AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · SEATTLE SOUNDERS 60% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SUN, 17 MAY · 01:15 LOCAL
SEATTLE SOUNDERS
4TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
W D D W W
FT
0 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
L W D W L
· 9TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 23' Gabriel Pec ⚽ 90+2' Matheus Nascimento
Gabriel Pec
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gabriel Pec
Los Angeles Galaxy · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 25% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Seattle Sounders vs Los Angeles Galaxy
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.45
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.28
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
9
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
5
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 12'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Musovski · assist Albert Rusnák
    SEA
  2. 12'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Justin Haak
    LOS
  3. 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Pec · assist Marco Reus
    LOS
  4. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Peter Kingston
    SEA
  5. 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Miki Yamane
    LOS
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Peter Kingston · assist Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
    SEA
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Paul Arriola · assist Paul Rothrock
    SEA
  8. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jesús Ferreira · assist Osaze De Rosario
    SEA
  9. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Antino Lopez · assist Cristian Roldán
    SEA
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Marco Reus · assist Harbor Miller
    LOS
  11. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Erik Thommy · assist Lucas Sanabria
    LOS
  12. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Miki Yamane · assist Mauricio Cuevas
    LOS
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Snyder Brunell · assist Sebastian Gomez
    SEA
  14. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Joseph Paintsil · assist Matheus Nascimento
    LOS
  15. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Edwin Cerrillo
    LOS
  16. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    JT Marcinkowski
    LOS
  17. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Matheus Nascimento · assist Gabriel Pec
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SEATTLE SOUNDERS AVG 7.1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
2.3
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
593.0
PASSES
448.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
3.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SEATTLE SOUNDERS 3 shots
Albert Rusnák
1/2
Hassani Dotson
0/1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 3 shots
Gabriel Pec
1/2
Jakob Glesnes
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.452.28
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 23' 90' H 1.45 A 2.28 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 41%
59% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-1-4-1
SUBSTITUTES · SEATTLE SOUNDERS
14
Paul Rothroc...
F
90
Sebastian Go...
M
7
Cristian Rol...
M
20
Kim Kee-hee
D
33
Cody Baker
D
85
Kalani Kossa...
M
24
Stefan Frei
G
11
Albert Rusná...
M
95
Osaze De Ros...
F
COACH: Brian Schmetzer
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
9
Matheus Nasc...
F
16
Isaiah Paren...
M
8
Lucas Sanabr...
M
19
Mauricio Cue...
D
20
Chris Rindov
D
4
Maya Yoshida
D
26
Harbor Mille...
D
1
Novak Mićovi...
G
24
Ruben Ramos
F
COACH: Greg Vanney
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Dickerson
SEA MANAGER
Brian Schmetzer
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
SEA WINS
2
DRAWS
3
LOS WINS
50%
20%
30%
16 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
SEATTLE SOUNDERS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W W
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
SEATTLE SOUNDERS #4
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #9
Won · already at 19 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 13 9 2 2 +20 29
L W D D W
1 Nashville SC 13 9 3 1 +19 30
W W D D W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 14 9 2 3 +17 29
L L D D W
2 Inter Miami 14 8 4 2 +9 28
W W W L D
3 Real Salt Lake 13 8 1 4 +7 25
W W L W L
3 New England Revolution 13 8 1 4 +5 25
W L W W D
4 Chicago Fire 13 7 2 4 +10 23
W W L L W
4 Seattle Sounders 12 7 3 2 +7 24
L W D D W
5 FC Dallas 14 6 4 4 +7 22
W L W W L
5 New York City FC 14 5 4 5 +5 19
D W W L L
6 Houston Dynamo 13 7 0 6 -4 21
W L W W L
6 New York Red Bulls 14 5 4 5 -8 19
D W W L L
7 Los Angeles FC 14 6 3 5 +6 21
L L L D W
7 Charlotte 14 5 3 6 0 18
W L D L L
8 DC United 14 4 5 5 -4 17
D L D W W
8 Minnesota United FC 14 6 3 5 -4 21
L L D W L
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 14 5 4 5 0 19
W L W D W
9 FC Cincinnati 14 4 5 5 -5 17
D L D W W
10 San Diego 14 4 5 5 +5 17
D W D D L
10 Orlando City SC 14 4 2 8 -17 14
D W L W L
11 Colorado Rapids 14 5 1 8 +2 16
L W L L L
11 Toronto FC 13 3 5 5 -6 14
L L D L D
12 CF Montreal 13 4 1 8 -9 13
L D W L W
12 Portland Timbers 13 4 2 7 -4 14
L D W L W
13 Austin 14 3 5 6 -9 14
L L D W W
13 Columbus Crew 14 3 4 7 -4 13
D L L L W
14 St. Louis City 13 3 4 6 -7 13
D W W L L
14 Atlanta United FC 13 3 2 8 -7 11
D L W W L
15 Sporting Kansas City 13 3 2 8 -21 11
W W L D L
15 Philadelphia Union 14 1 4 9 -10 7
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Matheus Nascimento
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · JT Marcinkowski
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Edwin Cerrillo
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Joseph Paintsil
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Snyder Brunell
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Miki Yamane
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Erik Thommy
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Marco Reus
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Antino Lopez
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jesús Ferreira
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Paul Arriola
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Peter Kingston
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Miki Yamane
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Peter Kingston
  • 23'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Pec
  • 12'
    Card · Yellow Card · Justin Haak
  • 12'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Musovski
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
SEATTLE SOUNDERS WIN
1.58
63.3% implied
↑ best 1.62
DRAW
4.34
23% implied
↑ best 4.55
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
5.03
19.9% implied
↑ best 5.30

Market favors Seattle Sounders. AI projects SEATTLE SOUNDERS 60% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SEATTLE SOUNDERS 60% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.56 4.45 4.85 +0.5%
Bet365 1.57 4.33 5.25 -0.1%
Betano 1.62 4.55 5.30 +1.0%
Betfair 1.57 4.33 5.00 -0.1%
BetVictor 1.57 4.33 5.00 -0.1%
Dafabet 1.61 4.50 5.00 +0.8%
Marathonbet 1.57 4.30 4.95 -0.3%
Pinnacle 1.60 4.48 5.26 +0.7%
SBO 1.56 4.22 4.83 -0.7%
Unibet 1.57 4.25 5.10 -0.5%
William Hill 1.57 4.00 4.75 -2.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.37
2.5 O 1.49 U 2.57
3.5 O 2.23 U 1.63
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 8 bks
NO
2.35 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.86
Away -0.5 2.36
Away -0.75 2.12
Away -1 1.85
Away -1.25 1.66
Away -1.5 1.51
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.