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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · DC UNITED 95%
CONF 92 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SUN, 03 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
NEW YORK CITY FC
5TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L D
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
DC UNITED
D W D D D
· 9TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 29' Louis Munteanu
Nicolás Fernández
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Nicolás Fernández
New York City FC · 97 mins
· 42% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: New York City FC vs DC United
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

153%
BALL POSSESSION %
82%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
19
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
7
527%
PASS ACCURACY %
137%
6
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 26'
    Card · Foul
    Keisuke Kurokawa
    DC
  2. 29'
    Goal · 0-1
    Louis Munteanu
    DC
  3. 36'
    Subst
    Andrés Perea · assist Aiden O'Neill
    NEW
  4. 45'+3
    Card · Foul
    Silvan Hefti
    DC
  5. 60'
    Subst
    Aarón Herrera · assist Jared Stroud
    DC
  6. 60'
    Subst
    Nikola Markovic · assist Jackson Hopkins
    DC
  7. 63'
    Subst
    Keaton Parks · assist Strahinja Tanasijević
    NEW
  8. 63'
    Subst
    Hannes Wolf · assist Malachi Jones
    NEW
  9. 70'
    Card · Time wasting
    Peglow
    DC
  10. 75'
    Penalty · 0-2
    Louis Munteanu
    DC
  11. 78'
    Subst
    Jacob Murrell · assist Louis Munteanu
    DC
  12. 80'
    Card · Foul
    Nicolás Fernández Mercau
    NEW
  13. 81'
    Subst
    Seymour Reid · assist Agustín Ojeda
    NEW
  14. 81'
    Subst
    Jonathan Shore · assist Raul Gustavo
    NEW
  15. 89'
    Subst
    Conner Antley · assist Peglow
    DC
  16. 90'+3
    Card · Time wasting
    Jacob Murrell
    DC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 7.6
DC UNITED AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
19.0
4.0
ON TARGET
7.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
0.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
153.0%
POSSESSION %
82.0%
616.0
PASSES
228.0
527.0%
PASS ACCURACY
137.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
3.0
15.0
OFFSIDES
29.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
17.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
5.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
NEW YORK CITY FC 5 shots
Nicolás Fernández
2/2
Andrés Perea
0/2
Raul Gustavo
0/1
DC UNITED 5 shots
Louis Munteanu
3/5
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 38%
62% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
7.7
49
MATTHEW F
2
NICO CAVA
 7.0
34
RAUL GUST
 7.5
13
THIAGO MA
19
STRAHINJA
21
AIDEN O'N
5
K. TREWIN
88
MALACHI J
10
MAXI MORA
26
AGUSTIN O
 8.5
7
NICOLáS F
 7.6
1
SEAN JOHN
 7.3
6
KEISUKE K
15
KYE ROWLE
 7.3
3
LUCAS BAR
5
SILVAN HE
7
JOãO PEGL
23
BRANDON S
 7.3
4
MATTI PEL
8
JARED STR
 7.3
11
LOUIS MUN
25
JACKSON H
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
32
Jonathan Sho...
M
87
Arnau Farno...
F
29
Máximo Carri...
M
30
Tomás Romero
G
17
Hannes Wolf
F
55
Keaton Parks
M
8
Andrés Perea
M
99
Seymour Garf...
F
COACH: Pascal Jansen
SUBSTITUTES · DC UNITED
48
Gavin Turner
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
30
Caden Clark
M
12
Conner Antle...
D
26
Alex Bono
G
24
Jordan Farr
G
27
Nikola Marko...
D
22
Aaron Herrer...
D
17
Jacob Murrel...
F
COACH: Rene Weiler
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
I. Elfath
—
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
NEW WINS
2
DRAWS
3
DC WINS
50%
20%
30%
18 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
30 Aug 2025
New York City FC
1 – 2
DC United
L
14 May 2025
DC United
0 – 0
New York City FC
D
14 Sep 2024
DC United
1 – 1
New York City FC
D
20 Apr 2024
New York City FC
2 – 0
DC United
W
07 Oct 2023
DC United
2 – 0
New York City FC
L
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L D
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
NEW YORK CITY FC #5
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
DC UNITED #9
Won · already at 23 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Time wasting · Jacob Murrell
    5th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Subst · Conner Antley
    9th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Jonathan Shore
    8th Substitution
  • 81'
    Subst · Seymour Reid
    7th Substitution
  • 80'
    Card · Foul · Nicolás Fernández Mercau
    4th Yellowcard
  • 78'
    Subst · Jacob Murrell
    6th Substitution
  • 75'
    Penalty · 0-2 · Louis Munteanu
    1st Penalty
  • 70'
    Card · Time wasting · Peglow
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 63'
    Subst · Hannes Wolf
    5th Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Keaton Parks
    4th Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Nikola Markovic
    3rd Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Aarón Herrera
    2nd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Foul · Silvan Hefti
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 36'
    Subst · Andrés Perea
    1st Substitution
  • 29'
    Goal · 0-1 · Louis Munteanu
    1st Goal
  • 26'
    Card · Foul · Keisuke Kurokawa
    1st Yellowcard
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
1.77
56.5% implied
↑ best 1.83
DRAW
3.69
27.1% implied
↑ best 3.80
DC UNITED WIN
4.48
22.3% implied
↑ best 4.70

Market favors New York City FC. AI projects DC UNITED 95%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DC UNITED 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.70 4.55 +73.0%
Bet365 1.80 3.75 4.33 +71.9%
Betano 1.83 3.80 4.65 +73.5%
Betfair 1.73 3.80 4.40 +72.3%
BetVictor 1.75 3.70 4.40 +72.3%
Dafabet 1.80 3.75 4.60 +73.3%
Marathonbet 1.74 3.64 4.50 +72.8%
Pinnacle 1.81 3.72 4.68 +73.6%
SBO 1.79 3.50 4.16 +71.0%
Unibet 1.73 3.70 4.70 +73.7%
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.33 +71.9%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.66
2.5 O 1.88 U 1.91
3.5 O 3.20 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.77 8 bks
NO
1.95 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.43
Away -0.5 2.05
Away -0.75 1.81
Away -1 1.56
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.