GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–3 · CHICAGO FIRE 95% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
DC UNITED
9TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5:
D W D D D
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
CHICAGO FIRE
W L L W W
· 4TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' Tai Baribo
GOALS
⚽ 62' Robin Lod ⚽ 71' Philip Zinckernagel (P) ⚽ 71' H. Cuypers ⚽ 87' Maren Haile-Selassie
H. Cuypers
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
H. Cuypers
Chicago Fire · 93 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 10% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: DC United vs Chicago Fire
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.69
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.35
40%
BALL POSSESSION %
60%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
15
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
69%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
7
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dje Tah D'Avilla
    CHI
  2. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tai Baribo
    DC
  3. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonathan Bamba
    CHI
  4. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Robin Lod · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  5. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jonathan Bamba · assist Puso Dithejane
    CHI
  6. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Robin Lod · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Tai Baribo · assist Jared Stroud
    DC
  8. 71'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  9. 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    H. Cuypers
    CHI
  10. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jack Elliott
    CHI
  11. 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jackson Hopkins · assist Jacob Murrell
    DC
  13. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jonathan Dean
    CHI
  14. 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Philip Zinckernagel · assist Chris Mueller
    CHI
  15. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    H. Cuypers · assist Jason Shokalook
    CHI
  16. 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card
    Andrew Gutman
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DC UNITED AVG 7.1
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
2.4
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
6.0
ON TARGET
8.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
40.0%
POSSESSION %
60.0%
287.0
PASSES
447.0
69.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
5.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DC UNITED 2 shots
Tai Baribo
1/1
João Peglow
0/1
CHICAGO FIRE 4 shots
H. Cuypers
1/2
Robin Lod
1/1
Maren Haile-Selassie
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.69 – 2.35
1.9 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.4 0.0 HT 41' 62' 71' 71' 87' H 0.69 A 2.35 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 19%
81% A
3
EVENTS LOGGED
13
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-2-3-1
4-4-2
4-2-3-1
7.3
1
SEAN JOHN
6
KEISUKE K
15
KYE ROWLE
3
LUCAS BAR
27
NIKOLA MA
 6.6
7
JOãO PEGL
 6.7
23
BRANDON S
 6.9
4
MATTI PEL
25
JACKSON H
 7.9
9
TAI BARIB
11
LOUIS MUN
1
CHRIS BRA
15
ANDREW GU
 6.9
4
M. MBOKAZ
3
JACK ELLI
24
JONATHAN
 6.9
42
DJE TAH D
22
MAURICIO
19
JONATHAN
 7.5
17
ROBIN LOD
11
PHILIP ZI
 8.0
9
H. CUYPER
SUBSTITUTES · DC UNITED
77
Hosei Kijima
M
30
Caden Clark
M
48
Gavin Turner
M
8
Jared Stroud
M
12
Conner Antle...
D
22
Aaron Herrer...
D
24
Jordan Farr
G
26
Alex Bono
G
17
Jacob Murrel...
F
COACH: Rene Weiler
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
20
Jason Shokal...
F
27
Dylan Borso
F
12
Puso Ditheja...
F
7
Maren Haile-...
M
16
Joel Waterma...
D
14
Viktor Radoj...
D
5
Samuel Roger...
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
8
Chris Muelle...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Fierro
—
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
DC WINS
3
DRAWS
4
CHI WINS
30%
30%
40%
13 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
15 Mar 2026
Chicago Fire
1 – 2
DC United
W
07 Jun 2025
DC United
1 – 7
Chicago Fire
L
02 Mar 2025
Chicago Fire
2 – 2
DC United
D
08 Sep 2024
Chicago Fire
1 – 2
DC United
W
25 May 2024
DC United
1 – 1
Chicago Fire
D
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D D
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
DC UNITED #9
Lost · already at 23 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
CHICAGO FIRE #4
Won · already at 29 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 18 9 3 6 +5 30
L D W D L
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 18 10 2 6 +3 32
W W W D D
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card · Andrew Gutman
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · H. Cuypers
  • 90'+4
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonathan Dean
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jackson Hopkins
  • 87'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maren Haile-Selassie
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jack Elliott
  • 71'
    Goal · Normal Goal · H. Cuypers
  • 71'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Philip Zinckernagel
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Tai Baribo
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Robin Lod
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jonathan Bamba
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Robin Lod
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jonathan Bamba
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tai Baribo
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dje Tah D'Avilla
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
DC UNITED WIN
2.75
36.4% implied
↑ best 2.85
DRAW
3.47
28.8% implied
↑ best 3.60
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
2.42
41.3% implied
↑ best 2.50

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 95% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.70 3.55 2.40 +53.3%
888Sport 2.80 3.30 2.30 +51.5%
Bet365 2.75 3.60 2.45 +54.2%
Betano 2.75 3.50 2.50 +55.0%
Betfair 2.75 3.50 2.38 +53.0%
BetVictor 2.70 3.50 2.40 +53.3%
Dafabet 2.80 3.60 2.45 +54.2%
Marathonbet 2.69 3.48 2.42 +53.7%
Pinnacle 2.81 3.59 2.50 +55.0%
SBO 2.66 3.34 2.41 +53.5%
Unibet 2.85 3.40 2.40 +53.3%
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.40 +53.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.14
2.5 O 1.73 U 2.08
3.5 O 2.80 U 1.41
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.57 9 bks
NO
2.26 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.58
Away -0.5 1.45
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.18
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.