GOALSENSE
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La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SUN, 10 MAY · 14:15 LOCAL
← Match Page
ATHLETIC CLUB
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
VALENCIA
GOALS
⚽ 72' Umar Sadiq
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 51/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
ATH
1 – 0
VAL
most likely scoreline · 16.8% probability
AI PICKS ATHLETIC CLUB TO WIN 52%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
ATH WIN 52%
DRAW 27%
VAL WIN 21%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 79% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 79% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Athletic slight home favourite but Valencia competitive; tight match with draw as realistic outcome.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY ATHLETIC CLUB FAVORED
52%
Nearly identical season GF/GA (40 vs 37 scored, 50 vs 50 conceded) — quality even
+20.0%
WHY VALENCIA CHALLENGED
21%
Athletic slight home favourite but Valencia competitive; tight match with draw as realistic outcome.
+30.0%
Athletic home-form advantage (WLWLW) vs Valencia weak away record (DLWLL)
+25.0%
Bookmaker odds (55.6% home) slightly inflated vs form data; AI slightly lower due to Valencia's defensive solidity
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Nearly identical season GF/GA (40 vs 37 scored, 50 vs 50 conceded) — quality even
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 72' UMAR SADIQ
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.7
4.6
1.2
0.2
·
·
1
16.8
13.1
5.1
1.3
0.3
·
·
2
9.4
7.3
2.9
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.5
2.7
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.0
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.8%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.1%
0 — 1 11.7%
2 — 0 9.4%
Top 5 = 65.8% · rest 34.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
5.32
21.0%
4.76
+11.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.17
48.0%
2.08
+4.1%
—
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.77
27.0%
3.70
+1.7%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.16
79.0%
1.27
-8.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.26
73.0%
1.37
-8.4%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.95
46.0%
2.17
-10.3%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.03
44.0%
2.27
-10.6%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.68
52.0%
1.92
-12.8%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.