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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FAMALICAO 40%
CONF 52 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 33 · MON, 11 MAY · 19:15 LOCAL
ESTRELA
15TH · 29 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L L L
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
FAMALICAO
D W D D D
· 5TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5
Luan Patrick
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luan Patrick
Estrela · 90 mins
· 35% pass acc
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Resumo: Estrela Amadora 0-0 Famalicão (Liga 25/26 #33)
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Resumo: Estrela Amadora 0-0 Famalicão - Liga Port…
Primeira Liga: Estrela da Amadora vs Famalicao
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.25
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.00
38%
BALL POSSESSION %
62%
4
TOTAL SHOTS
15
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
73%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
3
CORNERS
10
KEY EVENTS 11 events
  1. 61'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo García
    FAM
  2. 65'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Renan Ribeiro
    EST
  3. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rodrigo Pinho
    EST
  4. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rodrigo Pinho · assist Leandro Antonetti
    EST
  5. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alex Sola · assist Kevin Höög Jansson
    EST
  6. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jovane Cabral · assist Tom Moustier
    EST
  7. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Gil Dias · assist Romeo Beney
    FAM
  8. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Simon Elisor · assist Umar Abubakar
    FAM
  9. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jefferson Encada
    EST
  10. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Stefan Leković · assist Bernardo Schappo
    EST
  11. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jefferson Encada · assist Max Scholze
    EST
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTRELA AVG 7.3
FAMALICAO AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.3
xG
2.0
4.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
1.0
ON TARGET
4.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
2.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
38.0%
POSSESSION %
62.0%
301.0
PASSES
476.0
73.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
10.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
9.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTRELA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

FAMALICAO 2 shots
Justin De Haas
1/1
Gustavo Sá
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.25 – 2.00
1.6 1.2 0.8 0.4 2.0 0.0 HT H 0.25 A 2.00 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 73%
27% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
3
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
6.9
40
RENAN RIB
 7.2
24
BRUNO LAN
 7.3
4
STEFAN LE
 7.9
30
LUAN PATR
17
JEFFERSON
10
IANIS STO
19
PAULO MOR
63
ALEX SOLA
 7.2
99
ABRAHAM M
9
RODRIGO P
11
JOVANE CA
25
LAZAR CAR
 7.3
5
RAFA SOAR
 7.7
16
JUSTIN DE
 7.3
3
LéO REALP
 7.6
2
GUSTAVO G
14
MATHIAS D
6
TOM VAN D
 7.5
20
GUSTAVO S
7
SORRISO
12
SIMON ELI
23
GIL DIAS
SUBSTITUTES · ESTRELA
18
Jorge Meirel...
F
39
Eddy Doué
M
1
Diogo Pinto
G
14
Bernardo Sch...
D
21
Max Scholze
D
28
Tom Moustier
M
6
Kevin Höög J...
M
7
Leandro Anto...
F
20
Sydney van H...
F
COACH: Cristiano Bacci
SUBSTITUTES · FAMALICAO
91
Rudi Almeida
F
8
Marcos Peña
M
80
Pedro Santos
F
28
Pedro Bondo
D
36
Matheus Matt...
D
1
Ivan Zlobin
G
9
Umar Abubaka...
F
18
Romeo Beney
F
77
Antoine Jouj...
F
COACH: Hugo Oliveira
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
—
EST MANAGER
Cristiano Bacci
head coach
FAM MANAGER
Hugo Oliveira
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
EST WINS
3
DRAWS
1
FAM WINS
33.3%
50%
16.7%
4 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 6 MEETINGS
1.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 6
27 Dec 2025
Famalicao
2 – 3
Estrela
W
25 Jan 2025
Famalicao
0 – 0
Estrela
D
19 Aug 2024
Estrela
0 – 3
Famalicao
L
16 Mar 2024
Famalicao
0 – 0
Estrela
D
29 Oct 2023
Estrela
1 – 0
Famalicao
W
ESTRELA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
FAMALICAO LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
ESTRELA #15
Lost · already at 29 pts
FAMALICAO #5
Lost · already at 53 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 33 27 4 2 +47 85
L W W W W
2 Sporting CP 33 24 7 2 +62 79
W W D D L
3 Benfica 33 22 11 0 +47 77
D D W W W
4 SC Braga 33 16 10 7 +28 58
D D L W D
5 Famalicao 33 14 11 8 +12 53
D D W D D
6 GIL Vicente 33 13 11 9 +12 50
L D W L D
7 Moreirense 33 12 6 15 -12 42
L W L W D
8 Guimaraes 33 12 6 15 -10 42
L L W W D
9 Estoril 33 10 9 14 -1 39
D D L L L
10 Arouca 33 11 6 16 -19 39
W D L W L
11 Alverca 33 10 9 14 -16 39
D L W L W
12 Santa Clara 33 9 9 15 -8 36
W D W D L
13 Rio Ave 33 8 11 14 -22 35
L D L D W
14 Nacional 33 8 7 18 -10 31
L L W W L
15 Estrela 33 6 11 16 -18 29
D L L L L
16 Casa Pia 33 6 11 16 -26 29
W L L L D
17 Tondela 33 6 10 17 -26 28
W W D L L
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 -40 20
W W D D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jefferson Encada
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Stefan Leković
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jefferson Encada
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Simon Elisor
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Gil Dias
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jovane Cabral
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alex Sola
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rodrigo Pinho
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rodrigo Pinho
    misses next match
  • 65'
    Card · Yellow Card · Renan Ribeiro
  • 61'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo García
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
ESTRELA WIN
3.37
29.7% implied
↑ best 3.70
DRAW
3.32
30.1% implied
↑ best 3.45
FAMALICAO WIN
2.14
46.7% implied
↑ best 2.22

Market favors Famalicao. AI projects FAMALICAO 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FAMALICAO 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.30 3.35 2.14 +2.1%
1xBet 3.48 3.41 2.22 +2.7%
888Sport 3.30 3.20 2.15 +0.8%
Bet365 3.30 3.40 2.15 +2.6%
Betano 3.35 3.40 2.18 +2.6%
Betfair 3.40 3.30 2.10 +1.7%
BetVictor 3.20 3.25 2.10 +1.2%
Dafabet 3.35 3.45 2.21 +3.0%
Marathonbet 3.35 3.28 2.13 +1.5%
Pinnacle 3.50 3.33 2.21 +2.0%
SBO 3.25 3.22 2.12 +0.9%
Unibet 3.70 3.35 2.02 +2.1%
William Hill 3.30 3.20 2.15 +0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.28
2.5 O 1.99 U 1.80
3.5 O 3.42 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 10 bks
NO
1.96 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.40
Away -0.5 1.33
Away -0.75 1.19
Away -1 1.07
Away -1.25 1.06
Away -1.5 1.06
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.