GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · REAL SALT LAKE 87% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 83 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SUN, 17 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
REAL SALT LAKE
3RD · 25 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
COLORADO RAPIDS
W L L L D
· 11TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 36' Zavier Gozo ⚽ 68' Sergi Solans
GOALS
⚽ 7' Wayne Frederick
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nicholas Defreitas-Hansen
Colorado Rapids · 89 mins
· 38% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Real Salt Lake vs Colorado Rapids
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

74%
BALL POSSESSION %
81%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
332%
PASS ACCURACY %
369%
2
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Wayne Frederick · assist Paxten Aaronson
    COL
  2. 34'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hamzat Ojediran
    COL
  3. 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Zavier Gozo · assist Sergi Solans
    REA
  4. 52'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Connor Ronan · assist Josh Atencio
    COL
  5. 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jackson Travis · assist Rob Holding
    COL
  6. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Aiden Hezarkhani · assist Morgan Guilavogui
    REA
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lukas Engel · assist Sam Junqua
    REA
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Zach Booth · assist Dominik Marczuk
    REA
  9. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Josh Atencio
    COL
  10. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sergi Solans · assist Juan Sanabria
    REA
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hamzat Ojediran · assist Darren Yapi
    COL
  12. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kosi Thompson · assist Reggie Cannon
    COL
  13. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Reggie Cannon
    COL
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Stijn Spierings · assist Griffin Dillon
    REA
  15. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Zavier Gozo
    REA
  16. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Miguel Navarro · assist Alexis Manyoma
    COL
  17. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Sergi Solans · assist Victor Olatunji
    REA
  18. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    DeAndre Yedlin
    REA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 7.5
COLORADO RAPIDS AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
4.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
4.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
74.0%
POSSESSION %
81.0%
405.0
PASSES
431.0
332.0%
PASS ACCURACY
369.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
6.0
21.0
OFFSIDES
8.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SALT LAKE 9 shots
Zavier Gozo
3/4
Sergi Solans
1/3
Justen Glad
1/1
Juan Sanabria
1/1
COLORADO RAPIDS 2 shots
Wayne Frederick
1/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-3-3
5-4-1
4-3-3
1
RAFAEL CA
 7.2
8
JUAN SANA
4
LUKAS ENG
 7.2
15
JUSTEN GL
2
DEANDRE Y
23
ZACH BOOT
 7.6
72
ZAVIER GO
 7.2
92
NOEL CALI
6
STIJN SPI
39
AIDEN HE
 8.2
22
SERGI SOL
 8.5
41
NICHOLAS
99
JACKSON T
 6.9
29
MIGUEL NA
 7.2
22
LUCAS HER
33
KOSI THOM
 7.2
20
CONNOR RO
8
HAMZAT OJ
 7.0
13
WAYNE FRE
93
GEORGI MI
9
RAFAEL NA
10
PAXTEN AA
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
17
Victor Olatu...
F
27
Griffin Dill...
M
11
Dominik Marc...
F
98
Alexandros K...
D
29
Sam Junqua
D
26
Philip Quint...
D
24
Max Kerkvlie...
G
9
Morgan Guila...
F
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
SUBSTITUTES · COLORADO RAPIDS
7
Dante Sealy
F
11
Alexis Manyo...
M
12
Josh Atencio
M
24
Noah Cobb
D
2
Keegan Rosen...
D
6
Rob Holding
D
4
Reggie Canno...
D
31
Adam Beaudry
G
77
Darren Yapi
F
COACH: Matt Wells
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Badawi
—
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
COL MANAGER
Matt Wells
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
REA WINS
1
DRAWS
3
COL WINS
60%
10%
30%
18 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
05 Oct 2025
Real Salt Lake
1 – 0
Colorado Rapids
W
18 May 2025
Colorado Rapids
1 – 0
Real Salt Lake
L
21 Jul 2024
Colorado Rapids
3 – 2
Real Salt Lake
L
19 May 2024
Real Salt Lake
5 – 3
Colorado Rapids
W
10 Mar 2024
Real Salt Lake
1 – 2
Colorado Rapids
L
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L L
COLORADO RAPIDS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
REAL SALT LAKE #3
Won · already at 25 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
COLORADO RAPIDS #11
Lost · already at 16 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 13 9 2 2 +20 29
L W D D W
1 Nashville SC 13 9 3 1 +19 30
W W D D W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 14 9 2 3 +17 29
L L D D W
2 Inter Miami 14 8 4 2 +9 28
W W W L D
3 Real Salt Lake 13 8 1 4 +7 25
W W L W L
3 New England Revolution 13 8 1 4 +5 25
W L W W D
4 Chicago Fire 13 7 2 4 +10 23
W W L L W
4 Seattle Sounders 12 7 3 2 +7 24
L W D D W
5 FC Dallas 14 6 4 4 +7 22
W L W W L
5 New York City FC 14 5 4 5 +5 19
D W W L L
6 Houston Dynamo 13 7 0 6 -4 21
W L W W L
6 New York Red Bulls 14 5 4 5 -8 19
D W W L L
7 Los Angeles FC 14 6 3 5 +6 21
L L L D W
7 Charlotte 14 5 3 6 0 18
W L D L L
8 DC United 14 4 5 5 -4 17
D L D W W
8 Minnesota United FC 14 6 3 5 -4 21
L L D W L
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 14 5 4 5 0 19
W L W D W
9 FC Cincinnati 14 4 5 5 -5 17
D L D W W
10 San Diego 14 4 5 5 +5 17
D W D D L
10 Orlando City SC 14 4 2 8 -17 14
D W L W L
11 Colorado Rapids 14 5 1 8 +2 16
L W L L L
11 Toronto FC 13 3 5 5 -6 14
L L D L D
12 CF Montreal 13 4 1 8 -9 13
L D W L W
12 Portland Timbers 13 4 2 7 -4 14
L D W L W
13 Austin 14 3 5 6 -9 14
L L D W W
13 Columbus Crew 14 3 4 7 -4 13
D L L L W
14 St. Louis City 13 3 4 6 -7 13
D W W L L
14 Atlanta United FC 13 3 2 8 -7 11
D L W W L
15 Sporting Kansas City 13 3 2 8 -21 11
W W L D L
15 Philadelphia Union 14 1 4 9 -10 7
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · DeAndre Yedlin
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Sergi Solans
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Miguel Navarro
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Zavier Gozo
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Stijn Spierings
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Reggie Cannon
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kosi Thompson
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hamzat Ojediran
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sergi Solans
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Josh Atencio
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Zach Booth
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lukas Engel
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Aiden Hezarkhani
  • 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jackson Travis
  • 52'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Connor Ronan
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 36'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Zavier Gozo
  • 34'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hamzat Ojediran
  • 7'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Wayne Frederick
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
1.63
61.3% implied
↑ best 1.67
DRAW
4.27
23.4% implied
↑ best 4.40
COLORADO RAPIDS WIN
4.73
21.1% implied
↑ best 5.10

Market favors Real Salt Lake. AI projects REAL SALT LAKE 87% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL SALT LAKE 87% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.63 4.30 4.50 +25.7%
Bet365 1.62 4.20 5.00 +25.3%
Betano 1.67 4.35 5.10 +27.1%
Betfair 1.62 4.33 4.75 +25.3%
BetVictor 1.60 4.33 4.60 +24.5%
Dafabet 1.66 4.40 4.70 +26.8%
Marathonbet 1.61 4.25 4.65 +24.9%
Pinnacle 1.65 4.39 4.97 +26.4%
SBO 1.63 4.09 4.38 +25.7%
Unibet 1.58 4.35 4.90 +23.7%
William Hill 1.62 4.00 4.50 +25.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.71
2.5 O 1.46 U 2.64
3.5 O 2.16 U 1.67
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 8 bks
NO
2.45 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.73
Away -0.5 2.28
Away -0.75 2.04
Away -1 1.78
Away -1.25 1.60
Away -1.5 1.47
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.