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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · REAL SALT LAKE 58% · Value: Over 2.5 64%
CONF 56 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SAT, 02 MAY · 20:45 LOCAL
REAL SALT LAKE
5TH · 27 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L D W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
PORTLAND TIMBERS
W W D W L
· 8TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
James Pantemis
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
James Pantemis
Portland Timbers · 91 mins
· 25% pass acc
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Real Salt Lake vs Portland Timbers
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

85%
BALL POSSESSION %
85%
25
TOTAL SHOTS
11
15
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
446%
PASS ACCURACY %
387%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 6 events
  1. 46'
    Subst
    Kamal Miller · assist Finn Surman
    POR
  2. 59'
    Subst
    Ian Smith · assist Alex Bonetig
    POR
  3. 59'
    Subst
    Alexander Aravena · assist Cole Bassett
    POR
  4. 60'
    Card · Foul
    Jimer Fory
    POR
  5. 82'
    Card · Foul
    Ian Smith
    POR
  6. 90'+1
    Subst
    Gage Guerra · assist Kevin Kelsy
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
REAL SALT LAKE AVG 8.2
PORTLAND TIMBERS AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
25.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
15.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
85.0%
POSSESSION %
85.0%
513.0
PASSES
456.0
446.0%
PASS ACCURACY
387.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
9.0
OFFSIDES
17.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
2.0
GK SAVES
13.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
REAL SALT LAKE 19 shots
Zavier Gozo
5/7
Morgan Guilavogui
2/5
Diego Luna
3/3
Noel Caliskan
1/2
Juan Sanabria
1/2
PORTLAND TIMBERS 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 0%
100% A
0
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-2-3-1
3-4-2-1
4-2-3-1
1
RAFAEL CA
29
SAM JUNQU
15
JUSTEN GL
2
DEANDRE Y
 7.5
8
JUAN SANA
 7.9
92
NOEL CALI
6
STIJN SPI
 8.2
72
ZAVIER GO
 7.9
9
MORGAN GU
 9.7
10
DIEGO LUN
22
SERGI SOL
 10.0
41
JAMES PAN
27
JíMER FOR
6
ALEX BONE
20
FINN SURM
5
BRANDON B
 7.2
30
JOSé CAIC
 7.2
17
COLE BASS
11
ANTONY AL
10
DAVID PER
99
KRISTOFFE
19
KEVIN KEL
SUBSTITUTES · REAL SALT LAKE
23
Zach Booth
M
39
Aiden Hezar...
F
11
Dominik Marc...
F
7
Pablo Ruíz
M
27
Griffin Dill...
M
26
Philip Quint...
D
98
Alexandros K...
D
31
Mason Stajdu...
G
17
Victor Olatu...
F
COACH: Pablo Mastroeni
SUBSTITUTES · PORTLAND TIMBERS
28
Alexander Ar...
F
7
Ariel Lassit...
F
88
Gage Guerra
F
21
Diego Chará
M
23
Ian Smith
D
16
Sawyer Jura
D
4
Kamal Miller
D
25
Trey Muse
G
9
Felipe Mora
F
COACH: Phil Neville
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Mendoza
—
REA MANAGER
Pablo Mastroeni
head coach
POR MANAGER
Phil Neville
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
REA WINS
4
DRAWS
3
POR WINS
30%
40%
30%
13 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Jul 2026
Portland Timbers
2 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
23 Oct 2025
Portland Timbers
3 – 1
Real Salt Lake
L
17 Jul 2025
Portland Timbers
0 – 1
Real Salt Lake
W
15 May 2025
Real Salt Lake
0 – 0
Portland Timbers
D
22 Sep 2024
Real Salt Lake
3 – 3
Portland Timbers
D
REAL SALT LAKE LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D W
PORTLAND TIMBERS LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
REAL SALT LAKE #5
Won · already at 27 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
PORTLAND TIMBERS #8
Lost · already at 24 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 17 10 4 3 +21 34
D D L W L
1 Nashville SC 18 12 4 2 +21 40
D L W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 19 10 4 5 +16 34
D W W W W
2 Inter Miami 18 11 5 2 +13 38
D W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 18 10 3 5 +13 33
L D L W L
3 New England Revolution 17 9 3 5 +7 30
D W D L W
4 Chicago Fire 17 9 2 6 +9 29
W L L W W
4 Houston Dynamo 17 9 2 6 +1 29
W W D D W
5 Real Salt Lake 17 8 3 6 +4 27
D L L D W
5 New York City FC 18 7 5 6 +7 26
D W W L D
6 FC Dallas 18 7 6 5 +7 27
D L D W W
6 FC Cincinnati 18 7 5 6 +1 26
W L W W D
7 St. Louis City 18 7 5 6 0 26
D W W W W
7 Charlotte 18 7 4 7 +2 25
L W D W W
8 New York Red Bulls 18 7 4 7 -10 25
W L L W D
8 Portland Timbers 18 7 3 8 0 24
W W D W L
9 Seattle Sounders 17 7 3 7 -2 24
L L L L L
9 DC United 18 5 8 5 -3 23
D W D D D
10 Minnesota United FC 18 6 6 6 -5 24
D D L D L
10 Orlando City SC 18 6 2 10 -17 20
L W W L D
11 Colorado Rapids 18 7 1 10 +2 22
W L W L L
11 Columbus Crew 18 5 5 8 -2 20
D W L W D
12 Toronto FC 18 3 8 7 -8 17
D L D D L
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 19 5 7 7 -5 22
D D L L D
13 San Diego 18 5 6 7 +3 21
D W L L D
13 Philadelphia Union 18 4 4 10 -8 16
W W W L D
14 Austin 18 4 5 9 -14 17
L L W L L
14 CF Montreal 18 4 4 10 -11 16
D L L D D
15 Sporting Kansas City 18 4 2 12 -28 14
L L W L L
15 Atlanta United FC 18 3 3 12 -14 12
L L D L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Gage Guerra
    9th Substitution
  • 82'
    Card · Foul · Ian Smith
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 60'
    Card · Foul · Jimer Fory
    1st Yellowcard
  • 59'
    Subst · Alexander Aravena
    2nd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Ian Smith
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Kamal Miller
    1st Substitution
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
REAL SALT LAKE WIN
1.41
70.9% implied
↑ best 1.45
DRAW
5.02
19.9% implied
↑ best 5.30
PORTLAND TIMBERS WIN
6.50
15.4% implied
↑ best 7.20

Market favors Real Salt Lake. AI projects REAL SALT LAKE 58% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL SALT LAKE 58% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.45 5.10 5.50 +2.4%
Bet365 1.42 5.00 7.00 +5.7%
Betano 1.44 5.30 7.20 +6.1%
Betfair 1.36 5.00 7.00 +5.7%
BetVictor 1.36 5.25 6.50 +4.6%
Dafabet 1.45 5.20 6.40 +4.4%
Marathonbet 1.38 4.90 6.95 +5.6%
Pinnacle 1.42 5.23 7.06 +5.8%
SBO 1.40 4.84 5.90 +3.1%
Unibet 1.45 4.80 6.00 +3.3%
William Hill 1.40 4.60 6.00 +3.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 7.14
2.5 O 1.34 U 3.17
3.5 O 1.88 U 1.90
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.48 8 bks
NO
2.48 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.54
Away -0.5 2.80
Away -0.75 2.59
Away -1 2.29
Away -1.25 2.00
Away -1.5 1.75
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.