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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
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NEW YORK RED BULLS
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME
COLUMBUS CREW
⚽ 7' Julian Hall ⚽ 40' Julian Hall ⚽ 78' Julian Hall
GOALS
⚽ 22' Maximilian Arfsten ⚽ 63' Diego Rossi
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 84/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
NEW
3 – 2
COL
most likely scoreline · 7.0% probability
AI PICKS NEW YORK RED BULLS TO WIN 88%
FT 3 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 3 – 2
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
NEW WIN 88%
DRAW 10%
COL WIN 2%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
NEW YORK RED BULLS TO WIN

AI consensus across 88% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 88% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ OVER 3.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Red Bulls lead 3-2 with 3 minutes remaining; away comeback statistically <2% — lock in home win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY NEW YORK RED BULLS FAVORED
88%
1-goal lead in 87' (3 min to play) with established advantage
+25.0%
Red Bulls made 3 fresh substitutions at 65' to manage closing — tactical control confirmed
+20.0%
Crew's yellow card (71') reduces late aggression; Red Bulls' substitution pattern shows intent to close out
+15.0%
WHY COLUMBUS CREW CHALLENGED
2%
1-goal lead in 87' (3 min to play) with established advantage
+25.0%
Red Bulls made 3 fresh substitutions at 65' to manage closing — tactical control confirmed
+20.0%
Crew's yellow card (71') reduces late aggression; Red Bulls' substitution pattern shows intent to close out
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-goal lead in 87' (3 min to play) with established advantage
  • Red Bulls made 3 fresh substitutions at 65' to manage closing — tactical control confirmed
  • Crew's yellow card (71') reduces late aggression; Red Bulls' substitution pattern shows intent to close out
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 7' JULIAN HAL ⚽ 22' MAXIMILIAN ⚽ 40' JULIAN HAL ⚽ 63' DIEGO ROSS ⚽ 78' JULIAN HAL
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 7.0%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
0.7
1.1
0.9
0.5
0.2
0.1
·
1
2.3
3.7
3.1
1.7
0.7
0.2
0.1
2
3.8
6.2
5.2
2.9
1.2
0.4
0.1
3
4.2
7.0
5.8
3.2
1.3
0.4
0.1
4
3.5
5.8
4.8
2.7
1.1
0.4
0.1
5
2.3
3.9
3.2
1.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
6+
1.3
2.2
1.8
1.0
0.4
0.1
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
3 — 1 7.0%
2 — 1 6.2%
4 — 1 5.8%
3 — 2 5.8%
2 — 2 5.2%
Top 5 = 29.9% · rest 70.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.90
88.0%
1.14
+155.0%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.65
98.0%
1.02
+61.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.47
92.0%
1.09
+35.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
94.0%
1.06
+33.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
90.0%
1.11
+11.7%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.80
10.0%
10.00
-62.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.38
12.0%
8.33
-83.4%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
2.0%
50.00
-95.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.