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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · AROUCA 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 32 · SAT, 02 MAY · 14:30 LOCAL
AROUCA
10TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W L W
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
SANTA CLARA
W W D L L
· 12TH · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 8' Hyun-ju Lee ⚽ 84' Tiago Esgaio
GOALS
⚽ 10' Gabriel Silva ⚽ 90+5' Elias Manoel
Tiago Esgaio
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Tiago Esgaio
Arouca · Captain · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 23% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 5 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Primeira Liga: Arouca vs Santa Clara
Open in Youtube ↗
Primeira Liga: Arouca vs Santa Clara
Primeira Liga: Arouca vs Santa Clara
Primeira Liga: Arouca vs Santa Clara
Primeira Liga: Arouca vs Santa Clara
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.78
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.97
51%
BALL POSSESSION %
49%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
13
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
5
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 22 events
  1. 5'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Javi Sánchez
    ARO
  2. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Hyun-ju Lee · assist Tiago Esgaio
    ARO
  3. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gabriel Silva · assist Serginho
    SAN
  4. 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Guilherme Romão · assist Paulo Victor
    SAN
  5. 30'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Serginho
    SAN
  6. 44'
    Card · Yellow Card
    José Tavares
    SAN
  7. 45'
    Card · Red Card
    ARO
  8. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hyun-ju Lee
    ARO
  9. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Javi Sánchez · assist Matías Rocha
    ARO
  10. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Brenner · assist Welinton Torrao
    SAN
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Bas Kuipers · assist Amadou Dante
    ARO
  12. 68'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Hyun-ju Lee
    ARO
  13. 68'
    Card · Red Card
    Hyun-ju Lee
    ARO
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Ivan Barbero · assist Mateo Flores
    ARO
  15. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Naïs Djouahra · assist Pablo Gozálbez
    ARO
  16. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gonçalo Paciência · assist Elias Manoel
    SAN
  17. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Gustavo Klismahn · assist Vinícius Lopes
    SAN
  18. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Diogo Calila · assist Lucas Soares
    SAN
  19. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tiago Esgaio · assist Taichi Fukui
    ARO
  20. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Taichi Fukui · assist Diogo Monteiro
    ARO
  21. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Frederico Venâncio
    SAN
  22. 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Elias Manoel
    SAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AROUCA AVG 7.4
SANTA CLARA AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.8
xG
1.0
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
5.0
ON TARGET
4.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
51.0%
POSSESSION %
49.0%
422.0
PASSES
399.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
8.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AROUCA 3 shots
Tiago Esgaio
1/2
Taichi Fukui
1/1
SANTA CLARA 7 shots
José Tavares
2/3
Elias Manoel
1/2
Gabriel Silva
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.78 – 0.97
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 8' 84' 10' 90' H 0.78 A 0.97 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 55%
45% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
12
IGNACIO D
25
BAS KUIPE
3
JOSE FONT
15
JAVI SáNC
 8.7
28
TIAGO ESG
22
ESPEN VAN
 7.3
21
TAICHI FU
 6.9
7
NAïS DJOU
14
HYUN-JU L
19
ALFONSO T
17
IVAN BARB
1
GABRIEL B
5
GUILHERME
21
FREDERICO
 7.2
23
SIDNEY LI
2
DIOGO CAL
 7.2
35
SERGINHO
 7.0
65
JOSé TAVA
 8.0
10
GABRIEL S
77
GUSTAVO K
11
BRENNER
39
GONçALO P
SUBSTITUTES · AROUCA
9
Fally Mayulu
F
46
Mateo Flores
M
89
Pedro Santos
M
10
Pablo Gozálb...
M
44
Amadou Dante
D
6
Diogo Montei...
D
30
Jakub Vinarč...
G
4
Matías Rocha
D
24
Brian Mansil...
F
COACH: Vasco Seabra
SUBSTITUTES · SANTA CLARA
7
Elias Manoel
F
49
Welinton Tor...
F
42
Lucas Soares
D
37
Darlan
M
4
Pedro Pachec...
D
78
Andrey
M
50
João Afonso
G
64
Paulo Victor
D
70
Vinícius Lop...
F
COACH: Vasco Matos
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ARO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Baixinho
—
ARO MANAGER
Vasco Seabra
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Vasco Matos
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
ARO WINS
3
DRAWS
2
SAN WINS
50%
30%
20%
10 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
21 Dec 2025
Santa Clara
0 – 0
Arouca
D
26 Apr 2025
Santa Clara
2 – 0
Arouca
L
15 Dec 2024
Arouca
1 – 0
Santa Clara
W
11 Feb 2023
Arouca
1 – 0
Santa Clara
W
20 Aug 2022
Santa Clara
1 – 2
Arouca
W
AROUCA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L W
SANTA CLARA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
AROUCA #10
Lost · already at 39 pts
SANTA CLARA #12
Lost · already at 36 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 33 27 4 2 +47 85
L W W W W
2 Sporting CP 33 24 7 2 +62 79
W W D D L
3 Benfica 33 22 11 0 +47 77
D D W W W
4 SC Braga 33 16 10 7 +28 58
D D L W D
5 Famalicao 33 14 11 8 +12 53
D D W D D
6 GIL Vicente 33 13 11 9 +12 50
L D W L D
7 Moreirense 33 12 6 15 -12 42
L W L W D
8 Guimaraes 33 12 6 15 -10 42
L L W W D
9 Estoril 33 10 9 14 -1 39
D D L L L
10 Arouca 33 11 6 16 -19 39
W D L W L
11 Alverca 33 10 9 14 -16 39
D L W L W
12 Santa Clara 33 9 9 15 -8 36
W D W D L
13 Rio Ave 33 8 11 14 -22 35
L D L D W
14 Nacional 33 8 7 18 -10 31
L L W W L
15 Estrela 33 6 11 16 -18 29
D L L L L
16 Casa Pia 33 6 11 16 -26 29
W L L L D
17 Tondela 33 6 10 17 -26 28
W W D L L
18 AVS 33 3 11 19 -40 20
W W D D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Goal · Normal Goal · Elias Manoel
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Frederico Venâncio
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Taichi Fukui
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tiago Esgaio
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Diogo Calila
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Gustavo Klismahn
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gonçalo Paciência
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Naïs Djouahra
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Ivan Barbero
  • 68'
    Card · Red Card · Hyun-ju Lee
  • 68'
    Card · Yellow Card · Hyun-ju Lee
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Bas Kuipers
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Brenner
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Javi Sánchez
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Hyun-ju Lee
  • 45'
    Card · Red Card
  • 44'
    Card · Yellow Card · José Tavares
  • 30'
    Card · Yellow Card · Serginho
    misses next match
  • 22'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Guilherme Romão
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gabriel Silva
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Hyun-ju Lee
  • 5'
    Card · Yellow Card · Javi Sánchez
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
AROUCA WIN
2.79
35.8% implied
↑ best 2.95
DRAW
3.00
33.3% implied
↑ best 3.10
SANTA CLARA WIN
2.70
37% implied
↑ best 2.86

Market favors Santa Clara. AI projects AROUCA 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AROUCA 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.74 2.96 2.74 +1.5%
1xBet 2.88 3.02 2.84 +3.3%
Bet365 2.70 3.10 2.62 +1.0%
Betano 2.82 2.95 2.82 +2.5%
Betfair 2.75 3.10 2.70 +1.6%
BetVictor 2.63 3.00 2.60 0.0%
Dafabet 2.90 3.10 2.70 +3.5%
Marathonbet 2.77 2.90 2.73 +1.9%
Pinnacle 2.84 3.02 2.86 +2.8%
SBO 2.72 2.97 2.59 +1.2%
Unibet 2.95 3.00 2.55 +4.1%
William Hill 2.75 2.88 2.70 +1.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.41 U 2.76
2.5 O 2.30 U 1.61
3.5 O 4.20 U 1.20
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.90 9 bks
NO
1.82 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.60
Away -0.5 1.44
Away -0.75 1.29
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.