GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · SPORTING CP 82%
CONF 71 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 26 · WED, 29 APR · 19:15 LOCAL
SPORTING CP
3RD · 73 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D W L
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
TONDELA
W L L D L
· 17TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 62' Luis Javier Suárez ⚽ 78' João Silva (OG)
GOALS
⚽ 90+2' Makan Aïko (P) ⚽ 90+2' Salvador Blopa (OG) ⚽ 90+4' Cicero
Luis Javier Suárez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Luis Javier Suárez
Sporting CP · 94 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 20% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
7.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 5 CLIPS

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Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Tondela
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Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Tondela
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Tondela
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Tondela
Primeira Liga: Sporting CP vs Tondela
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.67
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.31
64%
BALL POSSESSION %
36%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
9
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
5
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 16'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Maranhão
    TON
  2. 19'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rony Lopes
    TON
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tiago Manso
    TON
  4. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Eduardo Quaresma
    SPO
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Geovany Quenda · assist Francisco Trincão
    SPO
  6. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Giorgos Vagiannidis · assist Salvador Blopa
    SPO
  7. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    M. Ouattara · assist Arjen Van Der Heide
    TON
  8. 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Luis Javier Suárez · assist Salvador Blopa
    SPO
  9. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Maranhão · assist Joe Hodge
    TON
  10. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Hélder Tavares · assist Makan Aïko
    TON
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pedro Gonçalves · assist Luis Guilherme
    SPO
  12. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Rony Lopes · assist Cicero
    TON
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Siphephelo Sithole · assist Hugo Félix
    TON
  14. 78'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Salvador Blopa
    SPO
  15. 78'
    Goal · Own Goal
    João Silva · assist Geny Catamo
    SPO
  16. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Daniel Bragança · assist Giorgi Kochorashvili
    SPO
  17. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Geny Catamo · assist Nuno Santos
    SPO
  18. 90'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Makan Aïko · assist Makan Aïko
    TON
  19. 90'+2
    Goal · Own Goal
    Salvador Blopa
    TON
  20. 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Cicero · assist Hugo Félix
    TON
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
SPORTING CP AVG 7.1
TONDELA AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.7
xG
1.3
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
5.0
ON TARGET
2.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
5.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
64.0%
POSSESSION %
36.0%
691.0
PASSES
375.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
5.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
16.0
FOULS
8.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
SPORTING CP 6 shots
Luis Javier Suárez
2/3
Pedro Gonçalves
1/2
Maximiliano Araújo
1/1
TONDELA 2 shots
Cicero
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.67 – 1.31
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.7 0.0 HT 62' 78' 90' 90' 90' H 1.67 A 1.31 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-3
4-2-3-1
4-3-3
1
RUI SILVA
 7.2
20
MAXIMILIA
 7.0
6
ZENO DEBA
72
EDUARDO Q
13
GIORGOS V
23
DANIEL BR
 7.2
5
HIDEMASA
7
GEOVANY Q
 6.9
8
PEDRO GON
10
GENY CATA
 7.3
97
LUIS JAVI
31
BERNARDO
27
RODRIGO C
4
CHRISTIAN
44
JOãO SILV
48
TIAGO MAN
 7.0
32
JUAN RODR
 7.2
15
SIPHEPHEL
8
HéLDER TA
70
MOUDJATOV
16
RONY LOPE
7
MARANHãO
SUBSTITUTES · SPORTING CP
14
Giorgi Kocho...
M
31
Luis Guilher...
F
11
Nuno Santos
D
26
Ousmane Diom...
D
91
Ricardo Mang...
D
12
João Virgíni...
G
70
Salvador Blo...
D
17
Francisco Tr...
F
90
Rafael Nel
F
COACH: Rui Borges
SUBSTITUTES · TONDELA
90
Makan Aïko
F
10
Joe Hodge
M
97
Cicero
M
79
Hugo Félix
M
5
João Afonso
D
2
Bebeto
D
1
Gabriel Souz...
G
26
Arjen Van De...
F
23
Benjamin Mbu...
F
COACH: Cristiano Bacci
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
SPO · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TON · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Fabio Jose Costa Verissimo, Portugal
—
SPO MANAGER
Rui Borges
head coach
TON MANAGER
Cristiano Bacci
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
8
SPO WINS
1
DRAWS
1
TON WINS
80%
10%
10%
22 – 4
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Oct 2025
Tondela
0 – 3
Sporting CP
W
09 Apr 2022
Tondela
1 – 3
Sporting CP
W
28 Nov 2021
Sporting CP
2 – 0
Tondela
W
13 Mar 2021
Tondela
0 – 1
Sporting CP
W
01 Nov 2020
Sporting CP
4 – 0
Tondela
W
SPORTING CP LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W L
TONDELA LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–2 · result locked
SPORTING CP #3
Lost · already at 73 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
TONDELA #17
Lost · already at 22 pts
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 32 27 4 1 +49 85
W W W W D
2 Benfica 32 22 10 0 +47 76
D W W W D
3 Sporting CP 31 22 7 2 +55 73
D D L W W
4 SC Braga 31 16 8 7 +28 56
L W D W W
5 Famalicao 32 14 10 8 +12 52
D W D D D
6 GIL Vicente 31 13 10 8 +14 49
W L D W L
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 -5 42
W W D W L
8 Moreirense 32 12 6 14 -10 42
W L W D L
9 Alverca 32 10 8 14 -16 38
L W L W W
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 -1 37
L L L L L
11 Arouca 32 10 6 16 -21 36
D L W L W
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 -19 34
L D W L W
13 Santa Clara 32 8 9 15 -10 33
D W D L L
14 Nacional 32 8 7 17 -8 31
L W W L W
15 Estrela 32 6 10 16 -18 28
L L L L L
16 Casa Pia 31 5 11 15 -26 26
L L D L D
17 Tondela 31 4 10 17 -29 22
D L L D L
18 AVS 32 2 11 19 -42 17
W D D D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · Cicero
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Own Goal · Salvador Blopa
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Makan Aïko
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Geny Catamo
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Daniel Bragança
  • 78'
    Goal · Own Goal · João Silva
  • 78'
    Card · Yellow Card · Salvador Blopa
    Tripping
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Siphephelo Sithole
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Rony Lopes
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pedro Gonçalves
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Hélder Tavares
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Maranhão
  • 62'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Luis Javier Suárez
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · M. Ouattara
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Giorgos Vagiannidis
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Geovany Quenda
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Eduardo Quaresma
    Tripping
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tiago Manso
    Tripping
  • 19'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rony Lopes
    Tripping
  • 16'
    Card · Yellow Card · Maranhão
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
SPORTING CP WIN
1.10
90.9% implied
↑ best 1.13
DRAW
9.86
10.1% implied
↑ best 13.50
TONDELA WIN
21.15
4.7% implied
↑ best 28.00

Market favors Sporting CP. AI projects SPORTING CP 82%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS SPORTING CP 82% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.10 8.60 21.00 +1.2%
1xBet 1.09 13.50 27.00 +4.6%
Bet365 1.10 9.00 21.00 +1.2%
Betano 1.13 9.50 28.00 +2.4%
Betfair 1.08 10.00 20.00 +2.0%
BetVictor 1.08 8.50 18.00 +0.4%
Dafabet 1.12 10.00 22.00 +2.0%
Marathonbet 1.08 10.25 21.00 +2.2%
Pinnacle 1.11 11.37 19.99 +3.2%
SBO 1.10 9.06 16.84 +1.0%
Unibet 1.12 8.50 18.00 +0.4%
William Hill 1.10 10.00 21.00 +2.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.07 U 7.20
2.5 O 1.30 U 3.29
3.5 O 1.83 U 1.95
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.14 9 bks
NO
1.63 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.5 5.88
Away -0.75 5.73
Away -1 5.53
Away -1.25 3.75
Away -1.5 2.95
Away -1.75 2.75
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.