GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–4 · HOUSTON DYNAMO 95% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · MON, 11 MAY · 01:00 LOCAL
LOS ANGELES FC
5TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
L D W D L
FT
1 – 4
FULL TIME HT · 1-2
HOUSTON DYNAMO
L W L W W
· 8TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45' Nathan Ordaz
GOALS
⚽ 25' Jack McGlynn  ⚽ 34' Guilherme ⚽ 51' Mateusz Bogusz ⚽ 55' Jack McGlynn 
Jack McGlynn
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jack McGlynn
Houston Dynamo · 76 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 40% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Los Angeles FC vs Houston Dynamo
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

158%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
19
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
6
627%
PASS ACCURACY %
299%
10
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 25'
    Goal · 0-1
    Jack McGlynn  · assist Lawrence Ennali
    HOU
  2. 27'
    Card · Foul
    Guilherme
    HOU
  3. 34'
    Goal · 0-2
    Guilherme
    HOU
  4. 43'
    Subst
    Ryan Raposo · assist Sergi Palencia
    LOS
  5. 45'
    Goal · 1-2
    Nathan Ordaz · assist Jacob Shaffelburg 
    LOS
  6. 45'+4
    Card · Foul
    Jack McGlynn 
    HOU
  7. 51'
    Goal · 1-3
    Mateusz Bogusz
    HOU
  8. 55'
    Goal · 1-4
    Jack McGlynn  · assist Lawrence Ennali
    HOU
  9. 59'
    Subst
    Tyler Boyd · assist Jacob Shaffelburg 
    LOS
  10. 59'
    Subst
    Mathieu Choinière · assist Mark Delgado
    LOS
  11. 59'
    Subst
    Timothy Tillman · assist Stephen Eustaquio
    LOS
  12. 76'
    Subst
    Agustín Bouzat · assist Jack McGlynn 
    HOU
  13. 79'
    Subst
    Jeremy Ebobisse · assist Nathan Ordaz
    LOS
  14. 79'
    Card · Foul
    David Martínez
    LOS
  15. 82'
    Subst
    Héctor Herrera · assist Diadié Samassékou
    HOU
  16. 86'
    Card · Foul
    Tyler Boyd
    LOS
  17. 87'
    Subst
    Ondrej Lingr · assist Ezequiel Ponce
    HOU
  18. 87'
    Subst
    Ibrahim Aliyu · assist Guilherme
    HOU
  19. 87'
    Subst
    Duane Holmes · assist Mateusz Bogusz
    HOU
  20. 88'
    Card · Time wasting
    Felipe Andrade
    HOU
  21. 90'+3
    Card · Foul
    Ryan Raposo
    LOS
  22. 90'+4
    Card · Foul
    Nkosi Tafari
    LOS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
LOS ANGELES FC AVG 7.1
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.8
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
19.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
6.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
9.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
158.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
694.0
PASSES
356.0
627.0%
PASS ACCURACY
299.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
3.0
21.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
12.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
LOS ANGELES FC 3 shots
Mathieu Choinière
1/1
Nathan Ordaz
1/1
Mark Delgado
0/1
HOUSTON DYNAMO 4 shots
Jack McGlynn
2/3
Guilherme
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-5-1
4-2-3-1
4-5-1
1
HUGO LLOR
4
EDDIE SEG
91
NKOSI TAF
5
RYAN PORT
14
SERGI PAL
 6.9
8
MARK DELG
46
STEPHEN E
18
JACOB SHA
 7.0
7
SON HEUNG
30
DAVID MAR
 7.2
27
NATHAN OR
 6.9
31
JONATHAN
 7.5
11
LAWRENCE
34
AGUSTIN R
 7.2
3
ANTôNIO C
36
FELIPE AN
 8.3
20
GUILHERME
18
DIADIé SA
6
ARTUR
 8.9
8
JACK MCGL
19
MATEUSZ B
10
EZEQUIEL
SUBSTITUTES · LOS ANGELES FC
11
Timothy Till...
M
66
Mathieu Choi...
M
19
Tyler Boyd
F
33
Aaron Long
D
29
Artem Smolia...
D
24
Ryan Holling...
D
12
Thomas Hasal
G
21
Ryan Raposo
M
17
Jeremy Ebobi...
F
COACH: Marc Dos Santos
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
17
Nick Markani...
F
14
Duane Holmes
M
16
Héctor Herre...
M
9
Ondrej Lingr
M
30
Agustín Bouz...
M
21
Franco Negri
D
13
Sam Vines
D
26
Blake Gillin...
G
24
Ibrahim Aliy...
F
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
LOS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
D. Fischer
—
LOS MANAGER
Marc Dos Santos
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
LOS WINS
1
DRAWS
5
HOU WINS
40%
10%
50%
10 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
01 Mar 2026
Houston Dynamo
0 – 2
Los Angeles FC
W
04 May 2025
Los Angeles FC
2 – 0
Houston Dynamo
W
06 Apr 2025
Houston Dynamo
1 – 0
Los Angeles FC
L
08 Sep 2024
Houston Dynamo
0 – 0
Los Angeles FC
D
01 Sep 2024
Los Angeles FC
0 – 2
Houston Dynamo
L
LOS ANGELES FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D L
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–4 · result locked
LOS ANGELES FC #5
Lost · already at 21 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
HOUSTON DYNAMO #8
Won · already at 18 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Foul · Nkosi Tafari
    7th Yellowcard
  • 90'+3
    Card · Foul · Ryan Raposo
    6th Yellowcard
  • 88'
    Card · Time wasting · Felipe Andrade
    5th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Subst · Duane Holmes
    9th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · Ibrahim Aliyu
    8th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · Ondrej Lingr
    10th Substitution
  • 86'
    Card · Foul · Tyler Boyd
    4th Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Subst · Héctor Herrera
    7th Substitution
  • 79'
    Card · Foul · David Martínez
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 79'
    Subst · Jeremy Ebobisse
    6th Substitution
  • 76'
    Subst · Agustín Bouzat
    5th Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Timothy Tillman
    4th Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Mathieu Choinière
    3rd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Tyler Boyd
    2nd Substitution
  • 55'
    Goal · 1-4 · Jack McGlynn 
    5th Goal
  • 51'
    Goal · 1-3 · Mateusz Bogusz
    4th Goal
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 2
  • 45'+4
    Card · Foul · Jack McGlynn 
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 45'
    Goal · 1-2 · Nathan Ordaz
    3rd Goal
  • 43'
    Subst · Ryan Raposo
    1st Substitution
  • 34'
    Goal · 0-2 · Guilherme
    2nd Goal
  • 27'
    Card · Foul · Guilherme
    1st Yellowcard
  • 25'
    Goal · 0-1 · Jack McGlynn 
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
LOS ANGELES FC WIN
1.62
61.7% implied
↑ best 1.68
DRAW
4.03
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.30
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
5.02
19.9% implied
↑ best 5.50

Market favors Los Angeles FC. AI projects HOUSTON DYNAMO 95% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS HOUSTON DYNAMO 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.58 3.95 5.50 +76.8%
888Sport 1.62 3.80 4.80 +74.2%
Bet365 1.60 4.10 5.00 +75.0%
Betano 1.67 4.30 5.30 +76.1%
Betfair 1.62 4.00 5.00 +75.0%
BetVictor 1.60 4.10 5.00 +75.0%
Dafabet 1.68 4.10 4.90 +74.6%
Marathonbet 1.60 4.10 4.95 +74.8%
Pinnacle 1.64 4.25 5.24 +75.9%
SBO 1.64 3.81 4.68 +73.6%
Unibet 1.61 4.00 5.10 +75.4%
William Hill 1.62 3.80 4.80 +74.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.26
2.5 O 1.68 U 2.16
3.5 O 2.70 U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 9 bks
NO
2.07 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.74
Away -0.5 2.29
Away -0.75 2.03
Away -1 1.76
Away -1.25 1.57
Away -1.5 1.44
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.