Goal · 6-2
    Tom Barlow · assist Ender Echenique
    FC
  21. 90'+2
    Subst
    Nick Hagglund · assist Samuel Gidi
    FC
  22. 90'+5
    Subst
    Ayoub Jabbari · assist Kévin Denkey
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FC CINCINNATI AVG 8.5
ORLANDO CITY SC AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
19.0
11.0
ON TARGET
9.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
104.0%
POSSESSION %
80.0%
500.0
PASSES
391.0
455.0%
PASS ACCURACY
330.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
9.0
20.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
7.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC CINCINNATI 13 shots
Evander
3/4
Kévin Denkey
3/4
Kenji Mboma Dem
2/3
Bryan Ramirez
0/1
Tom Barlow
1/1
ORLANDO CITY SC 6 shots
Martín Ojeda
3/5
Eduard Atuesta
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
18
ROMAN CEL
24
KYLE SMIT
21
MATT MIAZ
11
SAMUEL GI
 7.3
29
BRYAN RAM
5
OBINNA NW
22
GERARDO V
20
PAVEL BUC
 10.0
10
EVANDER
 9.2
17
KENJI MBO
 8.5
9
KéVIN DEN
 7.2
71
MAXIME CR
3
ADRIáN MA
6
ROBIN JAN
4
DAVID BRE
77
IVáN ANGU
 7.2
20
EDUARD AT
8
BRAIAN OJ
24
GRIFFIN D
 6.9
11
TIAGO SOU
22
JUSTIN EL
 8.2
10
MARTíN OJ
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
16
Tom Barlow
F
66
Ender Echeni...
F
27
Tah Anunga
M
3
Gilberto Flo...
D
88
Andrei Chiri...
D
55
Ayoub Lajhar
D
4
Nick Hagglun...
D
13
Evan Louro
G
99
Ayoub Jabbar...
F
COACH: Pat Noonan
SUBSTITUTES · ORLANDO CITY SC
87
Marco Pašali...
F
14
Tyrese Spice...
F
5
Luis Otávio
M
16
Wilder Carta...
M
29
Tahir Reid-B...
D
57
Iago Silva
D
19
Zakaria Taif...
M
12
Javier Otero
G
13
Duncan McGui...
F
COACH: Oscar Pareja
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ORL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Rubiel Vazquez, USA
—
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
ORL MANAGER
Oscar Pareja
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
FC WINS
2
DRAWS
4
ORL WINS
40%
20%
40%
10 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Sep 2025
FC Cincinnati
1 – 1
Orlando City SC
D
28 Jun 2025
Orlando City SC
1 – 2
FC Cincinnati
W
05 Oct 2024
FC Cincinnati
1 – 3
Orlando City SC
L
04 May 2024
Orlando City SC
0 – 1
FC Cincinnati
W
02 Sep 2023
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
Orlando City SC
L
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W W
ORLANDO CITY SC LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 6–2 · result locked
FC CINCINNATI #7
Won · already at 20 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
ORLANDO CITY SC #12
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Ayoub Jabbari
    9th Substitution
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Nick Hagglund
    8th Substitution
  • 90'+1
    Goal · 6-2 · Tom Barlow
    7th Goal
  • 85'
    Subst · Luis Otávio
    7th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Ender Echenique
    6th Substitution
  • 83'
    Subst · Tom Barlow
    5th Substitution
  • 77'
    Goal · 5-2 · Kévin Denkey
    6th Goal
  • 74'
    Subst · Tah Anunga
    4th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Duncan McGuire
    3rd Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Wilder Cartagena 
    2nd Substitution
  • 70'
    Card · David Brekalo
    5th Yellowcard
  • 58'
    Goal · 4-2 · Evander
    5th Goal
  • 57'
    Subst · Marco Pašalić
    1st Substitution
  • 52'
    Goal · 3-2 · Kenji Mboma Dem
    4th Goal
  • 48'
    Goal · 2-2 · Martín Ojeda
    3rd Goal
  • 47'
    Card · Matt Miazga
    4th Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Goal · 2-1 · Evander
    2nd Goal
  • 42'
    Goal · 1-1 · Kenji Mboma Dem
    1st Goal
  • 41'
    Card · Tiago
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 32'
    Card · Gerardo Valenzuela
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 16'
    Penalty · 0-1 · Martín Ojeda
    1st Penalty
  • 10'
    Card · Adrián Marín
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC CINCINNATI WIN
1.69
59.2% implied
↑ best 1.72
DRAW
4.47
22.4% implied
↑ best 4.75
ORLANDO CITY SC WIN
4.08
24.5% implied
↑ best 4.40

Market favors FC Cincinnati. AI projects FC CINCINNATI 98% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC CINCINNATI 98% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.67 4.45 4.10 +38.1%
888Sport 1.67 4.20 3.90 +38.1%
Bet365 1.70 4.50 4.20 +39.2%
Betano 1.72 4.75 4.35 +39.9%
Betfair 1.70 4.40 4.00 +39.2%
BetVictor 1.67 4.50 4.00 +38.1%
Dafabet 1.72 4.70 4.10 +39.9%
Marathonbet 1.65 4.50 4.10 +37.4%
Pinnacle 1.71 4.68 4.19 +39.5%
SBO 1.72 4.26 3.71 +39.9%
Superbet 1.71 4.50 4.10 +39.5%
Unibet 1.62 4.50 4.40 +36.3%
William Hill 1.67 4.20 3.90 +38.1%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.06 U 8.36
2.5 O 1.26 U 3.72
3.5 O 1.68 U 2.15
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.31 10 bks
NO
3.24 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.53
Away -0.5 2.18
Away -0.75 1.97
Away -1 1.75
Away -1.25 1.60
Away -1.5 1.48
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.