Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SUN, 10 MAY · 01:15 LOCAL
← Match Page
NASHVILLE SC
FT
2 2
FULL TIME
DC UNITED
⚽ 76' Warren Madrigal ⚽ 89' Warren Madrigal
GOALS
⚽ 25' Louis Munteanu ⚽ 29' Lucas Bartlett 
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
NAS
2 1
DC
most likely scoreline · 11.7% probability
AI PICKS NASHVILLE SC TO WIN 60%
FT 2 – 2
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
NAS WIN 60%
DRAW 23%
DC WIN 17%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
NASHVILLE SC TO WIN

AI consensus across 60% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 60% OVER 1.5 ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Nashville's league dominance (1st, +15 GD) vs DC's mid-table struggles (5th); expect home win but not a blowout.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY NASHVILLE SC FAVORED
60%
Nashville top of table with +15 goal difference vs DC's -2 differential
+25.0%
Nashville home form solid (WLWWD) — recent loss offset by 3 wins in last 4
+20.0%
DC's away form weak (WDDWL) — only 1 win in last 5 on road; no strong road pedigree
+15.0%
WHY DC UNITED CHALLENGED
17%
Nashville top of table with +15 goal difference vs DC's -2 differential
+25.0%
Nashville home form solid (WLWWD) — recent loss offset by 3 wins in last 4
+20.0%
DC's away form weak (WDDWL) — only 1 win in last 5 on road; no strong road pedigree
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Nashville top of table with +15 goal difference vs DC's -2 differential
  • Nashville home form solid (WLWWD) — recent loss offset by 3 wins in last 4
  • DC's away form weak (WDDWL) — only 1 win in last 5 on road; no strong road pedigree
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 25' LOUIS MUNT 29' LUCAS BART 76' WARREN MAD 89' WARREN MAD
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 11.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.1
1.7
0.5
0.1
·
·
1
10.8
9.0
3.7
1.0
0.2
·
·
2
11.7
9.7
4.0
1.1
0.2
·
·
3
8.5
7.0
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
4
4.6
3.8
1.6
0.4
0.1
·
·
5
2.0
1.7
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.7
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 11.7%
1 — 0 10.8%
2 — 1 9.7%
1 — 1 9.0%
3 — 0 8.5%
Top 5 = 49.7% · rest 50.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
60.0%
1.67
-0.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.88
52.0%
1.92
-2.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.16
83.0%
1.20
-3.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
77.0%
1.30
-5.4%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.85
49.0%
2.04
-9.3%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.81
23.0%
4.35
-12.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
40.0%
2.50
-12.8%
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.03
17.0%
5.88
-14.4%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.