GOALSENSE
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La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · FRI, 01 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
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GIRONA
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
MALLORCA
GOALS
⚽ 43' Samú Costa
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 62/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
GIR
0 – 1
MAL
most likely scoreline · 15.7% probability
AI PICKS MALLORCA TO WIN 40%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
GIR WIN 28%
DRAW 32%
MAL WIN 40%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 72% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 72% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Mallorca leading 1-0 with 20 mins left; Girona's poor away/home form and defensive fragility make comeback unlikely.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY GIRONA CHALLENGED
28%
Girona's recent form LLDWL + home form inconsistent (LWWLW); Mallorca road form LLDLL but clutch goal today
+20.0%
WHY MALLORCA FAVORED
40%
1-goal lead at 70' — Mallorca has road wins (H2H 2026-01-04, 2025-05-05 losses both at home for opponent)
+25.0%
Both teams Yellow-heavy (3 cards visible) suggests defensive discipline; Mallorca goal from quality finisher (Kalumba/Muriqi)
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Girona's recent form LLDWL + home form inconsistent (LWWLW); Mallorca road form LLDLL but clutch goal today
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 43' SAMú COST
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 15.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
15.7
8.2
2.9
0.8
0.2
·
1
12.7
13.4
7.0
2.5
0.6
0.1
·
2
5.4
5.7
3.0
1.0
0.3
0.1
·
3
1.5
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 15.7%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.4%
1 — 0 12.7%
0 — 2 8.2%
Top 5 = 65.0% · rest 35.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.93
40.0%
2.50
+57.3%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.83
72.0%
1.39
+31.5%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.49
32.0%
3.13
+11.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
68.0%
1.47
-12.0%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
60.0%
1.67
-24.9%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.89
38.0%
2.63
-28.0%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.96
28.0%
3.57
-45.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.72
28.0%
3.57
-52.0%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.