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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · DRAW 52% · Value: Over 2.5 78%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
SEATTLE SOUNDERS
3RD · 24 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W W W
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
D D W W W
· 2ND · 29 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 43' Albert Rusnák (P) ⚽ 55' Jesús Ferreira ⚽ 89' Osaze De Rosario
GOALS
⚽ 2' Nick Fernandez ⚽ 69' Preston Judd
Jesús Ferreira
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jesús Ferreira
Seattle Sounders · 89 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 32% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Seattle Sounders vs San Jose Earthquakes
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

3.30
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.10
63%
BALL POSSESSION %
37%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
11
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
9
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Nick Fernandez · assist Nonso Adimabua
    SAN
  2. 43'
    Goal · Penalty
    Albert Rusnák
    SEA
  3. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Reid Roberts
    SAN
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Paul Marie · assist Ousseni Bouda
    SAN
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nonso Adimabua · assist Preston Judd
    SAN
  6. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jesús Ferreira
    SEA
  7. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Preston Judd
    SAN
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Noel Buck · assist Beau Leroux
    SAN
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jonathan Gonzalez · assist Ian Harkes
    SAN
  10. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Daniel Musovski · assist Jordan Morris
    SEA
  11. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Snyder Brunell · assist Hassani Dotson
    SEA
  12. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jack Skahan · assist Jamar Ricketts
    SAN
  13. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Preston Judd
    SAN
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Albert Rusnák · assist Osaze De Rosario
    SEA
  15. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Kalani Kossa-Rienzi · assist Peter Kingston
    SEA
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Paul Rothrock · assist Paul Arriola
    SEA
  17. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Osaze De Rosario · assist Nouhou Tolo
    SEA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SEATTLE SOUNDERS AVG 7.5
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.3
xG
1.1
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
9.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
8.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
37.0%
514.0
PASSES
289.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SEATTLE SOUNDERS 7 shots
Snyder Brunell
2/3
Jesús Ferreira
1/2
Albert Rusnák
2/2
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES 3 shots
Preston Judd
1/2
Nick Fernandez
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 3.30 – 1.10
2.6 2 1.3 0.7 3.3 0.0 HT 43' 55' 89' 2' 69' H 3.30 A 1.10 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
26
ANDREW TH
 7.7
5
NOUHOU TO
25
JACKSON R
 7.2
16
ALEX ROLD
85
KALANI KO
7
CRISTIAN
 7.2
37
SNYDER BR
14
PAUL ROTH
 7.2
11
ALBERT RU
 8.3
9
JESúS FER
19
DANIEL MU
 7.5
42
DANIEL
4
DAVE ROMN
18
REID ROBE
25
MAX FLORI
17
JACK JASI
40
JONATHAN
21
NOEL BUCK
3
PAUL MARI
 7.0
20
NICK FERN
16
JACK SKAH
32
NONSO ADI
SUBSTITUTES · SEATTLE SOUNDERS
13
Jordan Morri...
F
31
Hassani Dots...
M
17
Paul Arriola
F
90
Sebastian Go...
M
45
Peter Kingst...
M
20
Kim Kee-hee
D
35
Antino Lopez
D
24
Stefan Frei
G
95
Osaze De Ros...
F
COACH: Brian Schmetzer
SUBSTITUTES · SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
7
Ousseni Boud...
F
6
Ian Harkes
M
34
Beau Leroux
M
14
Ronaldo Viei...
M
2
Jamar Ricket...
D
5
Daniel Munie
D
28
Benjamin Kik...
F
22
Nate Crockfo...
G
19
Preston Judd
F
COACH: Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SEA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Filip Dujic, USA
—
SEA MANAGER
Brian Schmetzer
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
SEA WINS
4
DRAWS
4
SAN WINS
20%
40%
40%
16 – 19
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
San Jose Earthquakes
0 – 1
Seattle Sounders
W
20 Jul 2025
Seattle Sounders
3 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
W
30 Mar 2025
San Jose Earthquakes
1 – 1
Seattle Sounders
D
19 Sep 2024
Seattle Sounders
2 – 2
San Jose Earthquakes
D
24 Mar 2024
San Jose Earthquakes
3 – 2
Seattle Sounders
L
SEATTLE SOUNDERS LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W W
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
SEATTLE SOUNDERS #3
Won · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES #2
Lost · already at 29 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Osaze De Rosario
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Paul Rothrock
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Kalani Kossa-Rienzi
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Albert Rusnák
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Preston Judd
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jack Skahan
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Snyder Brunell
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Daniel Musovski
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jonathan Gonzalez
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Noel Buck
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Preston Judd
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jesús Ferreira
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nonso Adimabua
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Paul Marie
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Reid Roberts
  • 43'
    Goal · Penalty · Albert Rusnák
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Nick Fernandez
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SEATTLE SOUNDERS WIN
1.84
54.3% implied
↑ best 1.95
DRAW
3.91
25.6% implied
↑ best 4.08
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
3.81
26.2% implied
↑ best 4.76

Market favors Seattle Sounders. AI projects DRAW 52% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.81 3.90 3.85 +26.4%
888Sport 1.95 3.50 3.30 +23.4%
Bet365 1.90 4.00 3.70 +27.0%
Betano 1.90 3.95 3.75 +26.7%
Betfair 1.80 3.90 3.90 +26.4%
BetVictor 1.85 3.90 3.70 +26.4%
Dafabet 1.90 4.00 3.75 +27.0%
Marathonbet 1.83 3.92 3.68 +26.5%
Pinnacle 1.89 4.07 3.82 +27.4%
SBO 1.58 4.08 4.76 +27.5%
Unibet 1.82 3.85 3.95 +26.0%
William Hill 1.83 3.80 3.60 +25.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.81
2.5 O 1.58 U 2.33
3.5 O 2.43 U 1.52
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 9 bks
NO
2.38 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.30
Away -0.5 2.01
Away -0.75 1.79
Away -1 1.52
Away -1.25 1.40
Away -1.5 1.33
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.