AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · MINNESOTA UNITED FC 78% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 79 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SUN, 10 MAY · 23:00 LOCAL
MINNESOTA UNITED FC
6TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5:
L W L W W
FT
2 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
AUSTIN
L W W L D
· 13TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 69' Anthony Markanich Jr. ⚽ 77' Joaquín Pereyra
GOALS
⚽ 79' Christian Ramirez
Joaquín Pereyra
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Joaquín Pereyra
Minnesota United FC · Captain · 91 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 42% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Minnesota United vs Austin
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

109%
BALL POSSESSION %
73%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
12
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
433%
PASS ACCURACY %
345%
3
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 23 events
  1. 14'
    Penalty · 0-1
    Myrto Uzuni
    AUS
  2. 26'
    Var
    Tomás Chancalay
    MIN
  3. 27'
    Missed Penalty
    Kelvin Yeboah
    MIN
  4. 27'
    Missed Penalty
    Kelvin Yeboah
    MIN
  5. 29'
    Card · Foul
    Jefferson Díaz
    MIN
  6. 40'
    Card · Argument
    Nectarios Triantis
    MIN
  7. 42'
    Card · Argument
    Tomás Chancalay
    MIN
  8. 44'
    Subst
    Jon Bell · assist Brendan Hines-Ike
    AUS
  9. 45'+2
    Card · Time wasting
    Facundo Torres
    AUS
  10. 45'+11
    Card · Argument
    Joaquín Pereyra
    MIN
  11. 45'+12
    Card · Foul
    Jon Gallagher
    AUS
  12. 47'
    Card · Foul
    Owen Gene
    MIN
  13. 63'
    Subst
    James Rodríguez · assist Tomás Chancalay
    MIN
  14. 63'
    Subst
    Wil Trapp · assist Nectarios Triantis
    MIN
  15. 69'
    Goal · 1-1
    Anthony Markanich Jr. · assist James Rodríguez
    MIN
  16. 70'
    Subst
    Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  17. 70'
    Subst
    Owen Wolff · assist Jon Gallagher
    AUS
  18. 77'
    Goal · 2-1
    Joaquín Pereyra · assist James Rodríguez
    MIN
  19. 79'
    Goal · 2-2
    Christian Ramirez · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  20. 82'
    Subst
    Michael Boxall  · assist Devin Padelford
    MIN
  21. 84'
    Subst
    Brandon Vazquez · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  22. 88'
    Subst
    MIN
  23. 90'+3
    Subst
    Žan Kolmanič · assist Jon Bell
    AUS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
MINNESOTA UNITED FC AVG 7.7
AUSTIN AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
5.0
ON TARGET
5.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
109.0%
POSSESSION %
73.0%
510.0
PASSES
423.0
433.0%
PASS ACCURACY
345.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
4.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
11.0
5.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
MINNESOTA UNITED FC 6 shots
Anthony Markanich
1/2
Joaquín Pereyra
1/1
James Rodríguez
1/1
Jefferson Díaz
0/1
Devin Padelford
1/1
AUSTIN 6 shots
Myrto Uzuni
4/5
Christian Ramirez
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
14
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
SUBSTITUTES · MINNESOTA UNITED FC
29
Mamadou Die...
F
20
Wil Trapp
M
18
Mauricio Gon...
F
10
James Rodríg...
M
15
Michael Boxa...
D
33
Kieran Chand...
D
27
D.J. Taylor
D
1
Alec Smir
G
7
Dominik Fitz
M
COACH: Cameron Knowles
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
33
Owen Wolff
M
8
Daniel Perei...
M
14
Besard Sabov...
M
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
12
Damian Las
G
15
Jonathan Bel...
D
9
Brandon Vázq...
F
COACH: Nico Estevez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
MIN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Chris Penso, USA
MIN MANAGER
Cameron Knowles
head coach
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
MIN WINS
2
DRAWS
5
AUS WINS
30%
20%
50%
13 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
MINNESOTA UNITED FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W W
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
MINNESOTA UNITED FC #6
Lost · already at 21 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
AUSTIN #13
Lost · already at 14 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Žan Kolmanič
    9th Substitution
  • 88'
    Subst
    8th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · Brandon Vazquez
    7th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Michael Boxall 
    6th Substitution
  • 79'
    Goal · 2-2 · Christian Ramirez
    3rd Goal
  • 77'
    Goal · 2-1 · Joaquín Pereyra
    2nd Goal
  • 70'
    Subst · Owen Wolff
    5th Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Daniel Pereira
    4th Substitution
  • 69'
    Goal · 1-1 · Anthony Markanich Jr.
    1st Goal
  • 63'
    Subst · Wil Trapp
    3rd Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · James Rodríguez
    2nd Substitution
  • 47'
    Card · Foul · Owen Gene
    7th Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+12
    Card · Foul · Jon Gallagher
    6th Yellowcard
  • 45'+11
    Card · Argument · Joaquín Pereyra
    5th Yellowcard
  • 45'+2
    Card · Time wasting · Facundo Torres
    4th Yellowcard
  • 44'
    Subst · Jon Bell
    1st Substitution
  • 42'
    Card · Argument · Tomás Chancalay
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 40'
    Card · Argument · Nectarios Triantis
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 29'
    Card · Foul · Jefferson Díaz
    1st Yellowcard
  • 27'
    Missed Penalty · Kelvin Yeboah
    1st Missed Penalty
  • 27'
    Missed Penalty · Kelvin Yeboah
    Woodwork
  • 26'
    Var · Tomás Chancalay
    Review
  • 14'
    Penalty · 0-1 · Myrto Uzuni
    1st Penalty
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
MINNESOTA UNITED WIN
1.64
61% implied
↑ best 1.68
DRAW
4.03
24.8% implied
↑ best 4.24
AUSTIN WIN
4.94
20.2% implied
↑ best 5.40

Market favors Minnesota United FC. AI projects MINNESOTA UNITED FC 78% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MINNESOTA UNITED FC 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.67 3.95 4.65 +18.1%
888Sport 1.65 3.80 4.60 +17.4%
Bet365 1.62 4.20 5.25 +16.3%
Betano 1.67 4.20 5.40 +18.1%
Betfair 1.60 4.00 5.00 +15.5%
BetVictor 1.60 4.10 5.00 +15.5%
Dafabet 1.66 4.20 5.00 +17.8%
Marathonbet 1.60 4.05 5.00 +15.5%
Pinnacle 1.64 4.24 5.19 +17.0%
SBO 1.60 3.96 4.84 +15.5%
Unibet 1.68 3.85 4.70 +18.5%
William Hill 1.65 3.80 4.60 +17.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.32
2.5 O 1.66 U 2.18
3.5 O 2.65 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.66 9 bks
NO
2.10 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.78
Away -0.5 2.27
Away -0.75 2.04
Away -1 1.77
Away -1.25 1.59
Away -1.5 1.45
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.