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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–1 · ST. LOUIS CITY 74%
CONF 87 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SUN, 10 MAY · 01:30 LOCAL
COLORADO RAPIDS
9TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
W L L D L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
ST. LOUIS CITY
W L L L L
· 14TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 26' Jeong Sang-bin
Jaziel Orozco
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jaziel Orozco
St. Louis City · 90 mins
· 36% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Highlights | 10-man Rapids fall to St. Louis CITY SC at home
Open in Youtube ↗
Major League Soccer: Colorado Rapids vs St. Louis…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.15
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.87
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
10
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
11
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hamzat Ojediran
    COL
  2. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jeong Sang-bin · assist Simon Becher
    ST.
  3. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Miguel Navarro
    COL
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jeong Sang-bin · assist Brendan McSorley
    ST.
  5. 52'
    Card · Red Card
    Rob Holding
    COL
  6. 55'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Darren Yapi
    COL
  7. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Darren Yapi · assist Jackson Travis
    COL
  8. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dante Sealy · assist Connor Ronan
    COL
  9. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brendan McSorley
    ST.
  10. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kosi Thompson · assist Keegan Rosenberry
    COL
  11. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Conrad Wallem
    ST.
  12. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Conrad Wallem · assist Eduard Löwen
    ST.
  13. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Simon Becher · assist Lukas MacNaughton
    ST.
  14. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Hamzat Ojediran · assist Alex Harris
    COL
  15. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Christopher Durkin
    ST.
  16. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Christopher Durkin
    ST.
  17. 88'
    Card · Red Card
    Christopher Durkin
    ST.
  18. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Keegan Rosenberry
    COL
  19. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jaziel Orozco · assist Fallou Fall
    ST.
  20. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Brendan McSorley · assist Miguel Perez
    ST.
  21. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Miguel Perez
    ST.
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLORADO RAPIDS AVG 7.1
ST. LOUIS CITY AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
1.9
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
2.0
ON TARGET
1.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
406.0
PASSES
352.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
11.0
CORNERS
1.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
18.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
1.0
RED CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLORADO RAPIDS 2 shots
Lucas Herrington
0/1
Paxten Aaronson
1/1
ST. LOUIS CITY 3 shots
Marcel Hartel
0/2
Jeong Sang-bin
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.15 – 1.87
1.5 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.9 0.0 HT 26' H 1.15 A 1.87 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 43%
57% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-2
3-4-2-1
6.7
41
NICHOLAS
 7.0
29
MIGUEL NA
 7.2
22
LUCAS HER
6
ROB HOLDI
33
KOSI THOM
93
GEORGI MI
8
HAMZAT OJ
 7.0
10
PAXTEN AA
7
DANTE SEA
9
RAFAEL NA
77
DARREN YA
1
ROMAN BüR
 7.7
21
DANTE POL
32
TIMO BAUM
 8.0
99
JAZIEL OR
14
TOMAS TOT
 7.5
24
DANIEL ED
8
CHRISTOPH
6
CONRAD WA
 7.2
17
MARCEL HA
 7.9
77
JEONG SAN
11
SIMON BEC
SUBSTITUTES · COLORADO RAPIDS
16
Alex Harris
F
47
Sydney Wathu...
F
20
Connor Ronan
M
11
Alexis Manyo...
M
2
Keegan Rosen...
D
99
Jackson Trav...
D
24
Noah Cobb
D
51
Zackory Camp...
G
26
Mamadou Bill...
F
COACH: Matt Wells
SUBSTITUTES · ST. LOUIS CITY
28
Miguel Perez
M
80
Brendan McSo...
F
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
27
Fallou Fall
D
20
Rafael Santo...
D
5
Lukas MacNau...
D
39
Benjamin Lun...
G
10
Eduard Löwen
M
COACH: Yoann Damet
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Tim Ford, USA
—
COL MANAGER
Matt Wells
head coach
ST. MANAGER
Yoann Damet
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
COL WINS
2
DRAWS
1
ST. WINS
50%
33.3%
16.7%
9 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
2.17
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 6
25 May 2025
Colorado Rapids
1 – 0
St. Louis City
W
23 Feb 2025
St. Louis City
0 – 0
Colorado Rapids
D
08 Jul 2024
Colorado Rapids
4 – 1
St. Louis City
W
20 Jun 2024
St. Louis City
0 – 3
Colorado Rapids
W
02 Jul 2023
St. Louis City
2 – 0
Colorado Rapids
L
COLORADO RAPIDS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D L
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
COLORADO RAPIDS #9
Lost · already at 16 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
ST. LOUIS CITY #14
Won · already at 12 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Miguel Perez
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Brendan McSorley
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jaziel Orozco
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Keegan Rosenberry
  • 88'
    Card · Red Card · Christopher Durkin
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Christopher Durkin
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Christopher Durkin
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Hamzat Ojediran
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Simon Becher
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Conrad Wallem
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Conrad Wallem
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kosi Thompson
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brendan McSorley
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dante Sealy
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Darren Yapi
  • 55'
    Card · Yellow Card · Darren Yapi
  • 52'
    Card · Red Card · Rob Holding
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jeong Sang-bin
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · Miguel Navarro
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jeong Sang-bin
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hamzat Ojediran
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
COLORADO RAPIDS WIN
1.96
51% implied
↑ best 2.02
DRAW
3.77
26.5% implied
↑ best 3.92
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
3.43
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.62

Market favors Colorado Rapids. AI projects ST. LOUIS CITY 74%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ST. LOUIS CITY 74% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.02 3.80 3.20 +42.8%
888Sport 1.95 3.50 3.30 +43.7%
Bet365 1.91 3.90 3.60 +46.2%
Betano 1.98 3.85 3.55 +45.8%
Betfair 1.95 3.90 3.30 +43.7%
BetVictor 1.93 3.80 3.50 +45.4%
Dafabet 2.02 3.90 3.45 +45.0%
Marathonbet 1.93 3.70 3.52 +45.6%
Pinnacle 1.99 3.92 3.62 +46.4%
SBO 1.95 3.64 3.33 +44.0%
Unibet 1.96 3.80 3.45 +45.0%
William Hill 1.95 3.50 3.30 +43.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.17 U 4.86
2.5 O 1.56 U 2.34
3.5 O 2.39 U 1.55
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.50 9 bks
NO
2.44 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.12
Away -0.5 1.84
Away -0.75 1.65
Away -1 1.44
Away -1.25 1.36
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.