GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CELTA VIGO 48%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 38 · SAT, 23 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
CELTA VIGO
6TH · 54 PTS · LAST 5:
D L W W L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
SEVILLA
L W W W L
· 13TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 51' Ilaix Moriba
GOALS
Fer López
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Fer López
Celta Vigo · 74 mins
🅰 1 assist · 53% pass acc
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.53
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.79
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
9
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
86%
4
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 38'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ilaix Moriba
    CEL
  2. 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ilaix Moriba · assist Fer López
    CEL
  3. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Peque Fernández · assist Ruben Vargas
    SEV
  4. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexis Sánchez · assist Neal Maupay
    SEV
  5. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Isaac Romero · assist Akor Adams
    SEV
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Williot Swedberg · assist Hugo Álvarez
    CEL
  7. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Iago Aspas · assist Ferran Jutglà
    CEL
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Fer López · assist Matías Vecino
    CEL
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Borja Iglesias · assist Pablo Durán
    CEL
  10. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Oso · assist Chidera Ejuke
    SEV
  11. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Lucien Agoumé · assist Nemanja Gudelj
    SEV
  12. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Javier Rueda · assist Óscar Mingueza
    CEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CELTA VIGO AVG 7.9
SEVILLA AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
0.8
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
2.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
504.0
PASSES
396.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
86.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
19.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CELTA VIGO 4 shots
Fer López
0/1
Ilaix Moriba
1/1
Marcos Alonso
0/1
Yoel Lago
0/1
SEVILLA 1 shots
Peque Fernández
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.53 – 0.79
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 51' H 1.53 A 0.79 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 4-3-3
3-4-3
4-3-3
7.5
13
IONUț RAD
 7.7
20
MARCOS AL
 7.7
29
YOEL LAGO
32
JAVI RODR
5
SERGIO CA
 7.9
6
ILAIX MOR
 8.5
8
FER LóPEZ
17
JAVIER RU
19
WILLIOT S
7
BORJA IGL
10
IAGO ASPA
13
ØRJAN NYL
12
GABRIEL S
4
KIKE SALA
 6.9
3
CéSAR AZP
 6.9
2
JOSé ÁNGE
20
DJIBRIL S
18
LUCIEN AG
 6.7
14
PEQUE FER
 7.2
36
OSO
7
ISAAC ROM
10
ALEXIS Sá
SUBSTITUTES · CELTA VIGO
4
Joseph Aidoo
D
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
11
Franco Cervi
M
3
Óscar Mingue...
D
21
Mihailo Rist...
D
14
Alvaro Núñez
D
1
Iván Villar
G
18
Pablo Durán
F
15
Matías Vecin...
M
9
Ferran Jutgl...
F
23
Hugo Álvarez
M
39
Jones El-Abd...
F
COACH: Claudio Giraldez
SUBSTITUTES · SEVILLA
5
Tanguy Nianz...
D
38
Nico Guillén
M
8
Joan Jordán
M
6
Nemanja Gude...
M
22
Federico Gat...
D
15
Fábio Cardos...
D
31
Alberto Flor...
G
1
Odysseas Vla...
G
17
Neal Maupay
F
9
Akor Adams
F
11
Ruben Vargas
M
21
Chidera Ejuk...
F
COACH: Luis Garcia Plaza
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SEV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Francisco Hernandez Maeso, Spain
—
CEL MANAGER
Claudio Giraldez
head coach
SEV MANAGER
Luis Garcia Plaza
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CEL WINS
4
DRAWS
3
SEV WINS
30%
40%
30%
15 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
12 Jan 2026
Sevilla
0 – 1
Celta Vigo
W
10 May 2025
Celta Vigo
3 – 2
Sevilla
W
14 Dec 2024
Sevilla
1 – 0
Celta Vigo
L
17 Mar 2024
Sevilla
1 – 2
Celta Vigo
W
04 Nov 2023
Celta Vigo
1 – 1
Sevilla
D
CELTA VIGO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W W L
SEVILLA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
CELTA VIGO #6
Won · already at 54 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
SEVILLA #13
Lost · already at 43 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Javier Rueda
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Lucien Agoumé
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Oso
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Borja Iglesias
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Fer López
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Iago Aspas
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Williot Swedberg
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Isaac Romero
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Sánchez
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Peque Fernández
  • 51'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ilaix Moriba
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 38'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ilaix Moriba
    Tripping
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CELTA VIGO WIN
1.92
52.1% implied
↑ best 2.00
DRAW
3.44
29.1% implied
↑ best 3.55
SEVILLA WIN
4.19
23.9% implied
↑ best 4.65

Market favors Celta Vigo. AI projects CELTA VIGO 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CELTA VIGO 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.95 3.40 3.80 -1.4%
1xBet 1.95 3.54 4.52 +1.9%
888Sport 1.91 3.30 3.90 -1.6%
Bet365 1.91 3.50 4.10 -0.4%
Betano 1.98 3.55 4.20 +0.2%
Betfair 1.85 3.30 4.50 +1.8%
BetVictor 1.87 3.50 4.20 +0.2%
Dafabet 2.00 3.50 3.95 -0.6%
Marathonbet 1.93 3.52 4.35 +1.0%
Pinnacle 1.93 3.49 4.47 +1.6%
SBO 1.97 3.28 3.76 -2.5%
Superbet 1.85 3.50 4.65 +2.5%
Unibet 1.88 3.45 4.20 +0.2%
William Hill 1.91 3.30 4.00 -1.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.29
2.5 O 2.01 U 1.81
3.5 O 3.44 U 1.29
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.83 11 bks
NO
1.91 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.27
Away -0.5 1.92
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.