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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · ELCHE 48%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SAT, 09 MAY · 12:00 LOCAL
ELCHE
17TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W W
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ALAVES
W L W L D
· 16TH · 40 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 72' Álvaro Rodríguez
GOALS
David Affengruber
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
David Affengruber
Elche · 90 mins
· 70% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
La Liga: Elche vs Alavés
Open in Youtube ↗
La Liga: Elche vs Alavés
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

113%
BALL POSSESSION %
68%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
12
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
405%
PASS ACCURACY %
188%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 50'
    Card · Foul
    Aleix Febas
    ELC
  2. 51'
    Var
    Germán Valera
    ELC
  3. 67'
    Subst
    Josan · assist Tete Morente
    ELC
  4. 67'
    Subst
    Grady Diangana · assist Aleix Febas
    ELC
  5. 72'
    Goal · 1-1
    Álvaro Rodríguez · assist Josan
    ELC
  6. 82'
    Card · Argument
    ELC
  7. 85'
    Subst
    John Donald · assist Marc Aguado
    ELC
  8. 85'
    Subst
    Buba Sangaré · assist Víctor Chust
    ELC
  9. 88'
    Card · Argument
    Grady Diangana
    ELC
  10. 89'
    Subst
    Héctor Fort · assist Germán Valera
    ELC
  11. 90'+5
    Card · Foul
    John Donald
    ELC
  12. 90'+6
    Var
    Grady Diangana
    ELC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ELCHE AVG 7.6
ALAVES AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
5.0
ON TARGET
4.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
113.0%
POSSESSION %
68.0%
465.0
PASSES
251.0
405.0%
PASS ACCURACY
188.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
24.0
OFFSIDES
18.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
13.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
6.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ELCHE 8 shots
Álvaro Rodriguez
4/7
David Affengruber
0/1
ALAVES 1 shots
Toni Martínez
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 100%
0% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
0
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-5-2 vs 5-3-2
3-5-2
5-3-2
1
MATíAS DI
22
DAVID AFF
23
VíCTOR CH
6
PEDRO BIG
15
TETE MORE
14
ALEIX FEB
12
GONZALO V
11
GERMáN VA
8
MARC AGUA
9
ANDRé SIL
20
ÁLVARO RO
 7.3
1
ANTONIO S
21
ABDERRAHM
24
VICTOR PA
 7.0
14
NAHUEL TE
17
JONNY OTT
 7.0
7
ÁNGEL PéR
18
JON GURID
8
ANTONIO B
19
PABLO IBá
22
IBRAHIM D
 7.3
11
TONI MART
SUBSTITUTES · ELCHE
24
Lucas Cepeda
F
39
Héctor Fort
D
42
Buba Sangaré
D
21
Léo Pétrot
D
19
Grady Dianga...
F
18
John Donald
D
17
Josan
M
16
Martim Neto
M
13
Iñaki Peña
G
5
Federico Red...
M
3
Adrià Pedros...
D
46
Juan Piera
F
COACH: Eder Sarabia
SUBSTITUTES · ALAVES
27
Egoitz Muñoz
D
16
Ville Koski
D
5
Jon Pacheco
D
20
Calebe Gonça...
M
31
Grégoire Swi...
G
13
Raúl Fernánd...
G
34
Aitor Mañas
F
6
Ander Guevar...
M
23
Carlos Benav...
M
3
Youssef Enri...
D
4
Denis Suárez
M
9
Mariano Díaz
F
COACH: Quique Sanchez Flores
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ELC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ALA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Mateo Busquets Ferrer, Spain
—
ELC MANAGER
Eder Sarabia
head coach
ALA MANAGER
Quique Sanchez Flores
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
ELC WINS
1
DRAWS
3
ALA WINS
42.9%
14.3%
42.9%
7 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
05 Oct 2025
Alaves
3 – 1
Elche
L
05 Feb 2022
Elche
3 – 1
Alaves
W
26 Oct 2021
Alaves
1 – 0
Elche
L
11 May 2021
Elche
0 – 2
Alaves
L
18 Oct 2020
Alaves
0 – 2
Elche
W
ELCHE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
ALAVES LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
ELCHE #17
Lost · already at 39 pts
ALAVES #16
Lost · already at 40 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 36 30 1 5 +59 91
L W W W W
2 Real Madrid 36 25 5 6 +39 80
W L W D W
3 Villarreal 36 21 6 9 +24 69
L D W W D
4 Atletico Madrid 36 20 6 10 +21 66
W L W W L
5 Real Betis 36 14 15 7 +12 57
W D W D W
6 Celta Vigo 36 13 11 12 +4 50
L W W L L
7 Getafe 36 14 6 16 -6 48
W D L L W
8 Real Sociedad 36 11 12 13 -1 45
D D L D L
9 Athletic Club 36 13 5 18 -13 44
L L W L W
10 Rayo Vallecano 36 10 14 12 -6 44
D D W D W
11 Valencia 36 11 10 15 -12 43
D W L W D
12 Sevilla 36 12 7 17 -12 43
W W W L L
13 Osasuna 36 11 9 16 -4 42
L L L W L
14 Espanyol 36 11 9 16 -13 42
W L L D L
15 Girona 36 9 13 14 -15 40
D D L L L
16 Alaves 36 10 10 16 -12 40
W D L W L
17 Elche 36 9 12 15 -9 39
L D L W W
18 Mallorca 36 10 9 17 -11 39
L D W L D
19 Levante 36 10 9 17 -15 39
W W L D W
20 Oviedo 36 6 11 19 -30 29
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+6
    Var · Grady Diangana
    Review
  • 90'+5
    Card · Foul · John Donald
    9th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Subst · Héctor Fort
    9th Substitution
  • 88'
    Card · Argument · Grady Diangana
    7th Yellowcard
  • 85'
    Subst · Buba Sangaré
    8th Substitution
  • 85'
    Subst · John Donald
    7th Substitution
  • 82'
    Card · Argument
    11th Yellowcard
  • 72'
    Goal · 1-1 · Álvaro Rodríguez
    1st Goal
  • 67'
    Subst · Grady Diangana
    2nd Substitution
  • 67'
    Subst · Josan
    4th Substitution
  • 51'
    Var · Germán Valera
    Review
  • 50'
    Card · Foul · Aleix Febas
    4th Yellowcard
33 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 33 BOOKMAKERS
ELCHE WIN
2.28
43.9% implied
↑ best 2.38
DRAW
3.22
31.1% implied
↑ best 3.35
ALAVES WIN
3.27
30.6% implied
↑ best 3.50

Market favors Elche. AI projects ELCHE 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ELCHE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.25 3.20 3.20 +3.6%
10Bet 2.25 3.20 3.20 +3.6%
1xbet 2.26 3.30 3.50 +3.8%
1xBet 2.38 3.35 3.37 +6.0%
888Sport 2.30 3.10 3.10 +4.5%
888Sport 2.30 3.10 3.10 +4.5%
Bet365 2.30 3.20 3.30 +4.5%
Betano 2.30 3.25 3.30 +4.5%
Betfair 2.20 3.00 3.30 +2.5%
Betfair 2.30 3.25 3.30 +4.5%
Betsson 2.32 3.20 3.20 +4.9%
BetVictor 2.25 3.30 3.25 +3.6%
bwin 2.25 3.25 3.30 +3.6%
Cashpoint 2.25 3.20 3.47 +3.6%
CloudBet 2.30 3.25 3.40 +4.5%
Coral 2.25 3.25 3.30 +3.6%
Dafabet 2.33 3.25 3.30 +5.1%
Dafabet 2.32 3.30 3.30 +4.9%
Interwetten 2.30 3.25 3.30 +4.5%
Ladbrokes 2.20 3.20 3.30 +2.5%
Macauslot 2.20 3.18 2.90 +2.5%
MansionBet 2.26 3.30 3.30 +3.8%
Marathonbet 2.32 3.28 3.38 +4.9%
Marathonbet 2.34 3.30 3.32 +5.3%
MelBet 2.28 3.15 3.34 +4.1%
Pinnacle 2.29 3.30 3.48 +4.3%
Pinnacle 2.33 3.33 3.36 +5.1%
Sbo 2.26 3.11 3.17 +3.8%
SBO 2.31 3.10 2.90 +4.7%
Unibet 2.28 3.20 3.30 +4.1%
Unibet 2.25 3.25 3.30 +3.6%
William Hill 2.30 3.10 3.20 +4.5%
WilliamHill 2.20 3.30 3.10 +2.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.28 U 3.50
2.5 O 1.92 U 1.90
3.5 O 3.20 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 16 bks
NO
2.09 16 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.89
Away -0.5 1.63
Away -0.75 1.45
Away -1 1.28
Away -1.25 1.22
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.