GOALSENSE
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Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SAT, 09 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
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NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
PHILADELPHIA UNION
⚽ 61' Luca Langoni ⚽ 87' Carles Gil 
GOALS
⚽ 37' Will Sands
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
NEW
2 – 1
PHI
most likely scoreline · 10.9% probability
AI PICKS NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION TO WIN 48%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
NEW WIN 48%
DRAW 26%
PHI WIN 26%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
OVER 1.5

AI projects 79.54% — the safest goals market. Combined value over single 1X2 pick at this confidence.

CONF 80% OVER 1.5 ✓ avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

New England's home form and table position edge Philadelphia's dismal away record; expect competitive match with goals.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY NEW ENGLAND REVOLUTION FAVORED
48%
New England 2nd place (19 pts) vs Philadelphia 15th (6 pts) — massive table gap
+25.0%
Philadelphia's away form catastrophic (LDLWL); New England home form strong (WWWLL recent wobble)
+20.0%
SportMonks ML model aligns with home-edge bias (42% home win); bookmaker odds oddly level (2.73 both sides)
+15.0%
WHY PHILADELPHIA UNION CHALLENGED
26%
New England 2nd place (19 pts) vs Philadelphia 15th (6 pts) — massive table gap
+25.0%
Philadelphia's away form catastrophic (LDLWL); New England home form strong (WWWLL recent wobble)
+20.0%
SportMonks ML model aligns with home-edge bias (42% home win); bookmaker odds oddly level (2.73 both sides)
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • New England 2nd place (19 pts) vs Philadelphia 15th (6 pts) — massive table gap
  • Philadelphia's away form catastrophic (LDLWL); New England home form strong (WWWLL recent wobble)
  • SportMonks ML model aligns with home-edge bias (42% home win); bookmaker odds oddly level (2.73 both sides)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 37' WILL SANDS ⚽ 61' LUCA LANGO ⚽ 87' CARLES GIL
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 10.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
4.5
2.1
0.6
0.1
·
·
1
10.4
9.5
4.3
1.3
0.3
·
·
2
10.9
9.9
4.5
1.4
0.3
0.1
·
3
7.6
6.9
3.1
1.0
0.2
·
·
4
4.0
3.6
1.6
0.5
0.1
·
·
5
1.7
1.5
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
0.6
0.5
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 10.9%
1 — 0 10.4%
2 — 1 9.9%
1 — 1 9.5%
3 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 48.2% · rest 51.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.60
48.0%
2.08
+24.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.89
59.0%
1.69
+11.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
74.0%
1.35
+8.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.70
61.0%
1.64
+3.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.30
74.0%
1.35
-4.2%
—
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.32
26.0%
3.85
-13.6%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.46
52.0%
1.92
-24.3%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.62
26.0%
3.85
-31.9%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.