GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · AUSTIN 62% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 54 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SUN, 17 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
AUSTIN
13TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W W L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
W L D L L
· 15TH · 11 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+1' Mikkel Desler
GOALS
⚽ 79' Manu García ⚽ 82' Stephen Afrifa
Stephen Afrifa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Stephen Afrifa
Sporting Kansas City · 14 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 0% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Austin vs Sporting Kansas City
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

55%
BALL POSSESSION %
111%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
20
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
315%
PASS ACCURACY %
345%
3
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 28'
    Card · Foul
    Capita
    SPO
  2. 45'+1
    Goal · 1-0
    Mikkel Desler · assist Guilherme Biro
    AUS
  3. 46'
    Subst
    Shapi Suleymanov · assist Capita
    SPO
  4. 47'
    Card · Foul
    Jake Davis
    SPO
  5. 57'
    Card · Foul
    Oleksandr Svatok
    AUS
  6. 60'
    Subst
    Jayden Nelson · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  7. 60'
    Subst
    Jon Gallagher · assist Owen Wolff
    AUS
  8. 61'
    Card · Foul
    AUS
  9. 63'
    Card
    SPO
  10. 63'
    Card · Foul
    Zorhan Bassong
    SPO
  11. 64'
    Subst
    Manu García · assist Zorhan Bassong
    SPO
  12. 64'
    Subst
    Justin Reynolds · assist Jake Davis
    SPO
  13. 71'
    Card · Foul
    Jayden Nelson
    AUS
  14. 73'
    Subst
    Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  15. 73'
    Subst
    Brandon Vazquez · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  16. 75'
    Subst
    Stephen Afrifa · assist Taylor Calheira
    SPO
  17. 79'
    Goal · 1-1
    Manu García · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
  18. 82'
    Goal · 1-2
    Stephen Afrifa
    SPO
  19. 84'
    Subst
    CJ Fodrey · assist Mikkel Desler
    AUS
  20. 85'
    Subst
    AUS
  21. 86'
    Card · Foul
    CJ Fodrey
    AUS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUSTIN AVG 7.1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
3.0
ON TARGET
8.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
111.0%
372.0
PASSES
417.0
315.0%
PASS ACCURACY
345.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
7.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
21.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
6.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUSTIN 1 shots
Mikkel Desler
1/1
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 5 shots
Shapi Suleymanov
1/2
Stephen Afrifa
1/1
Manu García
1/1
Lasse Berg Johnsen
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
7.2
1
BRAD STUV
29
GUILHERME
 7.2
15
JONATHAN
5
OLEKSANDR
 7.2
3
MIKKEL DE
33
OWEN WOLF
6
ILIE SáNC
 7.0
30
JOSEPH RO
 6.9
11
FACUNDO T
10
MYRTO UZU
21
CHRISTIAN
30
STEFAN CL
99
JAYDEN RE
 6.9
28
WYATT MEY
2
IAN JAMES
8
JACOB DAV
11
CALVIN HA
22
ZORHAN BA
 6.9
4
LASSE BER
7
CAPITA
19
TAYLOR CA
9
DEJAN JOV
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
7
Jayden Nelso...
F
8
Daniel Perei...
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
17
Jon Gallaghe...
D
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
12
Damian Las
G
9
Brandon Vázq...
F
COACH: Nico Estevez
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
6
Manu García
M
14
Macielo Tsch...
M
13
Justin Reyno...
D
23
Ethan Bartlo...
D
57
Diego Borges
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Marcos de Oliveira, USA
—
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
AUS WINS
0
DRAWS
3
SPO WINS
66.7%
33.3%
15 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.33
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Sep 2025
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 2
Austin
W
23 Feb 2025
Austin
1 – 0
Sporting Kansas City
W
30 Jun 2024
Sporting Kansas City
2 – 0
Austin
L
19 May 2024
Austin
3 – 2
Sporting Kansas City
W
16 Jul 2023
Austin
2 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
W
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
AUSTIN #13
Lost · already at 14 pts
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Won · already at 11 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 13 9 2 2 +20 29
L W D D W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 14 9 2 3 +17 29
L L D D W
2 New England Revolution 13 8 1 4 +5 25
W L W W D
3 Real Salt Lake 13 8 1 4 +7 25
W W L W L
3 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
4 Chicago Fire 13 7 2 4 +10 23
W W L L W
4 Seattle Sounders 12 7 3 2 +7 24
L W D D W
5 FC Dallas 14 6 4 4 +7 22
W L W W L
5 New York City FC 14 5 4 5 +5 19
D W W L L
6 Houston Dynamo 13 7 0 6 -4 21
W L W W L
6 New York Red Bulls 14 5 4 5 -8 19
D W W L L
7 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
7 Charlotte 14 5 3 6 0 18
W L D L L
8 DC United 14 4 5 5 -4 17
D L D W W
8 Minnesota United FC 14 6 3 5 -4 21
L L D W L
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 14 5 4 5 0 19
W L W D W
9 FC Cincinnati 14 4 5 5 -5 17
D L D W W
10 San Diego 14 4 5 5 +5 17
D W D D L
10 Orlando City SC 14 4 2 8 -17 14
D W L W L
11 Colorado Rapids 14 5 1 8 +2 16
L W L L L
11 Toronto FC 13 3 5 5 -6 14
L L D L D
12 CF Montreal 13 4 1 8 -9 13
L D W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 14 3 5 6 -9 14
L L D W W
13 Columbus Crew 14 3 4 7 -4 13
D L L L W
14 St. Louis City 13 3 4 6 -7 13
D W W L L
14 Atlanta United FC 13 3 2 8 -7 11
D L W W L
15 Sporting Kansas City 13 3 2 8 -21 11
W W L D L
15 Philadelphia Union 14 1 4 9 -10 7
D L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Card · Foul · CJ Fodrey
    7th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst
    10th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · CJ Fodrey
    9th Substitution
  • 82'
    Goal · 1-2 · Stephen Afrifa
    3rd Goal
  • 79'
    Goal · 1-1 · Manu García
    2nd Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Stephen Afrifa
    8th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Brandon Vazquez
    7th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Daniel Pereira
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Card · Foul · Jayden Nelson
    6th Yellowcard
  • 64'
    Subst · Justin Reynolds
    5th Substitution
  • 64'
    Subst · Manu García
    4th Substitution
  • 63'
    Card · Foul · Zorhan Bassong
    5th Yellowcard
  • 63'
    Card
    8th Yellowcard
  • 61'
    Card · Foul
    4th Yellowcard
  • 60'
    Subst · Jon Gallagher
    2nd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Jayden Nelson
    3rd Substitution
  • 57'
    Card · Foul · Oleksandr Svatok
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 47'
    Card · Foul · Jake Davis
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Shapi Suleymanov
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Goal · 1-0 · Mikkel Desler
    1st Goal
  • 28'
    Card · Foul · Capita
    1st Yellowcard
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
AUSTIN WIN
1.54
64.9% implied
↑ best 1.60
DRAW
4.49
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.85
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
5.24
19.1% implied
↑ best 5.60

Market favors Austin. AI projects AUSTIN 62% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUSTIN 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.53 4.40 5.30 -0.7%
Bet365 1.57 4.33 5.25 -1.1%
Betano 1.57 4.85 5.60 +1.4%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.00 -0.2%
BetVictor 1.50 4.60 5.50 +0.3%
Dafabet 1.60 4.50 5.20 -0.2%
Marathonbet 1.51 4.55 5.25 +0.0%
Pinnacle 1.58 4.62 5.33 +0.4%
SBO 1.50 4.47 5.13 -0.4%
Unibet 1.54 4.40 5.25 -0.7%
William Hill 1.55 4.20 4.80 -1.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.80
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.73
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 8 bks
NO
2.40 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.98
Away -0.5 2.45
Away -0.75 2.21
Away -1 1.96
Away -1.25 1.73
Away -1.5 1.56
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.