GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CHARLOTTE 48% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SAT, 09 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
CHARLOTTE
9TH · 15 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
FC CINCINNATI
L W W D D
· 8TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 51' Idan Toklomati ⚽ 52' Pep Biel
GOALS
⚽ 36' Kévin Denkey ⚽ 43' Evander
Evander
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Evander
FC Cincinnati · Captain · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 42% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Charlotte vs FC Cincinnati
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

74%
BALL POSSESSION %
115%
12
TOTAL SHOTS
13
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
453%
PASS ACCURACY %
520%
7
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Foul
    Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  2. 36'
    Goal · 0-1
    Kévin Denkey
    FC
  3. 43'
    Goal · 0-2
    Evander · assist Pavel Bucha
    FC
  4. 51'
    Goal · 1-2
    Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  5. 52'
    Goal · 2-2
    Pep Biel · assist Djibril Diani
    CHA
  6. 54'
    Card · Time wasting
    CHA
  7. 56'
    Subst
    FC
  8. 62'
    Card · Foul
    Samuel Gidi
    FC
  9. 73'
    Subst
    Obinna Nwobodo · assist Samuel Gidi
    FC
  10. 73'
    Subst
    Ender Echenique · assist Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  11. 77'
    Subst
    Liel Abada · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  12. 77'
    Card · Foul
    Evander
    FC
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Archie Goodwin · assist Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  14. 87'
    Subst
    Tom Barlow · assist Kenji Mboma Dem
    FC
  15. 87'
    Subst
    Ayoub Lajhar · assist Bryan Ramírez
    FC
  16. 90'
    Card · Foul
    Obinna Nwobodo
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.3
FC CINCINNATI AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
12.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
74.0%
POSSESSION %
115.0%
503.0
PASSES
574.0
453.0%
PASS ACCURACY
520.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
4.0
13.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
15.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHARLOTTE 7 shots
Pep Biel
1/3
Idan Toklomati
2/3
Ashley Westwood
0/1
FC CINCINNATI 4 shots
Evander
3/3
Kévin Denkey
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 31%
69% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-1-4-2
4-2-3-1
3-1-4-2
6.9
1
KRISTIJAN
23
DAVID SCH
3
TIM REAM
44
MORRISON
14
NATHAN BY
 7.7
28
DJIBRIL D
 7.3
8
ASHLEY WE
10
WILFRIED
 7.6
16
PEP BIEL
18
KERWIN CA
 7.2
9
IDAN TOKL
18
ROMAN CEL
88
ANDREI CH
21
MATT MIAZ
 7.3
4
NICK HAGG
11
SAMUEL GI
29
BRYAN RAM
 8.3
10
EVANDER
22
GERARDO V
 6.6
20
PAVEL BUC
17
KENJI MBO
 6.6
9
KéVIN DEN
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
37
Rodolfo Alok...
F
25
Tyger Smalls
F
11
Liel Abada
F
48
Aron John
M
17
Luca De La T...
M
13
Brandt Broni...
M
4
Andrew Prive...
D
21
Tyler Miller
G
7
Archie Goodw...
F
COACH: Dean Smith
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
37
Stiven Jimen...
M
66
Ender Echeni...
F
5
Obinna Nwobo...
M
27
Tah Anunga
M
12
Miles Robins...
D
55
Ayoub Lajhar
D
3
Gilberto Flo...
D
13
Evan Louro
G
16
Tom Barlow
F
COACH: Pat Noonan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ismail Elfath, USA
—
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
CHA WINS
2
DRAWS
2
FC WINS
50%
25%
25%
11 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
10 Aug 2025
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
Charlotte
W
15 Mar 2025
Charlotte
2 – 0
FC Cincinnati
W
13 Jul 2024
FC Cincinnati
1 – 3
Charlotte
W
30 Mar 2024
Charlotte
1 – 1
FC Cincinnati
D
23 Sep 2023
FC Cincinnati
3 – 0
Charlotte
L
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L W
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
CHARLOTTE #9
Lost · already at 15 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
FC CINCINNATI #8
Lost · already at 16 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 12 9 2 1 +21 29
W D D W W
1 Nashville SC 12 8 3 1 +18 27
W D D W W
2 San Jose Earthquakes 13 9 2 2 +18 29
L D D W W
2 Inter Miami 13 7 4 2 +7 25
W W L D W
3 Seattle Sounders 11 7 3 1 +9 24
W D D W W
3 New England Revolution 12 7 1 4 +4 22
L W W D W
4 Chicago Fire 12 6 2 4 +8 20
W L L W D
4 Real Salt Lake 12 7 1 4 +6 22
W L W L L
5 Los Angeles FC 13 6 3 4 +7 21
L L D W D
5 New York City FC 13 5 3 5 +5 18
W W L L D
6 Minnesota United FC 13 6 3 4 -3 21
L D W L W
6 New York Red Bulls 13 5 3 5 -8 18
W W L L D
7 FC Dallas 13 5 4 4 +6 19
L W W L L
7 DC United 13 4 4 5 -4 16
L D W W D
8 FC Cincinnati 13 4 4 5 -5 16
L D W W D
8 Houston Dynamo 12 6 0 6 -5 18
L W W L W
9 Colorado Rapids 13 5 1 7 +3 16
W L L L D
9 Charlotte 13 4 3 6 -2 15
L D L L L
10 San Diego 13 4 4 5 +5 16
W D D L L
10 Toronto FC 12 3 5 4 -4 14
L D L D D
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 13 4 4 5 -2 16
L W D W L
11 CF Montreal 12 4 1 7 -7 13
D W L W W
12 Orlando City SC 13 4 1 8 -17 13
W L W L W
12 Portland Timbers 12 4 2 6 -2 14
D W L W L
13 Austin 13 3 5 5 -8 14
L D W W L
13 Columbus Crew 13 3 3 7 -4 12
L L L W W
14 St. Louis City 12 3 3 6 -7 12
W W L L L
14 Atlanta United FC 12 3 1 8 -7 10
L W W L L
15 Sporting Kansas City 12 2 2 8 -22 8
W L D L L
15 Philadelphia Union 13 1 3 9 -10 6
L L D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Card · Foul · Obinna Nwobodo
    5th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Subst · Ayoub Lajhar
    7th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · Tom Barlow
    6th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Archie Goodwin
    5th Substitution
  • 77'
    Card · Foul · Evander
    4th Yellowcard
  • 77'
    Subst · Liel Abada
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Ender Echenique
    2nd Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Obinna Nwobodo
    3rd Substitution
  • 62'
    Card · Foul · Samuel Gidi
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 56'
    Subst
    1st Substitution
  • 54'
    Card · Time wasting
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 52'
    Goal · 2-2 · Pep Biel
    4th Goal
  • 51'
    Goal · 1-2 · Idan Toklomati
    3rd Goal
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 43'
    Goal · 0-2 · Evander
    2nd Goal
  • 36'
    Goal · 0-1 · Kévin Denkey
    1st Goal
  • 26'
    Card · Foul · Gerardo Valenzuela
    1st Yellowcard
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLOTTE WIN
2.14
46.7% implied
↑ best 2.21
DRAW
3.72
26.9% implied
↑ best 3.85
FC CINCINNATI WIN
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.11

Market favors Charlotte. AI projects CHARLOTTE 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLOTTE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.12 3.80 2.98 +0.8%
888Sport 2.10 3.50 2.90 +0.4%
Bet365 2.15 3.60 3.10 +1.5%
Betano 2.20 3.75 3.05 +2.5%
Betfair 2.10 3.75 3.00 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.15 3.80 2.90 +1.5%
Dafabet 2.18 3.85 3.10 +2.1%
Marathonbet 2.09 3.78 3.04 +0.2%
Pinnacle 2.21 3.85 3.11 +2.8%
SBO 2.15 3.65 2.85 +1.5%
Unibet 2.10 3.80 3.10 +0.4%
William Hill 2.10 3.50 2.90 +0.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.36
2.5 O 1.49 U 2.52
3.5 O 2.24 U 1.63
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 9 bks
NO
2.60 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.90
Away -0.5 1.70
Away -0.75 1.52
Away -1 1.35
Away -1.25 1.31
Away -1.5 1.25
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.