GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · AUSTIN 62% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SUN, 17 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
AUSTIN
14TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
D W L L L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
L D L L L
· 15TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+1' Mikkel Desler
GOALS
⚽ 79' Manu García ⚽ 82' Stephen Afrifa
Stephen Afrifa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Stephen Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City · 14 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 0% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Austin vs Sporting Kansas City
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

55%
BALL POSSESSION %
111%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
20
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
315%
PASS ACCURACY %
345%
3
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 28'
    Card · Foul
    Capita
    SPO
  2. 45'+1
    Goal · 1-0
    Mikkel Desler · assist Guilherme Biro
    AUS
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Shapi Suleymanov · assist Capita
    SPO
  4. 47'
    Card · Foul
    Jake Davis
    SPO
  5. 57'
    Card · Foul
    Oleksandr Svatok
    AUS
  6. 60'
    Subst
    Jayden Nelson · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  7. 60'
    Subst
    Jon Gallagher · assist Owen Wolff
    AUS
  8. 61'
    Card · Foul
    AUS
  9. 63'
    Card
    SPO
  10. 63'
    Card · Foul
    Zorhan Bassong
    SPO
  11. 64'
    Subst
    Manu García · assist Zorhan Bassong
    SPO
  12. 64'
    Subst
    Justin Reynolds · assist Jake Davis
    SPO
  13. 71'
    Card · Foul
    Jayden Nelson
    AUS
  14. 73'
    Subst
    Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  15. 73'
    Subst
    Brandon Vazquez · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  16. 75'
    Subst
    Stephen Afrifa · assist Taylor Calheira
    SPO
  17. 79'
    Goal · 1-1
    Manu García · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  18. 82'
    Goal · 1-2
    Stephen Afrifa
    SPO
  19. 84'
    Subst
    CJ Fodrey · assist Mikkel Desler
    AUS
  20. 85'
    Subst
    AUS
  21. 86'
    Card · Foul
    CJ Fodrey
    AUS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUSTIN AVG 7.1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
3.0
ON TARGET
8.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
111.0%
372.0
PASSES
417.0
315.0%
PASS ACCURACY
345.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
7.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
21.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
6.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUSTIN 1 shots
M. Desler
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 5 shots
Shapi Suleymanov
1/2
Stephen Afrifa
1/1
Manu García
1/1
Lasse Berg Johnsen
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
7.2
1
BRAD STUV
29
GUILHERME
 7.2
15
JONATHAN
5
OLEKSANDR
 7.2
3
M. DESLER
33
OWEN WOLF
6
ILIE SáNC
 7.0
30
J. ROSALE
 6.9
11
F. TORRES
10
MYRTO UZU
21
C. RAMIRE
30
STEFAN CL
99
JAYDEN RE
 6.9
28
WYATT MEY
2
IAN JAMES
8
JACOB DAV
11
CALVIN HA
22
ZORHAN BA
 6.9
4
LASSE BER
7
CAPITA
19
TAYLOR CA
9
DEJAN JOV
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
7
Jayden Nelso...
F
8
Daniel Perei...
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
17
Jon Gallaghe...
D
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
12
Damian Las
G
9
B. Vazquez
F
COACH: Nico Estevez
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
6
Manu García
M
14
Macielo Tsch...
M
13
Justin Reyno...
D
23
Ethan Bartlo...
D
57
Diego Borges
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. De Oliveira
—
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
AUS WINS
0
DRAWS
4
SPO WINS
55.6%
44.4%
14 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.44
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Sep 2025
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 2
Austin
W
23 Feb 2025
Austin
1 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
W
30 Jun 2024
Sporting Kansas City
2 – 0
Austin
L
19 May 2024
Austin
3 – 2
Sporting Kansas City
W
16 Jul 2023
Austin
2 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
W
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L L L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
AUSTIN #14
Lost · already at 21 pts
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Won · already at 15 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Card · Foul · CJ Fodrey
    7th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst
    10th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · CJ Fodrey
    9th Substitution
  • 82'
    Goal · 1-2 · Stephen Afrifa
    3rd Goal
  • 79'
    Goal · 1-1 · Manu García
    2nd Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Stephen Afrifa
    8th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Brandon Vazquez
    7th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Daniel Pereira
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Card · Foul · Jayden Nelson
    6th Yellowcard
  • 64'
    Subst · Justin Reynolds
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Manu García
    4th Substitution
  • 63'
    Card · Foul · Zorhan Bassong
    5th Yellowcard
  • 63'
    Card
    8th Yellowcard
  • 61'
    Card · Foul
    4th Yellowcard
  • 60'
    Subst · Jon Gallagher
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Jayden Nelson
    3rd Substitution
  • 57'
    Card · Foul · Oleksandr Svatok
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 47'
    Card · Foul · Jake Davis
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Shapi Suleymanov
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Goal · 1-0 · Mikkel Desler
    1st Goal
  • 28'
    Card · Foul · Capita
    1st Yellowcard
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
AUSTIN WIN
1.54
64.9% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.49
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.85
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
5.24
19.1% implied
↑ best 5.60

Market favors Austin. AI projects AUSTIN 62% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUSTIN 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 4.40 5.30 -0.7%
Bet365 1.57 4.33 5.25 -1.1%
Betano 1.57 4.85 5.60 +1.4%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.00 -0.2%
BetVictor 1.50 4.60 5.50 +0.3%
Dafabet 1.60 4.50 5.20 -0.2%
Marathonbet 1.51 4.55 5.25 +0.0%
Pinnacle 1.58 4.62 5.33 +0.4%
SBO 1.50 4.47 5.13 -0.4%
Unibet 1.54 4.40 5.25 -0.7%
William Hill 1.55 4.20 4.80 -1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.80
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.73
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 8 bks
NO
2.40 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.98
Away -0.5 2.45
Away -0.75 2.21
Away -1 1.96
Away -1.25 1.73
Away -1.5 1.56
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.