La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SUN, 10 MAY · 12:00 LOCAL
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MALLORCA
FT
1 1
FULL TIME
VILLARREAL
⚽ 45+2' Vedat Muriqi
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 72/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
MAL
1 1
VIL
most likely scoreline · 13.9% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 52%
FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
MAL WIN 28%
DRAW 52%
VIL WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 48% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 48% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at 90' tied 1-1 with minimal time left — draw overwhelmingly likely; extra time / penalties to decide.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY MALLORCA CHALLENGED
28%
Tied at full-time whistle (90'+5 max) — draw is default outcome
+25.0%
Villarreal 3rd/68pts vs Mallorca 16th/38pts, yet equal on the day
+20.0%
Low xG combined in match (implied <2.5 total) + yellow-card intensity suggests no late breakthrough
+15.0%
WHY VILLARREAL CHALLENGED
20%
Tied at full-time whistle (90'+5 max) — draw is default outcome
+25.0%
Villarreal 3rd/68pts vs Mallorca 16th/38pts, yet equal on the day
+20.0%
Low xG combined in match (implied <2.5 total) + yellow-card intensity suggests no late breakthrough
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Tied at full-time whistle (90'+5 max) — draw is default outcome
  • Villarreal 3rd/68pts vs Mallorca 16th/38pts, yet equal on the day
  • Low xG combined in match (implied <2.5 total) + yellow-card intensity suggests no late breakthrough
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 47' VEDAT MURI
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.1
6.4
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.9
13.5
6.6
2.1
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.2
7.0
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.5
2.4
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.9%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.1%
2 — 0 7.2%
Top 5 = 61.3% · rest 38.7%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.54
52.0%
1.92
+84.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.42
80.0%
1.25
+13.8%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.56
72.0%
1.39
+12.3%
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.51
58.0%
1.72
-12.5%
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.43
28.0%
3.57
-31.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
48.0%
2.08
-38.4%
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.78
20.0%
5.00
-44.3%
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
18.0%
5.56
-70.4%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.