GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · SAN DIEGO 82% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 78 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
SAN DIEGO
10TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
D D L L L
FT
5 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
AUSTIN
D W W L D
· 13TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' David Vazquez ⚽ 17' Anders Dreyer ⚽ 54' Pedro Soma ⚽ 79' Marcus Ingvartsen ⚽ 90+1' David Vazquez
GOALS
Luca Bombino
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luca Bombino
San Diego · 82 mins
🅰 1 assist · 51% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: San Diego vs Austin
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

99%
BALL POSSESSION %
74%
22
TOTAL SHOTS
8
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
632%
PASS ACCURACY %
415%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · 1-0
    David Vazquez · assist Onni Valakari
    SAN
  2. 17'
    Goal · 2-0
    Anders Dreyer · assist Pedro Soma
    SAN
  3. 44'
    Card · Foul
    Luca Bombino
    SAN
  4. 54'
    Goal · 3-0
    Pedro Soma · assist Alex Mighten
    SAN
  5. 63'
    Subst
    Owen Wolff · assist CJ Fodrey
    AUS
  6. 66'
    Subst
    Oscar Verhoeven · assist Kieran Sargeant
    SAN
  7. 66'
    Subst
    Aníbal Godoy · assist Pedro Soma
    SAN
  8. 69'
    Subst
    Mateja Djordjevic · assist Oleksandr Svatok
    AUS
  9. 69'
    Subst
    Christian Ramirez · assist Myrto Uzuni
    AUS
  10. 69'
    Subst
    Ervin Torres · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  11. 75'
    Subst
    Micah Burton · assist J. Rosales
    AUS
  12. 79'
    Goal · 4-0
    Marcus Ingvartsen · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Bryan Zamblé · assist Anders Dreyer
    SAN
  14. 82'
    Subst
    Alejandro Alvarado  · assist Onni Valakari
    SAN
  15. 82'
    Subst
    Ian Pilcher · assist Luca Bombino
    SAN
  16. 90'+1
    Goal · 5-0
    David Vazquez · assist Aníbal Godoy
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SAN DIEGO AVG 8.3
AUSTIN AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
22.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
10.0
ON TARGET
3.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
99.0%
POSSESSION %
74.0%
684.0
PASSES
480.0
632.0%
PASS ACCURACY
415.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
7.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SAN DIEGO 13 shots
David Vazquez
2/6
Anders Dreyer
3/4
Luca Bombino
1/2
Pedro Soma
1/1
AUSTIN 3 shots
Facundo Torres
1/1
Myrto Uzuni
0/1
Ervin Torres
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 69%
31% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-4-2
4-3-3
4-4-2
18
DURAN FER
5
KIERAN SA
26
MANU DUAH
97
CHRISTOPH
 8.7
27
LUCA BOMB
 7.9
19
DAVID VAZ
 8.3
15
PEDRO SOM
 8.3
8
ONNI VALA
77
ALEX MIGH
7
MARCUS IN
 8.5
10
ANDERS DR
 6.6
1
BRAD STUV
23
ŽAN KOLMA
15
JONATHAN
5
OLEKSANDR
17
JON GALLA
30
JOSEPH RO
20
NICOLAS D
14
BESARD SA
 6.9
11
FACUNDO T
 6.9
10
MYRTO UZU
19
CALVIN FO
SUBSTITUTES · SAN DIEGO
29
Anisse Saidi
F
90
Amahl Pelleg...
F
70
Alejandro Al...
F
21
Bryce Duke
M
20
Aníbal Godoy
M
25
Ian Pilcher
D
33
Oscar Verhoe...
D
98
Jacob Jackso...
G
14
Bryan Zamblé
F
COACH: Mikey Varas
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
21
Christian Ra...
F
33
Owen Wolff
M
38
Ervin Torres
M
6
Ilie Sánchez
M
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
29
Guilherme Bi...
D
3
Mikkel Desle...
D
12
Damian Las
G
32
Micah Burton
M
COACH: Nico Estevez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Malik Badawi, USA
—
SAN MANAGER
Mikey Varas
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
SAN WINS
0
DRAWS
1
AUS WINS
50%
50%
3 – 2
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
01 Jun 2025
San Diego
2 – 0
Austin
W
23 Mar 2025
Austin
2 – 1
San Diego
L
SAN DIEGO LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L L L
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–0 · result locked
SAN DIEGO #10
Won · already at 16 pts
AUSTIN #13
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Goal · 5-0 · David Vazquez
    5th Goal
  • 82'
    Subst · Ian Pilcher
    9th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Alejandro Alvarado 
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Bryan Zamblé
    10th Substitution
  • 79'
    Goal · 4-0 · Marcus Ingvartsen
    4th Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Micah Burton
    7th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Ervin Torres
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Christian Ramirez
    5th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Mateja Djordjevic
    4th Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Aníbal Godoy
    2nd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Oscar Verhoeven
    3rd Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Owen Wolff
    1st Substitution
  • 54'
    Goal · 3-0 · Pedro Soma
    3rd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 44'
    Card · Foul · Luca Bombino
    1st Yellowcard
  • 17'
    Goal · 2-0 · Anders Dreyer
    2nd Goal
  • 8'
    Goal · 1-0 · David Vazquez
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SAN DIEGO WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
4.15
24.1% implied
↑ best 4.33
AUSTIN WIN
4.17
24% implied
↑ best 4.45

Market favors San Diego. AI projects SAN DIEGO 82% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SAN DIEGO 82% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 4.10 4.00 +24.2%
888Sport 1.67 3.90 4.20 +22.1%
Bet365 1.73 4.33 4.10 +24.2%
Betano 1.75 4.30 4.45 +24.9%
Betfair 1.70 4.20 4.20 +23.2%
BetVictor 1.70 4.20 4.10 +23.2%
Dafabet 1.75 4.30 4.20 +24.9%
Marathonbet 1.70 4.15 4.15 +23.2%
Pinnacle 1.75 4.29 4.30 +24.9%
SBO 1.71 4.05 3.93 +23.5%
Unibet 1.70 4.10 4.40 +23.2%
William Hill 1.70 3.90 4.00 +23.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.83
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.72
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.45 9 bks
NO
2.59 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.47
Away -0.5 2.13
Away -0.75 1.90
Away -1 1.67
Away -1.25 1.52
Away -1.5 1.43
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.