GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ATLETICO MADRID 80% · Value: Over 2.5 92%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 36 · TUE, 12 MAY · 19:30 LOCAL
OSASUNA
12TH · 42 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L D
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
ATLETICO MADRID
L L W D W
· 4TH · 66 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+1' Kike Barja
GOALS
⚽ 71' Alexander Sørloth
Juan Musso
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Juan Musso
Atletico Madrid · 91 mins
· 25% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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La Liga: Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid
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La Liga: Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid
La Liga: Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

129%
BALL POSSESSION %
58%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
5
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
415%
PASS ACCURACY %
285%
8
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 25 events
  1. 13'
    Var
    Antoine Griezmann
    ATL
  2. 14'
    Card · Handball
    Javi Galán
    OSA
  3. 15'
    Penalty · 0-1
    Ademola Lookman
    ATL
  4. 18'
    Subst
    Robin Le Normand · assist Rodrigo Mendoza
    ATL
  5. 30'
    Card · Foul
    Rubén García
    OSA
  6. 37'
    Subst
    Kike Barja · assist Raúl Moro
    OSA
  7. 45'+3
    Var
    Ante Budimir
    OSA
  8. 45'+9
    Card · Argument
    Ante Budimir
    OSA
  9. 46'
    Subst
    Alexander Sørloth · assist Thiago Almada
    ATL
  10. 52'
    Card · Argument
    Marcos Llorente
    ATL
  11. 57'
    Card · Argument
    Kike Barja
    OSA
  12. 57'
    Card · Foul
    Koke 
    ATL
  13. 59'
    Card · Foul
    Marc Pubill
    ATL
  14. 60'
    Subst
    Abel Bretones · assist Javi Galán
    OSA
  15. 60'
    Subst
    Raúl García · assist Rubén García
    OSA
  16. 71'
    Goal · 0-2
    Alexander Sørloth · assist Marcos Llorente
    ATL
  17. 72'
    Subst
    Aimar Oroz · assist Lucas Torró
    OSA
  18. 72'
    Subst
    Asier Osambela · assist Moi Gómez
    OSA
  19. 79'
    Card · Foul
    Marcos Llorente
    ATL
  20. 82'
    Subst
    Clément Lenglet  · assist Ademola Lookman
    ATL
  21. 84'
    Card · Argument
    ATL
  22. 85'
    Card · Argument
    Robin Le Normand
    ATL
  23. 85'
    Card · Argument
    Alejandro Catena
    OSA
  24. 90'+1
    Goal · 1-2
    Kike Barja · assist Raúl García
    OSA
  25. 90'+2
    Card · Foul
    Enzo Boyomo
    OSA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
OSASUNA AVG 7.2
ATLETICO MADRID AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
5.0
ON TARGET
4.0
14.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
4.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
129.0%
POSSESSION %
58.0%
477.0
PASSES
356.0
415.0%
PASS ACCURACY
285.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
4.0
12.0
OFFSIDES
15.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
12.0
6.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
OSASUNA 5 shots
Kike Barja
2/3
Valentin Rosier
0/2
ATLETICO MADRID 3 shots
A. Sørloth
1/2
Ademola Lookman
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 52%
48% A
13
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
6.9
13
AITOR FER
20
JAVI GALá
22
ENZO BOYO
24
ALEJANDRO
 7.3
19
VALENTIN
6
LUCAS TOR
 7.0
7
JON MONCA
18
RAúL MORO
 7.5
16
MOI GóMEZ
14
RUBéN GAR
17
ANTE BUDI
 8.0
1
JUAN MUSS
3
MATTEO RU
17
DáVID HAN
18
MARC PUBI
 7.6
14
MARCOS LL
 7.3
21
OBED VARG
6
KOKE
4
RODRIGO M
11
THIAGO AL
 7.5
22
ADEMOLA L
7
ANTOINE G
SUBSTITUTES · OSASUNA
41
Iñigo Arguib...
D
10
Aimar Oroz
M
8
Iker Muñoz
M
9
Raúl García...
F
5
Jorge Herran...
D
23
Abel Bretone...
D
29
Asier Osambe...
M
3
Juan Cruz
D
31
Dimitrios St...
G
32
Rafa Fernand...
G
11
Kike Barja
F
2
Iker Benito
F
COACH: Alessio Lisci
SUBSTITUTES · ATLETICO MADRID
47
Javi Morcill...
M
37
Iker Luque
F
29
Rayane Belai...
F
61
Miguel Llore...
F
15
Clément Leng...
D
32
Javier Boñar
D
34
Julio Díaz
M
40
Aleksa Purić
D
31
Salvi Esquiv...
G
13
Jan Oblak
G
24
Robin Le Nor...
D
9
A. Sørloth
F
COACH: Diego Simeone
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
OSA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jose Luis Guzman Mansilla, Spain
—
OSA MANAGER
Alessio Lisci
head coach
ATL MANAGER
Diego Simeone
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
OSA WINS
0
DRAWS
8
ATL WINS
20%
80%
7 – 15
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Atletico Madrid
1 – 0
Osasuna
L
15 May 2025
Osasuna
2 – 0
Atletico Madrid
W
12 Jan 2025
Atletico Madrid
1 – 0
Osasuna
L
19 May 2024
Atletico Madrid
1 – 4
Osasuna
W
28 Sep 2023
Osasuna
0 – 2
Atletico Madrid
L
OSASUNA LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L D
ATLETICO MADRID LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
OSASUNA #12
Lost · already at 42 pts
ATLETICO MADRID #4
Won · already at 66 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 36 30 1 5 +59 91
L W W W W
2 Real Madrid 35 24 5 6 +37 77
L W D W D
3 Villarreal 36 21 6 9 +24 69
L D W W D
4 Atletico Madrid 36 20 6 10 +21 66
W L W W L
5 Real Betis 36 14 15 7 +12 57
W D W D W
6 Celta Vigo 36 13 11 12 +4 50
L W W L L
7 Getafe 36 14 6 16 -6 48
W D L L W
8 Real Sociedad 35 11 11 13 -1 44
D L D L D
9 Athletic Club 36 13 5 18 -13 44
L L W L W
10 Sevilla 36 12 7 17 -12 43
W W W L L
11 Rayo Vallecano 35 10 13 12 -6 43
D W D W L
12 Osasuna 36 11 9 16 -4 42
L L L W L
13 Valencia 35 11 9 15 -12 42
W L W D L
14 Espanyol 36 11 9 16 -13 42
W L L D L
15 Alaves 36 10 10 16 -12 40
W D L W L
16 Elche 36 9 12 15 -9 39
L D L W W
17 Mallorca 36 10 9 17 -11 39
L D W L D
18 Levante 36 10 9 17 -15 39
W W L D W
19 Girona 35 9 12 14 -15 39
D L L L D
20 Oviedo 35 6 11 18 -28 29
D L L D W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Foul · Enzo Boyomo
    10th Yellowcard
  • 90'+1
    Goal · 1-2 · Kike Barja
    2nd Goal
  • 85'
    Card · Argument · Alejandro Catena
    8th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Card · Argument · Robin Le Normand
    9th Yellowcard
  • 84'
    Card · Argument
    11th Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Subst · Clément Lenglet 
    8th Substitution
  • 79'
    Card · Foul · Marcos Llorente
    1st Yellow/red Card
  • 72'
    Subst · Asier Osambela
    7th Substitution
  • 72'
    Subst · Aimar Oroz
    6th Substitution
  • 71'
    Goal · 0-2 · Alexander Sørloth
    1st Goal
  • 60'
    Subst · Raúl García
    5th Substitution
  • 60'
    Subst · Abel Bretones
    4th Substitution
  • 59'
    Card · Foul · Marc Pubill
    7th Yellowcard
  • 57'
    Card · Foul · Koke 
    6th Yellowcard
  • 57'
    Card · Argument · Kike Barja
    5th Yellowcard
  • 52'
    Card · Argument · Marcos Llorente
    4th Yellowcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Alexander Sørloth
    3rd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'+9
    Card · Argument · Ante Budimir
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 45'+3
    Var · Ante Budimir
    Penalty disallowed
  • 37'
    Subst · Kike Barja
    2nd Substitution
  • 30'
    Card · Foul · Rubén García
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 18'
    Subst · Robin Le Normand
    1st Substitution
  • 15'
    Penalty · 0-1 · Ademola Lookman
    1st Penalty
  • 14'
    Card · Handball · Javi Galán
    1st Yellowcard
  • 13'
    Var · Antoine Griezmann
    Penalty awarded
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
OSASUNA WIN
2.49
40.2% implied
↑ best 2.60
DRAW
3.53
28.3% implied
↑ best 3.70
ATLETICO MADRID WIN
2.71
36.9% implied
↑ best 2.80

Market favors Osasuna. AI projects ATLETICO MADRID 80% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATLETICO MADRID 80% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.48 3.45 2.64 +42.1%
1xBet 2.60 3.70 2.77 +43.9%
888Sport 2.45 3.40 2.63 +42.0%
Bet365 2.45 3.50 2.75 +43.6%
Betano 2.52 3.50 2.72 +43.2%
Betfair 2.45 3.50 2.70 +43.0%
BetVictor 2.45 3.60 2.70 +43.0%
Dafabet 2.49 3.55 2.80 +44.3%
Marathonbet 2.56 3.64 2.73 +43.4%
Pinnacle 2.54 3.64 2.78 +44.0%
SBO 2.45 3.35 2.68 +42.7%
Unibet 2.50 3.60 2.65 +42.3%
William Hill 2.45 3.40 2.62 +41.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.02
2.5 O 1.73 U 2.11
3.5 O 2.79 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.27 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.71
Away -0.5 1.54
Away -0.75 1.39
Away -1 1.22
Away -1.25 1.19
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.