GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–4 · INTER MIAMI 80% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
FC CINCINNATI
8TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W D D
FT
3 – 5
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
INTER MIAMI
W L D W W
· 2ND · 25 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' Kévin Denkey (P) ⚽ 49' Pavel Bucha ⚽ 64' Evander
GOALS
⚽ 24' Lionel Messi ⚽ 55' Lionel Messi ⚽ 79' Mateo Silvetti ⚽ 84' Germán Berterame ⚽ 89' Lionel Messi
Lionel Messi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Lionel Messi
Inter Miami · Captain · 97 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 35% pass acc · 4 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: FC Cincinnati vs Inter Miami
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.76
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.19
47%
BALL POSSESSION %
53%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
17
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
83%
1
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 6'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    INT
  2. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lionel Messi
    INT
  3. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ian Fray
    INT
  4. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gonzalo Luján
    INT
  5. 41'
    Goal · Penalty
    Kévin Denkey
    FC
  6. 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pavel Bucha · assist Bryan Ramirez
    FC
  7. 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lionel Messi · assist Rodrigo De Paul
    INT
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Samuel Gidi · assist Ender Echenique
    FC
  9. 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Evander · assist Kévin Denkey
    FC
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sergio Reguilón · assist Facundo Mura
    INT
  11. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Miles Robinson · assist Nick Hagglund
    FC
  12. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kenji Mboma Dem · assist Obinna Nwobodo
    FC
  13. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matt Miazga · assist Andrei Chirila
    FC
  14. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Obinna Nwobodo
    FC
  15. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yannick Bright
    INT
  16. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Luis Suárez · assist Mateo Silvetti
    INT
  17. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mateo Silvetti · assist Lionel Messi
    INT
  18. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Germán Berterame
    INT
  19. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Pavel Bucha · assist Tom Barlow
    FC
  20. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 6
    Andrei Chirila · assist Ayoub Lajhar
    FC
  21. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Lionel Messi · assist Mateo Silvetti
    INT
  22. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Evander
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FC CINCINNATI AVG 7.2
INTER MIAMI AVG 8.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
2.2
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
17.0
3.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
47.0%
POSSESSION %
53.0%
449.0
PASSES
503.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
83.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
7.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC CINCINNATI 6 shots
Kévin Denkey
1/2
Evander
1/2
Pavel Bucha
1/2
INTER MIAMI 8 shots
Lionel Messi
4/5
Mateo Silvetti
1/1
Yannick Bright
0/1
Telasco Segovia
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.76 – 2.19
1.8 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.2 0.0 HT 41' 49' 64' 24' 55' 79' 84' 89' H 1.76 A 2.19 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 4-3-3
3-5-2
4-3-3
18
ROMAN CEL
 7.3
12
MILES ROB
21
MATT MIAZ
24
KYLE SMIT
 7.3
29
BRYAN RAM
11
SAMUEL GI
 7.2
10
EVANDER
22
GERARDO V
 6.6
20
PAVEL BUC
17
KENJI MBO
 7.6
9
KéVIN DEN
97
DAYNE ST.
3
SERGIO RE
16
MICAEL
2
GONZALO L
17
IAN FRAY
 7.2
8
TELASCO S
 7.3
42
YANNICK B
 7.2
7
RODRIGO D
9
LUIS SUáR
19
GERMáN BE
 10.0
10
LIONEL ME
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
16
Tom Barlow
F
27
Tah Anunga
M
55
Ayoub Lajhar
D
13
Evan Louro
G
5
Obinna Nwobo...
M
88
Andrei Chiri...
D
4
Nick Hagglun...
D
66
Ender Echeni...
F
99
Ayoub Jabbar...
F
COACH: Pat Noonan
SUBSTITUTES · INTER MIAMI
41
David Ruíz
M
22
David Ayala
M
59
Preston Plam...
M
76
Ezequiel Aba...
D
37
Maximiliano...
D
34
Rocco Ríos N...
G
24
Mateo Silvet...
F
4
Facundo Mura
D
56
Daniel Pinte...
F
COACH: Guillermo Hoyos Angel
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

INT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alexis Da Silva, USA
—
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
INT MANAGER
Guillermo Hoyos Angel
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
FC WINS
3
DRAWS
2
INT WINS
50%
30%
20%
21 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
23 Nov 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 – 4
Inter Miami
L
26 Jul 2025
Inter Miami
0 – 0
FC Cincinnati
D
16 Jul 2025
FC Cincinnati
3 – 0
Inter Miami
W
24 Aug 2024
Inter Miami
2 – 0
FC Cincinnati
L
06 Jul 2024
FC Cincinnati
6 – 1
Inter Miami
W
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D D
INTER MIAMI LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–5 · result locked
FC CINCINNATI #8
Lost · already at 16 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
INTER MIAMI #2
Won · already at 25 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Evander
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lionel Messi
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 6 · Andrei Chirila
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Pavel Bucha
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Germán Berterame
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mateo Silvetti
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Luis Suárez
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yannick Bright
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Obinna Nwobodo
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matt Miazga
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kenji Mboma Dem
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Miles Robinson
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sergio Reguilón
  • 64'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Evander
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Samuel Gidi
  • 55'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lionel Messi
  • 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pavel Bucha
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 41'
    Goal · Penalty · Kévin Denkey
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gonzalo Luján
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ian Fray
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Lionel Messi
  • 6'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
FC CINCINNATI WIN
2.97
33.7% implied
↑ best 3.10
DRAW
3.97
25.2% implied
↑ best 4.12
INTER MIAMI WIN
2.10
47.6% implied
↑ best 2.15

Market favors Inter Miami. AI projects INTER MIAMI 80% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS INTER MIAMI 80% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.88 4.10 2.10 +32.4%
888Sport 3.00 3.75 2.05 +31.2%
Bet365 3.10 4.00 2.10 +32.4%
Betano 3.05 3.95 2.15 +33.5%
Betfair 3.00 4.00 2.05 +31.2%
BetVictor 2.90 4.10 2.10 +32.4%
Dafabet 3.00 4.10 2.14 +33.3%
Marathonbet 2.95 3.92 2.09 +32.2%
Pinnacle 3.08 4.12 2.14 +33.3%
SBO 2.82 3.83 2.11 +32.6%
Unibet 3.00 4.00 2.08 +31.9%
William Hill 2.90 3.75 2.10 +32.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.32
2.5 O 1.31 U 3.31
3.5 O 1.80 U 1.98
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.30 9 bks
NO
3.26 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.48
Away -0.5 1.39
Away -0.75 1.28
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.