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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · COLUMBUS CREW 48%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT, 25 APR · 23:30 LOCAL
COLUMBUS CREW
14TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
PHILADELPHIA UNION
D D W W W
· 12TH · 21 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' Maximilian Arfsten ⚽ 45+3' Maximilian Arfsten
GOALS
S. Zawadzki
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
S. Zawadzki
Columbus Crew · Captain · 90 mins
· 70% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.62
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.95
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten
    COL
  2. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    D. Jean-Jacques
    PHI
  3. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
    COL
  4. 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten
    COL
  5. 45'+7
    Subst · Substitution 1
    J. Bueno · assist J. Lukić
    PHI
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Philippe Ndinga · assist B. Bender
    PHI
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hugo Picard · assist S. Moreira
    COL
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cavan Sullivan · assist I. Vassilev
    PHI
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jeremy Rafanello · assist A. Anello
    PHI
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Rossi · assist J. Thiaré
    COL
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    T. Habroune · assist D. Gazdag
    COL
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · assist A. Sejdić
    COL
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Maximilian Arfsten · assist M. Farsi
    COL
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    B. Damiani · assist E. Alladoh
    PHI
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Red Card
    J. Sery Larsen
    PHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLUMBUS CREW AVG 7.6
PHILADELPHIA UNION AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.0
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
499.0
PASSES
391.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
18.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLUMBUS CREW 2 shots
Maximilian Arfsten
2/2
PHILADELPHIA UNION 1 shots
B. Bender
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.62 – 0.95
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 4' 45' H 0.62 A 0.95 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
28
P. SCHULT
 7.5
18
M. AMUNDS
 8.0
25
S. ZAWADZ
 7.2
4
RUDY CAMA
2
M. HERRER
30
HUGO PICA
7
D. CHAMBO
17
SEKOU TID
 8.0
27
MAXIMILIA
 7.2
16
T. HABROU
10
D. ROSSI
 7.5
18
A. BLAKE
20
PHILIPPE
29
OLWETHU M
 6.7
5
J. SERY L
26
N. HARRIE
6
CAVAN SU
 6.9
14
JEREMY RA
8
J. BUENO
21
D. JEAN-J
9
B. DAMIAN
10
M. ILOSKI
SUBSTITUTES · COLUMBUS CREW
12
Cesar Ruvalc...
D
21
Yevhen Chebe...
D
1
N. Hagen
G
14
A. Sejdić
M
23
M. Farsi
D
19
J. Thiaré
F
8
D. Gazdag
M
31
S. Moreira
D
90
Nariman Akhu...
F
COACH: Henrik Rydstrom
SUBSTITUTES · PHILADELPHIA UNION
11
A. Bedoya
M
2
Geiner Martí...
D
76
A. Rick
G
23
E. Alladoh
F
28
A. Anello
F
19
I. Vassilev
M
16
B. Bender
M
4
J. Lukić
M
51
M. Jakupovic
F
COACH: Bradley Carnell
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Dujic
—
COL MANAGER
Henrik Rydstrom
head coach
PHI MANAGER
Bradley Carnell
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
COL WINS
4
DRAWS
1
PHI WINS
50%
40%
10%
14 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 May 2026
Philadelphia Union
1 – 1
Columbus Crew
D
29 Jun 2025
Columbus Crew
1 – 0
Philadelphia Union
W
10 May 2025
Philadelphia Union
2 – 2
Columbus Crew
D
05 Oct 2024
Columbus Crew
3 – 2
Philadelphia Union
W
28 Aug 2024
Philadelphia Union
0 – 1
Columbus Crew
W
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D W
PHILADELPHIA UNION LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
COLUMBUS CREW #14
Won · already at 20 pts
PHILADELPHIA UNION #12
Lost · already at 21 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Red Card · J. Sery Larsen
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · B. Damiani
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · T. Habroune
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Rossi
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jeremy Rafanello
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cavan Sullivan
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hugo Picard
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Philippe Ndinga
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+7
    Subst · Substitution 1 · J. Bueno
  • 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · D. Jean-Jacques
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
COLUMBUS CREW WIN
1.92
52.1% implied
↑ best 1.98
DRAW
3.63
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.90
PHILADELPHIA UNI WIN
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 4.20

Market favors Columbus Crew. AI projects COLUMBUS CREW 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS COLUMBUS CREW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.65 3.70 +4.6%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +3.4%
Bet365 1.95 3.70 3.60 +5.0%
Betano 1.98 3.90 3.75 +6.4%
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.75 +4.2%
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.60 +4.2%
Dafabet 1.96 3.75 3.80 +5.3%
Marathonbet 1.90 3.58 3.75 +4.1%
Pinnacle 1.98 3.67 3.90 +4.8%
SBO 1.95 3.45 3.50 +3.0%
Unibet 1.79 3.70 4.20 +5.0%
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.60 +2.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.94
2.5 O 1.76 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.90 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 9 bks
NO
2.13 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.15
Away -0.5 1.89
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.47
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.