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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · SPORTING KANSAS CITY 97% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · THU, 14 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
SPORTING KANSAS CITY
15TH · 8 PTS · LAST 5:
L D L L W
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
LOS ANGELES GALAXY
W D W L D
· 11TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 32' Capita ⚽ 45+4' Dejan Joveljić ⚽ 70' Calvin Harris
GOALS
⚽ 89' Gabriel Pec
Calvin Harris
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Calvin Harris
Sporting Kansas City · 91 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 2 assists · 21% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Sporting Kansas City vs Los Angeles Galaxy
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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.14
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.93
41%
BALL POSSESSION %
59%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
17
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
4
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Capita · assist Calvin Harris
    SPO
  2. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Zorhan Bassong
    SPO
  3. 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Dejan Joveljić · assist Calvin Harris
    SPO
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Capita · assist Stephen Afrifa
    SPO
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Harbor Miller · assist Elijah Wynder
    LOS
  6. 49'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mauricio Cuevas
    LOS
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Zorhan Bassong · assist Jacob Bartlett
    SPO
  8. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Taylor Calheira · assist Manu García
    SPO
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lucas Sanabria · assist Erik Thommy
    LOS
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Carlos Garcés · assist Justin Haak
    LOS
  11. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Mauricio Cuevas · assist Miki Yamane
    LOS
  12. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Calvin Harris · assist Manu García
    SPO
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Marco Reus · assist Matheus Nascimento
    LOS
  14. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gabriel Pec
    LOS
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jacob Davis · assist Justin Reynolds
    SPO
  16. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Pec · assist Justin Haak
    LOS
  17. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Dejan Joveljić · assist Shapi Suleymanov
    SPO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING KANSAS CITY AVG 7.8
LOS ANGELES GALAXY AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.1
xG
0.9
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
7.0
ON TARGET
7.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
41.0%
POSSESSION %
59.0%
358.0
PASSES
517.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
8.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
6.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING KANSAS CITY 5 shots
Calvin Harris
3/4
Capita
1/1
LOS ANGELES GALAXY 5 shots
Gabriel Pec
2/3
Joseph Paintsil
1/1
Jakob Glesnes
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.14 – 0.93
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 32' 45' 70' 89' H 2.14 A 0.93 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.9
30
STEFAN CL
99
JAYDEN RE
 7.2
28
WYATT MEY
2
IAN JAMES
8
JACOB DAV
 9.2
11
CALVIN HA
22
ZORHAN BA
 7.6
4
LASSE BER
 7.3
7
CAPITA
9
DEJAN JOV
19
TAYLOR CA
 7.2
12
JT MARCIN
14
JOHN NELS
25
CARLOS GA
 7.2
5
JAKOB GLE
19
MAURICIO
 7.0
6
EDWIN CER
8
LUCAS SAN
26
HARBOR MI
18
MARCO REU
 7.6
11
GABRIEL P
 8.2
28
JOSEPH PA
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING KANSAS CITY
93
Shapi Suleym...
F
14
Macielo Tsch...
M
6
Manu García
M
16
Jacob Bartle...
D
57
Diego Borges
D
13
Justin Reyno...
D
23
Ethan Bartlo...
D
1
John Pulskam...
G
17
Stephen Afri...
F
COACH: Raphael Wicky
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES GALAXY
24
Ruben Ramos
F
22
Elijah Wynde...
M
27
Erik Thommy
M
16
Isaiah Paren...
M
2
Miki Yamane
D
4
Maya Yoshida
D
15
Justin Haak
M
1
Novak Mićovi...
G
9
Matheus Nasc...
F
COACH: Greg Vanney
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ricardo Montero, Costa Rica
—
SPO MANAGER
Raphael Wicky
head coach
LOS MANAGER
Greg Vanney
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
SPO WINS
3
DRAWS
3
LOS WINS
40%
30%
30%
18 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
Los Angeles Galaxy
1 – 2
Sporting Kansas City
W
28 Sep 2025
Los Angeles Galaxy
4 – 1
Sporting Kansas City
L
04 May 2025
Sporting Kansas City
1 – 0
Los Angeles Galaxy
W
16 Jun 2024
Los Angeles Galaxy
4 – 2
Sporting Kansas City
L
24 Mar 2024
Sporting Kansas City
2 – 3
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
SPORTING KANSAS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L W
LOS ANGELES GALAXY LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
SPORTING KANSAS CITY #15
Won · already at 8 pts
LOS ANGELES GALAXY #11
Lost · already at 16 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Dejan Joveljić
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Pec
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jacob Davis
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gabriel Pec
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Marco Reus
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Calvin Harris
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Mauricio Cuevas
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Carlos Garcés
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lucas Sanabria
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Taylor Calheira
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Zorhan Bassong
  • 49'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mauricio Cuevas
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Harbor Miller
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Capita
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Dejan Joveljić
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Zorhan Bassong
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Capita
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING KANSAS WIN
3.94
25.4% implied
↑ best 4.20
DRAW
4.00
25% implied
↑ best 4.20
LOS ANGELES GALA WIN
1.78
56.2% implied
↑ best 1.85

Market favors Los Angeles Galaxy. AI projects SPORTING KANSAS CITY 97% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING KANSAS CITY 97% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.80 3.95 1.81 +70.7%
888Sport 3.50 3.70 1.85 +68.4%
Bet365 4.10 4.20 1.75 +72.6%
Betano 4.00 4.15 1.78 +72.0%
Betfair 4.20 4.00 1.75 +73.2%
BetVictor 4.00 4.10 1.73 +72.0%
Dafabet 4.00 4.10 1.84 +72.0%
Marathonbet 3.95 3.98 1.76 +71.7%
Pinnacle 4.18 4.18 1.79 +73.1%
SBO 3.74 3.93 1.77 +70.3%
Unibet 3.95 3.95 1.79 +71.7%
William Hill 3.80 3.80 1.75 +70.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.13 U 5.61
2.5 O 1.45 U 2.65
3.5 O 2.14 U 1.69
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 9 bks
NO
2.60 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.30
Away -0.5 1.25
Away -0.75 1.15
Away -1 1.08
Away -1.25 1.07
Away -1.5 1.06
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.