GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · REAL MADRID 53%
CONF 62 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 03 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
ESPANYOL
13TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L D L
FT
0 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
REAL MADRID
D W L D L
· 2ND · 77 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 55' Vinicius Junior ⚽ 66' Vinicius Junior
Vinicius Júnior
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Vinicius Júnior
Real Madrid · 84 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 27% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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La Liga: Espanyol vs Real Madrid
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La Liga: Espanyol vs Real Madrid
La Liga: Espanyol vs Real Madrid
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

73%
BALL POSSESSION %
121%
17
TOTAL SHOTS
15
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
246%
PASS ACCURACY %
575%
5
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 20 events
  1. 14'
    Subst
    Fran García · assist Ferland Mendy 
    REA
  2. 22'
    Card · Foul
    Brahim Díaz
    REA
  3. 23'
    Card · Foul
    Vinicius Junior
    REA
  4. 26'
    Card · Foul
    Omar El Hilali
    ESP
  5. 26'
    Card
    Omar El Hilali
    ESP
  6. 45'+2
    Card · Foul
    Edu Expósito
    ESP
  7. 50'
    Card · Foul
    Trent Alexander-Arnold
    REA
  8. 53'
    Subst
    Gonzalo García · assist Brahim Díaz
    REA
  9. 53'
    Subst
    Franco Mastantuono · assist Thiago Pitarch
    REA
  10. 55'
    Goal · 0-1
    Vinicius Junior · assist Gonzalo García
    REA
  11. 61'
    Subst
    Antoniu Roca · assist Rubén Sánchez
    ESP
  12. 61'
    Subst
    Charles Pickel · assist Edu Expósito
    ESP
  13. 66'
    Goal · 0-2
    Vinicius Junior · assist Jude Bellingham
    REA
  14. 73'
    Subst
    Pere Milla · assist Tyrhys Dolan
    ESP
  15. 73'
    Subst
    Jofre Carreras · assist Ramón Terrats
    ESP
  16. 73'
    Subst
    Kike García · assist Roberto Fernández
    ESP
  17. 75'
    Card · Foul
    Gonzalo García
    REA
  18. 84'
    Subst
    César Palacios · assist Vinicius Junior
    REA
  19. 84'
    Subst
    Eduardo Camavinga · assist Aurélien Tchouaméni
    REA
  20. 85'
    Card · Foul
    Urko González de Zárate
    ESP
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESPANYOL AVG 6.9
REAL MADRID AVG 7.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
17.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
73.0%
POSSESSION %
121.0%
307.0
PASSES
631.0
246.0%
PASS ACCURACY
575.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
6.0
12.0
OFFSIDES
11.0
DISCIPLINE
19.0
FOULS
16.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESPANYOL 5 shots
Carlos Romero
1/2
Roberto Fernández
0/2
Edu Expósito
1/1
REAL MADRID 4 shots
Vinicius Júnior
2/2
Dean Huijsen
0/1
Aurélien Tchouaméni
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 45%
55% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
6.7
13
MARKO DMI
 6.9
22
CARLOS RO
6
LEANDRO C
5
FERNANDO
23
OMAR EL H
 7.0
8
EDU EXPóS
4
URKO GONZ
24
TYRHYS DO
14
RAMóN TER
2
RUBéN SáN
 6.9
9
ROBERTO F
13
ANDRIY LU
23
FERLAND M
 7.7
24
DEAN HUIJ
 7.2
22
ANTONIO R
12
TRENT ALE
 7.3
14
AURéLIEN
45
THIAGO PI
21
BRAHIM Dí
 7.3
5
J. BELLIN
8
FEDERICO
 10.0
7
VINICIUS
SUBSTITUTES · ESPANYOL
38
Clemens Ried...
D
15
Miguel Rubio
D
28
Ferran Gomez
M
32
Lluc Castell
F
12
Jose Salinas
D
1
Angel Fortun...
G
19
Kike García
F
17
Jofre Carrer...
F
11
Pere Milla
M
20
Antoniu Roca
F
18
Charles Pick...
M
33
Alex Almansa
F
COACH: Manolo Gonzalez
SUBSTITUTES · REAL MADRID
17
Raúl Asencio
D
4
David Alaba
D
35
David Jiméne...
D
6
Eduardo Cama...
M
18
Álvaro Carre...
D
43
Sergio Mestr...
G
26
Fran Gonzále...
G
30
Franco Masta...
F
16
Gonzalo Garc...
F
20
Fran García
D
38
César Palaci...
M
COACH: Alvaro Arbeloa
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
ESP · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

REA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Jesus Gil Manzano, Spain
—
ESP MANAGER
Manolo Gonzalez
head coach
REA MANAGER
Alvaro Arbeloa
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
ESP WINS
0
DRAWS
8
REA WINS
20%
80%
8 – 24
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.20
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
20 Sep 2025
Real Madrid
2 – 0
Espanyol
L
01 Feb 2025
Espanyol
1 – 0
Real Madrid
W
21 Sep 2024
Real Madrid
4 – 1
Espanyol
L
11 Mar 2023
Real Madrid
3 – 1
Espanyol
L
28 Aug 2022
Espanyol
1 – 3
Real Madrid
L
ESPANYOL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L D L
REAL MADRID LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–2 · result locked
ESPANYOL #13
Lost · already at 39 pts
REAL MADRID #2
Won · already at 77 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 34 29 1 4 +58 88
W W W W W
2 Real Madrid 34 24 5 5 +39 77
W D W D L
3 Villarreal 34 21 5 8 +25 68
W W D W L
4 Atletico Madrid 34 19 6 9 +21 63
W W L L L
5 Real Betis 34 13 14 7 +11 53
W D W D D
6 Celta Vigo 34 12 11 11 +4 47
W L L L W
7 Getafe 34 13 5 16 -8 44
L L W L W
8 Athletic Club 34 13 5 16 -10 44
W L W L L
9 Real Sociedad 33 11 10 12 0 43
D L D W L
10 Osasuna 34 11 9 14 -2 42
L W L D D
11 Rayo Vallecano 34 10 12 12 -6 42
W D W L W
12 Valencia 34 10 9 15 -13 39
L W D L L
13 Espanyol 34 10 9 15 -14 39
L D L L D
14 Elche 34 9 11 14 -8 38
L W W W L
15 Mallorca 34 10 8 16 -9 38
W L D W W
16 Girona 34 9 11 14 -15 38
L L L D W
17 Alaves 34 9 9 16 -13 36
L W L D D
18 Sevilla 33 9 7 17 -15 34
L L W L L
19 Levante 34 8 9 17 -17 33
L D W W L
20 Oviedo 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L L D W W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Card · Foul · Urko González de Zárate
    7th Yellowcard
  • 84'
    Subst · Eduardo Camavinga
    9th Substitution
  • 84'
    Subst · César Palacios
    10th Substitution
  • 75'
    Card · Foul · Gonzalo García
    6th Yellowcard
  • 73'
    Subst · Kike García
    7th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Jofre Carreras
    6th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · Pere Milla
    8th Substitution
  • 66'
    Goal · 0-2 · Vinicius Junior
    2nd Goal
  • 61'
    Subst · Charles Pickel
    4th Substitution
  • 61'
    Subst · Antoniu Roca
    5th Substitution
  • 55'
    Goal · 0-1 · Vinicius Junior
    1st Goal
  • 53'
    Subst · Franco Mastantuono
    3rd Substitution
  • 53'
    Subst · Gonzalo García
    2nd Substitution
  • 50'
    Card · Foul · Trent Alexander-Arnold
    5th Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Card · Foul · Edu Expósito
    4th Yellowcard
  • 26'
    Card · Omar El Hilali
    Red card cancelled
  • 26'
    Card · Foul · Omar El Hilali
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 23'
    Card · Foul · Vinicius Junior
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 22'
    Card · Foul · Brahim Díaz
    1st Yellowcard
  • 14'
    Subst · Fran García
    1st Substitution
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
ESPANYOL WIN
4.37
22.9% implied
↑ best 4.60
DRAW
3.85
26% implied
↑ best 4.00
REAL MADRID WIN
1.78
56.2% implied
↑ best 1.85

Market favors Real Madrid. AI projects REAL MADRID 53%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS REAL MADRID 53% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.30 3.80 1.75 -1.3%
1xBet 4.57 4.00 1.83 +0.1%
Bet365 4.33 3.90 1.75 -0.6%
Betano 4.35 3.90 1.85 -0.6%
Betfair 4.50 3.75 1.75 -0.2%
BetVictor 4.50 3.80 1.75 -0.2%
Marathonbet 4.45 3.92 1.81 -0.5%
Pinnacle 4.45 3.89 1.81 -0.5%
SBO 4.00 3.80 1.78 -1.3%
Unibet 4.60 3.70 1.77 +0.3%
William Hill 4.00 3.90 1.75 -0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.80
2.5 O 1.59 U 2.36
3.5 O 2.41 U 1.56
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.53 9 bks
NO
2.37 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.25
Away -0.5 1.19
Away -0.75 1.12
Away -1 1.03
Away -1.5 1.01
Away -2.5 1.01
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.