GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 3–0 · SPORTING CP 99% · Value: Over 2.5 99%
CONF 98 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SAT, 16 MAY · 19:30 LOCAL
SPORTING CP
2ND · 82 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D D L
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
GIL VICENTE
L D W L D
· 6TH · 50 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 15' Quaresma ⚽ 34' Luis Javier Suárez ⚽ 90+3' Morten Hjulmand
GOALS
Luis Javier Suárez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 25% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
9.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 4 CLIPS

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Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente
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Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.68
62%
BALL POSSESSION %
38%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
10
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
6
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Quaresma · assist Pedro Gonçalves
    SPO
  2. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Javier Suárez
    SPO
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Joelson Fernandes · assist Agustín Moreira
    GIL
  4. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Zé Carlos
    GIL
  5. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hidemasa Morita · assist Daniel Bragança
    SPO
  6. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Pedro Gonçalves · assist Luís Guilherme
    SPO
  7. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Geny Catamo · assist Geovany Quenda
    SPO
  8. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gustavo Varela · assist Héctor Hernández
    GIL
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Zé Carlos · assist Hevertton Santos
    GIL
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Facundo Cáseres · assist Zé Carlos
    GIL
  11. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Murilo · assist Sergio Bermejo
    GIL
  12. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Francisco Trincão · assist Salvador Blopa
    SPO
  13. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Georgios Vagiannidis · assist Ricardo Mangas
    SPO
  14. 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Morten Hjulmand · assist Geovany Quenda
    SPO
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING CP AVG 8.0
GIL VICENTE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.7
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
4.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
5.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
62.0%
POSSESSION %
38.0%
566.0
PASSES
342.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
1.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
12.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING CP 5 shots
Luis Javier Suárez
1/3
Quaresma
1/1
Pedro Gonçalves
0/1
GIL VICENTE 4 shots
Luís Esteves
1/3
Agustín Moreira
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.59 – 0.68
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 15' 34' 90' H 1.59 A 0.68 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
RUI SILVA
 7.2
20
MAXIMILIA
 7.6
25
GONçALO I
 8.3
72
QUARESMA
13
GEORGIOS
5
HIDEMASA
42
MORTEN HJ
 7.7
8
PEDRO GON
17
FRANCISCO
10
GENY CATA
 9.2
97
LUIS JAVI
 7.2
99
DANI FIGU
 6.9
3
GHISLAIN
39
JONATHAN
4
MARVIN EL
2
Zé CARLOS
 7.0
10
LUíS ESTE
 6.9
5
FACUNDO C
11
JOELSON F
95
SANTI GAR
77
MURILO
89
GUSTAVO V
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CP
31
Luís Guilher...
F
73
Eduardo Feli...
M
7
Geovany Quen...
M
14
Giorgi Kocho...
M
23
Daniel Braga...
M
70
Salvador Blo...
D
91
Ricardo Mang...
D
12
João Virgíni...
G
90
Rafael Nel
F
COACH: Rui Borges
SUBSTITUTES · GIL VICENTE
23
Héctor Herná...
F
32
Martin Ferná...
M
17
Sergio Berme...
F
6
Zé Carlos
M
48
Antonio Espi...
D
20
Hevertton Sa...
D
30
Lucão
G
27
Agustín More...
F
29
Carlos Eduar...
F
COACH: Cesar Peixoto
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

GIL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Luís Godinho, Portugal
—
SPO MANAGER
Rui Borges
head coach
GIL MANAGER
Cesar Peixoto
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
7
SPO WINS
3
DRAWS
0
GIL WINS
70%
30%
21 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
02 Jan 2026
GIL Vicente
1 – 1
Sporting CP
D
04 May 2025
Sporting CP
2 – 1
GIL Vicente
W
22 Dec 2024
GIL Vicente
0 – 0
Sporting CP
D
12 Apr 2024
GIL Vicente
0 – 4
Sporting CP
W
04 Dec 2023
Sporting CP
3 – 1
GIL Vicente
W
SPORTING CP LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D D L
GIL VICENTE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
SPORTING CP #2
Won · already at 82 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
GIL VICENTE #6
Lost · already at 50 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Morten Hjulmand
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Georgios Vagiannidis
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Francisco Trincão
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Murilo
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Facundo Cáseres
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Zé Carlos
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gustavo Varela
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Geny Catamo
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Pedro Gonçalves
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hidemasa Morita
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Zé Carlos
    Holding
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Joelson Fernandes
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Javier Suárez
  • 15'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Quaresma
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING CP WIN
1.20
83.3% implied
↑ best 1.25
DRAW
7.09
14.1% implied
↑ best 8.45
GIL VICENTE WIN
12.28
8.1% implied
↑ best 15.50

Market favors Sporting CP. AI projects SPORTING CP 99% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING CP 99% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.21 6.60 11.00 +16.4%
1xBet 1.18 8.45 15.50 +14.3%
Bet365 1.22 7.00 11.00 +17.0%
Betano 1.23 7.60 12.00 +17.7%
Betfair 1.15 7.50 14.00 +12.0%
BetVictor 1.17 6.50 11.50 +13.5%
Dafabet 1.22 7.20 12.00 +17.0%
Marathonbet 1.16 7.30 13.75 +12.8%
Pinnacle 1.18 7.93 13.94 +14.3%
SBO 1.25 5.22 7.72 +19.0%
Unibet 1.20 6.75 12.00 +15.7%
William Hill 1.18 7.00 13.00 +14.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.09 U 6.36
2.5 O 1.37 U 2.92
3.5 O 1.97 U 1.81
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.87 9 bks
NO
1.85 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 6.23
Away -0.5 4.25
Away -0.75 4.06
Away -1 3.63
Away -1.25 2.78
Away -1.5 2.36
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.